🐻⬇️🏀

UC Merced

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2022 2019 2015
Also known as: UC Merced
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 826 (#411) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 848 (#390) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +4.5 (#175) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.211 (#480) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.5 More → 0.791 (#84) NetEff +11.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.8 More → 0.366 (#478) AdjNet -4.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.3 More → 0.377 (#475) AdjNet -4.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 73.1 More → 0.446 (#458) AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 73.1

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-15 vs Menlo W 64 - 57
2024-11-16 @ Jessup L 63 - 64
2024-11-23 @ Stanislaus St. W 86 - 83
2024-11-30 @ Fresno Pacific W 71 - 51
2024-12-12 @ Cal St. Monterey Bay L 62 - 69
2025-01-10 @ UC Santa Cruz W 75 - 51

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Zino Okah - 1 22.0 12.0 6.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 8.0 11.0 - - - 50.0 80.0 0.0 - 67.6 75.0
Caden Breznikar - 1 18.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 25.0 - 51.5 58.3
Andrew Ferrara-Jones - 1 24.0 8.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 100.0 60.0 - 64.5 62.5
Ryan Wilson - 1 25.0 7.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 3.0 18 0.7 1.3 42.9 25.0 0 0.68 50.0 50.0
Hunter Kennedy - 1 11.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 - - - 40.0 25.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Joe Espy - 1 22.0 4.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 1.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Justin Yasukochi - 1 6.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 69.4 50.0
Miles Burrows - 1 22.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 -4.0 - - - 20.0 25.0 0 - 30.0 30.0
Elijah Brookes - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Zach Granberry - 1 8.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Thomas Lawrence - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ben Lim - 1 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Max Majcher - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -3.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Ian McCloskey - 1 18.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 -4.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Ollie Miller - 1 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG