UC Davis
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 898 (#193) | Preseason prior 924 (returning production + recruiting): last season 970, returning +37, transfers -64, freshmen -20 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 950 (#206) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 951 (#205) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.6 (#288) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.6 (#288) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.499 (#150) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.403 (#210) | AdjNet -7.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.398 (#221) | AdjNet -8.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.378 (#261) | AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 76.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.379 (#262) | AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 76.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.365 (#240) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.365 (#240) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 954 (#190) | RD 197 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.424 (#190) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | North Alabama Lions | L | 75 - 79 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Menlo Oaks | W | 65 - 52 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | Incarnate Word Cardinals | W | 81 - 69 |
| 2026-11-14 | @ | Sacramento State Hornets | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-17 | vs | Alabama State Hornets | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Veniamin Abosi
|
F | 3 | 21.0 | 13.3 | 8.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 8.3 | 14.3 | 24 | 3 | 8.0 | 15.3 | 48.0 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0.28 | 60.8 | 56.0 |
Brayden Fagbemi
|
G | 3 | 32.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.3 | 16.3 | 41 | 3 | 13.7 | 17.1 | 50.0 | 62.5 | 75.0 | 0.67 | 67.1 | 61.4 |
Connor Sevilla
|
G | 3 | 27.3 | 12.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 9.3 | 6.0 | 21 | 3 | 7.0 | 10.3 | 32.1 | 18.8 | 81.0 | -0.47 | 51.0 | 37.5 |
Jalen Stokes
|
G | 3 | 25.0 | 12.0 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.3 | 6.0 | 33 | 3 | 11.0 | 17.6 | 44.0 | 25.0 | 76.5 | 0.34 | 55.4 | 46.0 |
Isaiah Chappell
|
F | 3 | 27.0 | 8.7 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 6.3 | 7.3 | 35 | 3 | 11.7 | 17.3 | 47.4 | 37.5 | 66.7 | 0.9 | 64.0 | 63.2 |
Omer Suljanovic
|
F | 3 | 17.7 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 25 | 3 | 8.3 | 18.8 | 35.7 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.11 | 41.2 | 39.3 |
Chase Rawlins
|
G | 3 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 3.0 | -14 | 3 | -4.7 | -14.2 | 62.5 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.96 | 64.4 | 62.5 |
Clarence Massamba
|
G | 2 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | -23 | 2 | -11.5 | -25.3 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -1.24 | 29.1 | 22.2 |
Ylan Esso-Essis
|
G | 3 | 13.3 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 1.0 | -22 | 3 | -7.3 | -21.8 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.27 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
Aleks Szymczyk
|
C | 3 | 11.0 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 3.0 | -8 | 3 | -2.7 | -10.0 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -1.94 | 31.7 | 35.7 |
Julian Dabrowski
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Julian Margrave
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Koby Moir
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Nnadalu Noble
|
F | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -7 | 1 | -7.0 | -118.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.53 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former UC Davis players in EuroLeague 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last UC Davis game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chima Moneke | 2016-18 | EuroLeague | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | 11 | 20.3 | 9.6 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 11-12 3 pts, 5 reb, 3 ast | 6 GP, 7.8 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 2.2 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | Chima Moneke | EuroLeague | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | @ Real Madrid | 18 | 3 | 5 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Chima Moneke | EuroLeague | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | @ Olympiacos Piraeus | 19 | 2 | 7 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-29 | Chima Moneke | EuroLeague | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | vs FC Bayern Munich | 20 | 15 | 5 | 5 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
167 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Veniamin AbosiBrayden FagbemiIsaiah ChappellJalen StokesConnor SevillaChase RawlinsYlan Esso-EssisAleks SzymczykClarence Massamba
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 23-34 | 67.6 | 46 | Jalen Stokes 22% (10 pts) | Veniamin Abosi 17% (8 pts) | Jalen Stokes 27% (3 misses) | Omer Suljanovic 27% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 21-51 | 41.2 | 42 | Chase Rawlins 19% (8 pts) | Jalen Stokes 19% (8 pts) | Jalen Stokes 20% (6 misses) | Connor Sevilla 17% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-5 | 40.0 | 4 | Connor Sevilla 50% (2 pts) | Jalen Stokes 50% (2 pts) | Brayden Fagbemi 33% (1 misses) | Jalen Stokes 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-5 | 40.0 | 4 | Connor Sevilla 100% (4 pts) | - | Brayden Fagbemi 67% (2 misses) | Jalen Stokes 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Brayden Fagbemi 67% (2 misses) | Veniamin Abosi 33% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 4-13 | 30.8 | 12 | Brayden Fagbemi 50% (6 pts) | Connor Sevilla 25% (3 pts) | Ylan Esso-Essis 33% (3 misses) | Brayden Fagbemi 22% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-10 | 20.0 | 6 | Aleks Szymczyk 50% (3 pts) | Jalen Stokes 50% (3 pts) | Ylan Esso-Essis 25% (2 misses) | Aleks Szymczyk 12% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 3-17 | 17.6 | 9 | Isaiah Chappell 67% (6 pts) | Brayden Fagbemi 33% (3 pts) | Connor Sevilla 36% (5 misses) | Isaiah Chappell 29% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 5-16 | 31.2 | 15 | Connor Sevilla 40% (6 pts) | Isaiah Chappell 40% (6 pts) | Connor Sevilla 36% (4 misses) | Isaiah Chappell 27% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 7-13 | 53.8 | 21 | Veniamin Abosi 57% (12 pts) | Isaiah Chappell 29% (6 pts) | Clarence Massamba 17% (1 misses) | Connor Sevilla 17% (1 misses) |