Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1252 (#15) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1248 (#21) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1188 (#24) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +17.6 (#32) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +22.9 (#70) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.742 (#272) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.948 (#110) | NetEff +24.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.898 (#208) | AdjNet +18.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.906 (#207) | AdjNet +19.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.764 (#204) | AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 59.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.846 (#12) | AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 53.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.901 (#30) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.901 (#28) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1269 (#25) | RD 99 | GP 25 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Southwest Minn. St. | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Wayne St. (MI) | L | 76 - 83 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Tampa | L | 63 - 71 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Fla. Southern | L | 65 - 76 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Reinhardt | W | 95 - 50 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Cumberland (TN) | W | 89 - 63 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Johnson (TN) | W | 95 - 53 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | West Florida | W | 70 - 53 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Valdosta St. | W | 72 - 67 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Trevecca Nazarene | W | 80 - 61 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Lee | W | 68 - 51 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Delta St. | W | 76 - 60 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | LaGrange | W | 84 - 34 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Union (TN) | W | 88 - 84 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | AUM | W | 75 - 50 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | West Ala. | W | 71 - 62 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Valdosta St. | W | 64 - 48 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | West Florida | W | 79 - 67 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Lee | L | 48 - 62 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Trevecca Nazarene | W | 65 - 51 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Delta St. | W | 83 - 45 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Mississippi Col. | W | 83 - 39 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lili Wilken | - | 22 | 34.5 | 21.9 | 7.2 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 17.1 | 15.7 | 156 | 6.2 | 16.6 | 49.9 | 34.1 | 90.4 | 2.55 | 58.2 | 53.8 |
| Bella White | - | 21 | 28.5 | 9.4 | 5.4 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 7.1 | 11.0 | 216 | 8.3 | 27.6 | 42.3 | 36.0 | 78.5 | 2.41 | 53.6 | 45.3 |
| Ava McSwain | - | 11 | 16.8 | 9.2 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 7.4 | 6.3 | 26 | 2.2 | 61.7 | 53.1 | 36.8 | 50.0 | 0.82 | 57.4 | 57.4 |
| Ivey Maddox | - | 21 | 23.9 | 8.3 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 6.7 | 6.4 | 128 | 5.3 | 22.6 | 43.3 | 40.7 | 62.5 | 0.37 | 57.4 | 56.4 |
| Paris Opelt | - | 22 | 23.3 | 7.6 | 6.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 5.9 | 8.2 | 107 | 4.3 | 18.4 | 52.7 | 32.8 | 52.4 | 2.12 | 60.8 | 60.9 |
| Millie Brown | - | 22 | 31.8 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 6.9 | 4.7 | 203 | 7.8 | 24.3 | 35.5 | 32.1 | 63.6 | 3.21 | 50.4 | 49.7 |
| Chloe Siegel | - | 21 | 19.0 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 113 | 4.7 | 21.7 | 45.3 | 41.5 | 75.0 | -0.24 | 62.5 | 61.3 |
| Mia Hollingsworth | - | 17 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 39 | 1.9 | 34.2 | 46.7 | 42.9 | 100.0 | -1.08 | 62.8 | 61.7 |
| Lindsay Garner | - | 8 | 14.0 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 23 | 2.9 | 6.4 | 46.7 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.29 | 51.0 | 46.7 |
| Mckenzie Percoski | - | 20 | 13.2 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 73 | 3.2 | 34.4 | 54.1 | 60.0 | 66.7 | 0.42 | 59.1 | 56.6 |
| Grace Lynch | - | 10 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 2.3 | -11 | -0.8 | -51.2 | 38.1 | 25.0 | 62.5 | 0.38 | 46.9 | 42.9 |
| Danika Starr | - | 13 | 11.2 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 18 | 1.1 | 15.7 | 34.8 | 29.4 | 50.0 | -0.02 | 46.1 | 45.7 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG