Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1080 (#67) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1170 (#58) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1075 (#98) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +18.2 (#26) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.8 (#192) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.808 (#158) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#12) | NetEff +84.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.916 (#113) | AdjNet +20.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.918 (#116) | AdjNet +20.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.816 (#106) | AdjO 86.1 | AdjD 69.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.664 (#90) | AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 68.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.715 (#126) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.704 (#127) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1133 (#90) | RD 99 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Nova Southeastern | L | 79 - 87 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Barry | W | 100 - 97 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Bluefield Univ. | W | 107 - 72 |
| 2025-11-23 | vs | USC Beaufort | W | 100 - 66 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Point U. | W | 117 - 64 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Spring Hill | W | 88 - 82 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | West Florida | W | 87 - 80 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Valdosta St. | L | 91 - 93 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Trevecca Nazarene | L | 61 - 70 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Lee | W | 89 - 68 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Mississippi Col. | W | 72 - 68 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Delta St. | W | 76 - 63 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Union (TN) | W | 80 - 54 |
| 2026-01-04 | vs | Christian Brothers | W | 71 - 56 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Montevallo | L | 68 - 71 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | AUM | W | 100 - 66 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | West Ala. | L | 54 - 70 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Valdosta St. | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | West Florida | L | 76 - 78 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Lee | W | 80 - 76 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Trevecca Nazarene | L | 77 - 78 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Delta St. | W | 69 - 67 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Toles | - | 21 | 29.0 | 17.3 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 13.0 | 8.9 | 73 | 3.5 | 18.2 | 42.9 | 39.9 | 84.1 | 0.73 | 58.2 | 52.9 |
| Thomas Allard | - | 21 | 29.9 | 15.6 | 5.6 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 10.7 | 12.8 | 104 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 47.8 | 35.1 | 80.4 | 0.55 | 61.8 | 56.5 |
| Matthew Thurman | - | 22 | 25.1 | 10.4 | 5.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 7.5 | 9.2 | 82 | 3.6 | 20.2 | 48.2 | 42.6 | 68.3 | 1.1 | 61.9 | 60.2 |
| Knute Wood | - | 21 | 27.9 | 8.1 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 6.8 | 5.9 | 82 | 3.9 | 18.4 | 43.4 | 37.6 | 61.1 | 1.44 | 56.3 | 55.6 |
| Jordan Mabe | - | 22 | 21.1 | 7.6 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 4.5 | 8.7 | 56 | 2.5 | 15.4 | 60.2 | 0.0 | 72.1 | 2.29 | 65.3 | 60.2 |
| Bryce Mason | - | 12 | 18.0 | 7.4 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 5.1 | 6.2 | -46 | -3.8 | -23.8 | 59.0 | 42.1 | 69.2 | -1.04 | 66.7 | 65.6 |
| Rayven Turner | - | 19 | 17.0 | 7.2 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 5.6 | 6.7 | 110 | 5.8 | 42.6 | 44.3 | 43.1 | 78.3 | -0.15 | 59.0 | 56.1 |
| Victor Odiari | - | 1 | 7.8 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Griffin Cooper | - | 18 | 16.0 | 5.6 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 6.7 | 37 | 2.1 | 34.2 | 69.0 | 0 | 62.5 | 0.89 | 69.4 | 69.0 |
| Joshua Gibson | - | 8 | 9.2 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.6 | 2.1 | - | - | - | 37.9 | 25.0 | 70.0 | - | 49.4 | 44.8 |
| Preston Parker | - | 21 | 12.7 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 19 | 0.9 | 8.7 | 45.3 | 26.3 | 72.0 | -0.61 | 54.0 | 49.2 |
| Carson Chandler | - | 2 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 25.0 | 75.0 | - | 52.1 | 37.5 |
| Trey Hamilton | - | 16 | 8.1 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 6 | 0.4 | 14.9 | 37.5 | 30.3 | 60.0 | -0.84 | 51.8 | 50.0 |
| Graham Martin | - | 15 | 9.5 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 32 | 2.1 | 97.3 | 47.1 | 36.8 | 0.0 | 3.36 | 56.6 | 57.4 |
| Garrison Sharpe | - | 8 | 8.7 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 22 | 2.8 | 39.5 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 63.6 | 1.52 | 73.8 | 75.0 |
| Jack Shutters | - | 5 | 6.8 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 29.1 | 33.3 |
| Aiden Weaver | - | 3 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 43.1 | 0.0 |
| Will Amonett | - | 5 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 30.0 | 30.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG