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Tuskegee

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Tuskegee
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1027 (#192) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1037 (#215) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 962 (#543) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -5.5 (#221) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -1.0 (#382) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.559 (#335) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -0.5 More → 0.482 (#284) NetEff -0.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.3 More → 0.490 (#412) AdjNet -0.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.2 More → 0.493 (#415) AdjNet -0.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 59.7 More → 0.489 (#420) AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 59.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 54.9 | AdjD 57.1 More → 0.451 (#466) AdjO 54.9 | AdjD 57.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.444 (#407) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.445 (#400) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 21 More → 1014 (#228) RD 102 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-18 @ West Florida L 69 - 75
2025-11-20 vs Fort Valley St. W 62 - 59
2025-11-22 vs Clark Atlanta W 62 - 54
2025-11-25 vs Kentucky St. W 65 - 57
2025-11-29 @ Lane L 52 - 65
2025-12-04 @ Alabama A&M L 44 - 64
2025-12-11 vs Allen W 62 - 50
2025-12-13 vs Benedict L 43 - 46
2025-12-17 @ Savannah St. W 55 - 49
2025-12-19 @ Edward Waters L 44 - 52
2026-01-03 @ Kentucky St. W 60 - 51
2026-01-10 vs Lane L 52 - 67
2026-01-14 vs Spring Hill W 69 - 58
2026-01-17 @ Miles L 52 - 81
2026-01-19 vs Albany St. (GA) W 70 - 65
2026-01-22 @ Fort Valley St. W 69 - 55
2026-01-27 @ Clark Atlanta L 50 - 66
2026-02-05 @ Allen L 56 - 69
2026-02-07 @ Benedict L 49 - 60

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Arianna Durrell - 19 36.2 14.6 3.6 2.6 2.4 0.2 5.0 12.9 5.5 -46 -2.7 -18.6 30.2 31.5 81.9 0.05 47.0 37.3
Tenea Robinson - 10 23.8 13.0 3.0 0.8 1.1 1.0 3.3 8.9 6.7 -8 -0.8 -7.1 46.1 12.5 83.9 0.26 57.2 46.6
Shemaiah Mackin - 19 33.1 9.5 9.5 0.9 1.6 0.8 3.4 9.1 9.8 43 2.5 15.0 39.5 0.0 57.9 0.9 43.8 39.5
Aaliyah Duranham - 16 18.5 5.6 3.4 0.8 1.1 0.1 1.8 5.4 3.8 -41 -2.9 -33.4 41.9 16.7 47.1 -1.02 44.1 42.4
Erin Perry - 18 21.5 5.5 4.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.6 4.4 4.8 23 1.4 17.4 52.5 0 60.0 1.47 54.4 52.5
Kae'la Mitchell - 16 16.5 3.5 1.5 1.6 0.8 0.1 2.6 4.0 0.9 -20 -1.4 -16.4 29.7 25.0 65.4 0.67 37.1 30.5
Brooklyn McKinley - 19 19.6 3.4 1.6 1.3 0.9 0.2 1.8 3.7 1.8 -14 -0.8 -19.6 25.7 25.0 73.1 -1.39 39.3 32.1
AIyonna Kimble - 19 15.7 3.3 3.8 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.6 2.9 4.0 -41 -2.4 -40.2 50.0 0 31.8 -1.01 48.0 50.0
Breanna Glaze - 17 14.7 2.8 1.6 0.6 0.5 0.0 1.3 3.1 1.3 3 0.2 1.6 32.7 36.4 50.0 1.89 44.6 44.2
Jayden Bullard - 17 11.0 2.1 1.5 0.5 0.6 0.0 1.2 2.1 1.5 1 0.1 1.8 25.7 27.3 75.0 0.05 41.1 30.0
Morgan Jones - 13 5.4 1.8 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.5 1.8 0.7 21 1.9 38.0 30.4 38.9 100.0 0.73 48.2 45.7
Aaliyah Younger - 5 7.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.0 0.0 - - - 40.0 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Cylee Leggett - 6 3.9 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.2 -0.7 -1 -0.1 -6.3 28.6 25.0 0 -0.98 35.7 35.7
Trinity Layton - 14 5.3 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.6 -12 -1.1 -21.6 27.3 40.0 0 -0.58 36.4 36.4
Breana Griffin - 6 3.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.7 1.0 -1.3 8 1.6 24.2 0.0 0.0 25.0 0.08 6.4 0.0
Alyssa Green-White - 1 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Donyeil Bolton - 5 2.5 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.0 0.2 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG