🐻⬇️🏀

Tuskegee

Season: 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018 2016-2017
Also known as: Tuskegee
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 927 (#196) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +68 elo More → 967 (#182) HCA +68 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +69 elo More → 955 (#187) HCA +69 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → -2.0 (#221) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → -2.2 (#225) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.428 (#177) -
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 55.3 | AdjD 56.7 More → 0.469 (#210) AdjO 55.3 | AdjD 56.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 54.9 | AdjD 56.5 More → 0.464 (#211) AdjO 54.9 | AdjD 56.5
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 134 | GP 25 More → 939 (#188) RD 134 | GP 25

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2025-2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-18 @ West Florida L 69 - 75
2025-11-20 vs Fort Valley St. W 62 - 59
2025-11-22 vs Clark Atlanta W 62 - 54
2025-11-25 vs Kentucky St. W 65 - 57
2025-11-29 @ Lane L 52 - 65
2025-12-04 @ Alabama A&M L 44 - 64
2025-12-11 vs Allen W 62 - 50
2025-12-13 vs Benedict L 43 - 46
2025-12-17 @ Savannah St. W 55 - 49
2025-12-19 @ Edward Waters L 44 - 52
2026-01-03 @ Kentucky St. W 60 - 51
2026-01-10 vs Lane L 52 - 67
2026-01-14 vs Spring Hill W 69 - 58
2026-01-17 @ Miles L 52 - 81
2026-01-19 vs Albany St. (GA) W 70 - 65
2026-01-22 @ Fort Valley St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-27 @ Clark Atlanta - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 @ Allen L 56 - 69
2026-02-07 @ Benedict L 49 - 60
2026-02-11 @ Spring Hill L 45 - 49
2026-02-14 vs Miles L 50 - 58
2026-02-16 @ Albany St. (GA) L 48 - 52
2026-02-19 vs Savannah St. W 81 - 46
2026-02-21 vs Edward Waters L 41 - 53
2026-02-28 vs Fort Valley St. W 57 - 52
2026-03-05 @ Clark Atlanta L 52 - 62

2025-2026 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Arianna Durrell - 25 35.8 13.6 3.0 2.5 2.1 0.2 4.2 12.9 4.3 10 25 0.4 0.5 30.0 27.0 81.3 0.14 44.5 35.8
Tenea Robinson - 17 26.6 11.4 3.5 0.9 1.1 0.9 2.8 8.7 6.2 -30 18 -1.7 -2.7 40.5 15.8 83.3 -1.34 52.2 41.6
Shemaiah Mackin - 25 32.0 9.2 9.4 0.8 1.6 0.8 2.8 8.9 10.1 56 25 2.2 3.0 39.9 0.0 56.7 3.94 43.6 39.9
Aaliyah Duranham - 22 21.9 6.9 5.1 0.8 1.4 0.1 1.6 6.9 5.8 26 22 1.2 2.3 41.1 16.7 56.2 1.49 44.2 41.4
Erin Perry - 23 18.5 5.1 3.8 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.3 4.0 4.7 28 23 1.2 2.5 53.8 0 53.1 -0.87 54.6 53.8
Kae'la Mitchell - 20 17.4 4.4 1.6 1.7 0.8 0.1 2.2 4.7 1.6 68 20 3.4 7.8 35.1 33.3 57.6 2.71 40.5 36.7
Breanna Glaze - 22 14.6 3.1 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.2 3.4 1.4 -33 20 -1.6 -4.6 32.4 36.7 50.0 -3.57 44.9 44.6
AIyonna Kimble - 25 13.7 2.8 3.4 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.7 3.3 -90 25 -3.6 -11.3 46.3 0 31.8 -8.43 45.0 46.3
Brooklyn McKinley - 25 19.6 2.8 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.2 1.7 3.5 1.2 -48 25 -1.9 -3.9 20.5 17.5 75.0 -3.99 33.7 24.4
Jayden Bullard - 21 9.6 2.0 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 1.8 1.6 16 21 0.8 3.8 29.7 27.3 77.3 -0.14 45.0 33.8
Morgan Jones - 18 4.1 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.4 1.3 0.4 37 16 2.3 20.6 30.4 31.6 100.0 2.59 46.1 43.5
Aaliyah Younger - 4 8.8 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.2 0.2 -2 3 -0.7 -4.7 40.0 50.0 0 -1.64 50.0 50.0
Trinity Layton - 19 5.5 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 0.9 0.8 -21 18 -1.2 -7.9 35.3 33.3 0 -2.53 41.2 41.2
Cylee Leggett - 9 3.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.3 -1.0 -10 8 -1.2 -16.0 16.7 12.5 0 -3.39 20.8 20.8
Breana Griffin - 7 3.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.9 -1.1 -3 5 -0.6 -6.3 0.0 0.0 25.0 -1.13 6.4 0.0
Donyeil Bolton - 4 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 -0.2 -1 3 -0.3 -7.9 0 0 0 -1.34 0 0
Alyssa Green-White - 1 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -3 1 -3.0 -45.3 0.0 0 0 -1.8 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG