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Tuskegee

Also known as: Tuskegee
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 957 (#380) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 994 (#282) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 962 (#543) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -6.3 (#276) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -1.0 (#382) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.559 (#335) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -0.5 More → 0.482 (#284) NetEff -0.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.3 More → 0.490 (#412) AdjNet -0.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.2 More → 0.493 (#415) AdjNet -0.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 59.7 More → 0.489 (#420) AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 59.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 54.9 | AdjD 57.1 More → 0.451 (#466) AdjO 54.9 | AdjD 57.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.444 (#408) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.445 (#400) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 101 | GP 21 More → 1013 (#236) RD 101 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-18 @ West Florida - Incomplete score
2025-11-20 vs Fort Valley St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Clark Atlanta - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 vs Kentucky St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ Lane - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 @ Alabama A&M - Incomplete score
2025-12-11 vs Allen - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 vs Benedict - Incomplete score
2025-12-17 @ Savannah St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-19 @ Edward Waters - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ Kentucky St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Lane - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs Spring Hill - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Miles - Incomplete score
2026-01-19 vs Albany St. (GA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-22 @ Fort Valley St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-27 @ Clark Atlanta - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 @ Allen - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Benedict - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Arianna Durrell - 18 36.0 14.6 3.4 2.7 2.4 0.2 4.8 13.1 5.4 -46 -2.7 -18.6 30.1 31.4 82.1 0.4 46.3 37.1
Tenea Robinson - 10 23.8 13.0 3.0 0.8 1.1 1.0 3.3 8.9 6.7 -8 -0.8 -7.1 46.1 12.5 83.9 -0.28 57.2 46.6
Shemaiah Mackin - 18 33.1 9.6 9.5 0.9 1.6 0.9 3.2 9.1 10.1 43 2.5 15.0 39.6 0.0 56.8 2.76 43.8 39.6
Aaliyah Duranham - 15 19.1 5.9 3.5 0.8 1.1 0.1 1.7 5.7 4.1 -41 -2.9 -33.4 42.4 16.7 47.1 -0.05 44.5 42.9
Erin Perry - 17 21.4 5.4 4.3 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.6 4.5 4.8 23 1.4 17.4 51.3 0 58.3 0.5 53.1 51.3
Kae'la Mitchell - 15 16.0 3.5 1.6 1.5 0.7 0.1 2.5 4.0 0.9 -20 -1.4 -16.4 28.3 25.0 65.4 1.52 36.4 29.2
AIyonna Kimble - 18 16.0 3.5 3.9 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.6 3.1 4.2 -41 -2.4 -40.2 50.0 0 31.8 -3.65 48.0 50.0
Brooklyn McKinley - 18 18.9 3.2 1.4 1.3 0.9 0.2 1.8 3.6 1.8 -14 -0.8 -19.6 25.0 20.6 73.1 1.24 38.4 30.5
Breanna Glaze - 16 15.5 3.0 1.8 0.7 0.6 0.0 1.3 3.2 1.4 3 0.2 1.6 32.7 36.4 50.0 -0.56 44.6 44.2
Jayden Bullard - 16 11.1 2.2 1.6 0.5 0.6 0.0 1.2 2.1 1.7 1 0.1 1.8 27.3 30.0 75.0 -1.93 43.1 31.8
Morgan Jones - 12 5.4 1.7 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.5 1.6 0.8 21 1.9 38.0 31.6 37.5 100.0 3.2 50.3 47.4
Aaliyah Younger - 4 8.8 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.2 0.2 - - - 40.0 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Cylee Leggett - 6 3.9 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.2 -0.7 -1 -0.1 -6.3 28.6 25.0 0 - 35.7 35.7
Trinity Layton - 13 5.1 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 -12 -1.1 -21.6 30.0 40.0 0 -1.63 40.0 40.0
Breana Griffin - 6 3.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.7 1.0 -1.3 8 1.6 24.2 0.0 0.0 25.0 0.8 6.4 0.0
Alyssa Green-White - 1 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Donyeil Bolton - 4 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 -0.2 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG