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Tuskegee

Also known as: Tuskegee
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1172 (#54) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1180 (#52) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1143 (#39) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +5.7 (#187) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +5.4 (#237) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.579 (#295) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +70.5 More → 1.000 (#13) NetEff +70.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.8 More → 0.524 (#409) AdjNet +0.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.9 More → 0.526 (#406) AdjNet +0.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 67.6 More → 0.501 (#418) AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 67.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 66.0 More → 0.615 (#129) AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 66.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.667 (#174) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.677 (#152) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 22 More → 1207 (#44) RD 105 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-05 vs Talladega - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 vs West Florida - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ AUM - Incomplete score
2025-11-20 vs Fort Valley St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Clark Atlanta - Incomplete score
2025-12-01 vs Morehouse - Incomplete score
2025-12-05 vs Fla. Memorial - Incomplete score
2025-12-11 vs Allen - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 vs Benedict - Incomplete score
2025-12-17 @ Savannah St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-19 @ Edward Waters - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ Kentucky St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-05 @ Central St. (OH) - Incomplete score
2026-01-08 vs LeMoyne-Owen - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Lane - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs Spring Hill - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Miles - Incomplete score
2026-01-19 vs Albany St. (GA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-22 @ Fort Valley St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-27 @ Clark Atlanta - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Morehouse - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 @ Allen - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Benedict - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Khalil Genwright - 22 34.3 15.7 4.9 1.6 1.1 0.6 2.1 10.5 11.2 -78 -3.9 -22.2 39.2 29.0 86.2 -0.65 57.3 45.0
Kusamae Draper - 22 31.4 15.3 7.2 1.4 0.7 0.2 2.1 12.0 10.7 47 2.4 13.7 41.1 0.0 59.3 1.75 47.7 41.1
RJ Walker - 22 35.5 11.5 3.3 3.4 2.4 0.1 2.2 8.9 9.5 35 1.8 9.8 37.2 33.3 75.0 0.93 54.9 49.7
Anthony Wright - 19 27.0 9.1 6.3 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 6.5 11.0 31 1.7 18.1 55.3 0 58.1 0.23 57.2 55.3
Derrek Bolton III - 21 24.1 6.6 2.9 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.8 6.7 4.5 -19 -0.9 -7.8 36.4 28.8 66.7 -1.0 45.0 41.8
Noah Goines - 22 17.4 4.3 3.9 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.7 3.6 5.0 22 1.1 11.2 47.5 0.0 50.0 1.44 49.0 47.5
Keyon Webb - 6 19.8 3.8 4.5 1.3 1.2 0.3 2.3 3.8 5.0 4 0.8 4.8 26.1 28.6 63.6 4.03 41.3 34.8
Roy Obsaint - 21 12.2 3.7 3.0 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.9 3.3 3.7 41 2.0 29.1 35.7 27.5 66.7 1.53 47.8 43.6
Tyshawn Boyce - 20 8.7 2.3 2.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 1.8 2.7 4 0.2 3.6 31.4 0.0 66.7 0.06 45.2 31.4
Dylan Cambridge - 5 11.5 2.0 1.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.6 9 3.0 12.0 57.1 0.0 100.0 -0.07 63.5 57.1
Tank Spears II - 1 1.8 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Christian McAllister - 6 3.4 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.7 9 0.5 21.7 33.3 0.0 75.0 -1.4 52.5 33.3
Julian Watson - 18 6.0 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.2 0.3 17 1.1 55.1 23.8 16.7 50.0 -0.43 28.6 26.2
Avery Trice - 3 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 -0.3 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Christopher Whitmore Jr, - 11 6.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 - - - 28.6 28.6 0 - 42.9 42.9
Lee Harris - 5 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 -12 -0.5 -2.7 100.0 0 0 3.26 100.0 100.0
Michael Hodges Jr. - 7 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.1 -0.1 4 0.7 18.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.45 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG