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Tusculum

Also known as: Tusculum
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 859 (#339) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 828 (#340) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -4.5 (#248) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.080 (#548) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -8.2 More → 0.266 (#284) NetEff -8.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.2 More → 0.148 (#558) AdjNet -15.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.9 More → 0.146 (#558) AdjNet -14.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 78.4 More → 0.266 (#578) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 78.4

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-09 vs Lees-McRae L 70 - 78
2024-11-10 vs Columbus St. L 84 - 97
2024-11-13 @ North Greenville W 92 - 75
2024-11-16 vs USC Aiken W 95 - 78
2024-11-20 @ Carson-Newman L 73 - 93
2024-11-23 @ Wingate L 76 - 82
2024-11-26 vs Newberry W 74 - 66
2024-11-30 vs Mars Hill W 78 - 74
2024-12-07 @ Lenoir-Rhyne L 78 - 91
2024-12-11 vs Catawba L 77 - 88
2024-12-14 @ Coker L 54 - 86
2024-12-18 @ Lincoln Memorial W 60 - 58
2025-01-02 @ ETSU L 55 - 103
2025-01-04 vs Limestone L 72 - 77
2025-01-08 @ Emory & Henry W 94 - 81
2025-01-11 @ Anderson (SC) L 63 - 92
2025-01-15 vs Lincoln Memorial L 70 - 79
2025-01-18 vs Coker L 71 - 81
2025-01-22 @ UVA Wise W 85 - 83
2025-01-25 vs Lenoir-Rhyne L 79 - 82
2025-01-29 @ Limestone L 73 - 88
2025-02-01 @ Catawba L 81 - 88
2025-02-05 vs Emory & Henry W 82 - 68
2025-02-08 vs Wingate L 66 - 77
2025-02-12 vs Carson-Newman L 60 - 89
2025-02-19 @ Mars Hill L 53 - 81
2025-02-22 @ Newberry W 73 - 51
2025-02-26 vs UVA Wise L 73 - 88
2025-03-01 vs Anderson (SC) L 67 - 88

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ni'kiah Chesterfield - 18 29.7 17.2 6.3 1.7 0.6 1.3 3.5 12.3 11.3 -144 -6.0 -7.4 53.4 40.9 74.7 -0.44 59.8 55.4
Jalyn Spurlin - 26 22.1 11.1 5.0 1.8 0.6 0.1 2.5 10.7 5.6 -118 -6.2 -9.1 40.8 0.0 65.6 -1.07 45.3 40.8
Abbi Douglas - 29 25.8 10.0 5.8 3.2 2.1 0.3 3.4 8.1 9.9 -85 -2.7 -3.7 42.4 21.6 72.5 -0.1 51.1 44.7
Carleigh Wilson - 28 24.5 7.2 4.5 2.2 1.8 1.4 1.5 6.9 8.6 -89 -4.0 -5.6 37.0 33.9 60.6 -0.04 48.9 47.4
Zoe Sharpe - 27 22.4 7.1 3.1 1.2 1.0 0.3 2.5 4.9 5.3 -130 -3.6 -4.8 49.6 36.4 58.9 -0.48 56.0 52.7
Danyell Booker - 28 14.5 6.5 3.7 0.6 1.1 0.0 1.9 5.5 4.5 -34 -1.6 -2.1 48.1 42.9 55.4 0.19 50.9 49.0
Jenna Kallenberg - 29 23.7 5.9 3.4 1.1 0.6 0.1 1.1 5.3 4.8 -135 -5.9 -8.6 38.6 36.3 81.8 -0.74 54.5 53.3
Monique Shim - 24 13.1 3.8 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.8 4.3 1.6 -54 -3.0 -6.5 30.8 29.8 50.0 -0.28 43.1 42.8
Josie Horner - 25 6.3 2.2 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.6 2.4 0.9 -101 -3.6 -8.2 39.0 25.0 80.0 -1.23 43.4 39.8
Angela Gomez - 29 13.7 1.9 1.5 1.8 0.2 0.1 1.5 2.1 2.0 -101 -3.1 -4.8 38.7 10.5 54.5 -0.81 41.9 40.3
Ema Nagyova - 22 9.5 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 2.1 0.4 -77 -3.2 -6.9 28.3 25.0 37.5 -0.62 38.4 38.0
Jenna Sparks - 15 4.9 1.6 1.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 2.3 1.1 -11 -1.8 -4.6 35.3 0 0.0 -0.12 34.8 35.3
Trinity Upton - 6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 -0.2 - - - 0.0 0 33.3 - 21.6 0.0
Artasia Cole - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -91 -2.5 -2.5 0 0 0 -0.28 0 0
Sariah Johnson - 4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 40 3.6 4.1 0 0 0 0.02 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG