Tusculum
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 732 (#530) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 724 (#521) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 757 (#691) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -17.9 (#280) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -16.6 (#573) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.080 (#548) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.014 (#448) | NetEff -30.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.148 (#558) | AdjNet -15.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.146 (#558) | AdjNet -14.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.266 (#578) | AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 78.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.190 (#666) | AdjO 56.3 | AdjD 72.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.110 (#646) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.115 (#651) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 643 (#517) | RD 110 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | vs | North Greenville | L | 59 - 87 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Western Caro. | L | 45 - 86 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Columbus St. | L | 47 - 103 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Lees-McRae | L | 60 - 71 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Young Harris | L | 48 - 72 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Coker | L | 45 - 72 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | King (TN) | L | 63 - 68 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Wingate | L | 50 - 77 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Catawba | L | 56 - 64 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Mars Hill | W | 71 - 63 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | USC Aiken | L | 52 - 55 |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Young Harris | L | 54 - 64 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Newberry | L | 71 - 75 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Anderson (SC) | L | 38 - 81 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | UVA Wise | L | 64 - 74 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Lenoir-Rhyne | L | 71 - 109 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Emory & Henry | W | 63 - 62 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Coker | L | 55 - 95 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Carson-Newman | L | 80 - 107 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Wingate | L | 60 - 68 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Lincoln Memorial | L | 47 - 70 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Catawba | L | 55 - 65 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makaylei Snyder | - | 1 | 27.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | -18 | -1.4 | -16.8 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 75.0 | 0.16 | 83.8 | 83.3 |
| Ioanna Stefanaki | - | 1 | 25.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 12 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 36.4 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 2.68 | 47.0 | 45.5 |
| Abbi Douglas | - | 19 | 22.4 | 10.1 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 9.6 | 5.8 | -151 | -6.9 | -51.5 | 37.4 | 30.4 | 67.7 | -0.28 | 45.9 | 41.2 |
| Ema Nagyova | - | 21 | 25.8 | 9.1 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 9.9 | 2.0 | -206 | -8.6 | -71.0 | 32.2 | 31.9 | 75.0 | -1.15 | 44.3 | 42.5 |
| Martina Garofalo | - | 21 | 32.5 | 7.7 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 7.2 | 5.9 | -207 | -9.4 | -72.7 | 41.7 | 24.1 | 78.6 | -1.26 | 49.6 | 46.4 |
| Maddison Neale | - | 9 | 20.8 | 7.6 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 6.7 | 2.0 | -70 | -5.8 | -52.8 | 36.7 | 39.0 | 88.9 | 1.61 | 53.2 | 50.0 |
| Angela Gomez | - | 21 | 30.9 | 7.0 | 2.2 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 3.5 | 6.9 | 3.6 | -163 | -7.1 | -50.6 | 42.1 | 34.3 | 41.2 | -1.98 | 46.3 | 46.2 |
| Josie Horner | - | 21 | 20.3 | 6.6 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 6.2 | 2.0 | -207 | -8.6 | -83.7 | 41.2 | 22.7 | 83.3 | -1.9 | 47.9 | 43.1 |
| Aisha Patel | - | 20 | 16.9 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 5.3 | 3.8 | -115 | -5.5 | -47.9 | 34.9 | 34.2 | 84.0 | -1.08 | 51.3 | 46.7 |
| Mackenna Nix | - | 1 | 29.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | -1.0 | -82 | -4.8 | -29.3 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 80.0 | -0.88 | 29.4 | 12.5 |
| Morgan McDermott | - | 1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | -70 | -4.1 | -26.9 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -2.85 | 38.1 | 35.7 |
| Monique Emelifeonwu | - | 1 | 38.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 21.0 | -133 | -7.8 | -35.9 | 20.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -1.28 | 39.3 | 30.0 |
| Zenia Palaska | - | 1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | -36 | -2.1 | -19.6 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.03 | 31.7 | 28.6 |
| Nika Kurdija | - | 1 | 31.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | -1.0 | -48 | -3.4 | -19.1 | 10.0 | 12.5 | 50.0 | 0.06 | 21.3 | 15.0 |
| Julia Szwichtenberg | - | 16 | 14.9 | 4.6 | 4.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 4.1 | 4.4 | -38 | -2.0 | -31.1 | 43.9 | 0 | 51.7 | 2.75 | 46.3 | 43.9 |
| Dora Van Rijs | - | 15 | 25.3 | 4.3 | 7.9 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 5.1 | 8.6 | -75 | -4.4 | -64.6 | 35.1 | 20.0 | 27.6 | 1.02 | 35.7 | 36.4 |
| Riley Miller | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -46 | -4.6 | -30.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.02 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Caroline McDowell | - | 17 | 9.1 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.3 | -0.2 | -83 | -4.9 | -66.2 | 20.5 | 20.0 | 83.3 | -1.47 | 32.4 | 28.2 |
| Artasia Cole | - | 10 | 15.2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.9 | -24 | -2.2 | -36.7 | 28.6 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0.92 | 42.1 | 35.7 |
| Brooke Calvert | - | 11 | 3.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | -0.4 | -22 | -2.0 | -66.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.22 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Destiny Harman | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -55 | -3.2 | -32.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.21 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jae'oni Davis | - | 1 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | 39 | 1.9 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3.98 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG