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Tusculum

Also known as: Tusculum
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 732 (#530) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 724 (#521) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 757 (#691) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -17.9 (#280) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -16.6 (#573) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.080 (#548) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -30.8 More → 0.014 (#448) NetEff -30.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.2 More → 0.148 (#558) AdjNet -15.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.9 More → 0.146 (#558) AdjNet -14.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 78.4 More → 0.266 (#578) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 78.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.3 | AdjD 72.2 More → 0.190 (#666) AdjO 56.3 | AdjD 72.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.110 (#646) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.115 (#651) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 110 | GP 24 More → 643 (#517) RD 110 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 vs North Greenville L 59 - 87
2025-11-09 @ Western Caro. L 45 - 86
2025-11-14 @ Columbus St. L 47 - 103
2025-11-15 @ Lees-McRae L 60 - 71
2025-11-19 vs Young Harris L 48 - 72
2025-11-29 vs Coker L 45 - 72
2025-12-03 vs King (TN) L 63 - 68
2025-12-06 @ Wingate L 50 - 77
2025-12-13 vs Catawba L 56 - 64
2025-12-17 @ Mars Hill W 71 - 63
2025-12-20 @ USC Aiken L 52 - 55
2025-12-31 @ Young Harris L 54 - 64
2026-01-03 @ Newberry L 71 - 75
2026-01-10 @ Anderson (SC) L 38 - 81
2026-01-14 @ UVA Wise L 64 - 74
2026-01-17 vs Lenoir-Rhyne L 71 - 109
2026-01-21 vs Emory & Henry W 63 - 62
2026-01-24 @ Coker L 55 - 95
2026-01-28 @ Carson-Newman L 80 - 107
2026-01-30 vs Wingate L 60 - 68
2026-02-04 vs Lincoln Memorial L 47 - 70
2026-02-07 @ Catawba L 55 - 65

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Makaylei Snyder - 1 27.0 13.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 12.0 -18 -1.4 -16.8 66.7 66.7 75.0 0.16 83.8 83.3
Ioanna Stefanaki - 1 25.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 1.0 12 0.8 4.8 36.4 40.0 50.0 2.68 47.0 45.5
Abbi Douglas - 19 22.4 10.1 4.3 1.6 1.8 0.5 2.9 9.6 5.8 -151 -6.9 -51.5 37.4 30.4 67.7 -0.28 45.9 41.2
Ema Nagyova - 21 25.8 9.1 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1 2.0 9.9 2.0 -206 -8.6 -71.0 32.2 31.9 75.0 -1.15 44.3 42.5
Martina Garofalo - 21 32.5 7.7 4.1 2.7 1.0 0.2 2.7 7.2 5.9 -207 -9.4 -72.7 41.7 24.1 78.6 -1.26 49.6 46.4
Maddison Neale - 9 20.8 7.6 2.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.3 6.7 2.0 -70 -5.8 -52.8 36.7 39.0 88.9 1.61 53.2 50.0
Angela Gomez - 21 30.9 7.0 2.2 3.8 0.9 0.1 3.5 6.9 3.6 -163 -7.1 -50.6 42.1 34.3 41.2 -1.98 46.3 46.2
Josie Horner - 21 20.3 6.6 3.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 2.2 6.2 2.0 -207 -8.6 -83.7 41.2 22.7 83.3 -1.9 47.9 43.1
Aisha Patel - 20 16.9 6.0 3.8 0.3 0.2 0.8 2.0 5.3 3.8 -115 -5.5 -47.9 34.9 34.2 84.0 -1.08 51.3 46.7
Mackenna Nix - 1 29.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 8.0 -1.0 -82 -4.8 -29.3 12.5 0.0 80.0 -0.88 29.4 12.5
Morgan McDermott - 1 17.0 6.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 1.0 -70 -4.1 -26.9 28.6 25.0 50.0 -2.85 38.1 35.7
Monique Emelifeonwu - 1 38.0 6.0 12.0 4.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 5.0 21.0 -133 -7.8 -35.9 20.0 33.3 50.0 -1.28 39.3 30.0
Zenia Palaska - 1 14.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 2.0 -36 -2.1 -19.6 28.6 0.0 50.0 0.03 31.7 28.6
Nika Kurdija - 1 31.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 -1.0 -48 -3.4 -19.1 10.0 12.5 50.0 0.06 21.3 15.0
Julia Szwichtenberg - 16 14.9 4.6 4.3 0.4 0.2 0.8 1.8 4.1 4.4 -38 -2.0 -31.1 43.9 0 51.7 2.75 46.3 43.9
Dora Van Rijs - 15 25.3 4.3 7.9 1.7 1.7 0.7 2.5 5.1 8.6 -75 -4.4 -64.6 35.1 20.0 27.6 1.02 35.7 36.4
Riley Miller - 1 13.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 -46 -4.6 -30.1 33.3 0.0 0 2.02 33.3 33.3
Caroline McDowell - 17 9.1 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.1 2.3 -0.2 -83 -4.9 -66.2 20.5 20.0 83.3 -1.47 32.4 28.2
Artasia Cole - 10 15.2 1.4 1.4 1.7 0.1 0.0 1.3 1.4 1.9 -24 -2.2 -36.7 28.6 50.0 66.7 0.92 42.1 35.7
Brooke Calvert - 11 3.9 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.2 -0.4 -22 -2.0 -66.6 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.22 26.6 0.0
Destiny Harman - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -55 -3.2 -32.0 0.0 0 0 -1.21 0.0 0.0
Jae'oni Davis - 1 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 39 1.9 8.5 0.0 0 0 3.98 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG