Tusculum
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 718 (#526) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 749 (#516) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 757 (#691) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -15.8 (#336) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -16.6 (#573) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.080 (#548) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.014 (#448) | NetEff -30.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.148 (#558) | AdjNet -15.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.146 (#558) | AdjNet -14.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.266 (#578) | AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 78.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.190 (#666) | AdjO 56.3 | AdjD 72.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.110 (#646) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.115 (#651) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 677 (#506) | RD 105 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | vs | North Greenville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Western Caro. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Columbus St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Lees-McRae | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Young Harris | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Coker | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | King (TN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Wingate | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Catawba | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Mars Hill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | USC Aiken | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Young Harris | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Newberry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Anderson (SC) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | UVA Wise | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Lenoir-Rhyne | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Emory & Henry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Coker | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Carson-Newman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Wingate | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Lincoln Memorial | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Catawba | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makaylei Snyder | - | 1 | 27.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | -18 | -1.4 | -16.8 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 75.0 | 0.82 | 83.8 | 83.3 |
| Ioanna Stefanaki | - | 1 | 25.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 12 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 36.4 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 5.05 | 47.0 | 45.5 |
| Abbi Douglas | - | 18 | 22.7 | 10.5 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 9.8 | 6.2 | -151 | -6.9 | -51.5 | 38.1 | 29.5 | 67.7 | -1.15 | 46.5 | 41.8 |
| Ema Nagyova | - | 20 | 26.2 | 9.3 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 9.9 | 2.0 | -206 | -8.6 | -71.0 | 32.8 | 32.8 | 72.2 | -2.29 | 45.2 | 43.7 |
| Martina Garofalo | - | 20 | 33.0 | 7.8 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 7.4 | 6.0 | -207 | -9.4 | -72.7 | 41.2 | 22.8 | 78.6 | -1.94 | 49.0 | 45.6 |
| Maddison Neale | - | 9 | 20.8 | 7.6 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 6.7 | 2.0 | -70 | -5.8 | -52.8 | 36.7 | 39.0 | 88.9 | 0.41 | 53.2 | 50.0 |
| Angela Gomez | - | 20 | 30.9 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 3.5 | 7.0 | 3.5 | -163 | -7.1 | -50.6 | 42.1 | 34.3 | 41.2 | 0.91 | 46.5 | 46.4 |
| Josie Horner | - | 20 | 20.0 | 6.3 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 6.1 | 2.1 | -207 | -8.6 | -83.7 | 41.0 | 23.8 | 84.6 | -3.73 | 47.6 | 43.0 |
| Mackenna Nix | - | 1 | 29.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | -1.0 | -82 | -4.8 | -29.3 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 2.33 | 29.4 | 12.5 |
| Morgan McDermott | - | 1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | -70 | -4.1 | -26.9 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -0.69 | 38.1 | 35.7 |
| Monique Emelifeonwu | - | 1 | 38.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 21.0 | -133 | -7.8 | -35.9 | 20.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -5.22 | 39.3 | 30.0 |
| Aisha Patel | - | 19 | 16.7 | 5.8 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 5.0 | 3.8 | -115 | -5.5 | -47.9 | 35.8 | 36.8 | 89.5 | 0.24 | 53.2 | 48.9 |
| Zenia Palaska | - | 1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | -36 | -2.1 | -19.6 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.19 | 31.7 | 28.6 |
| Nika Kurdija | - | 1 | 31.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | -1.0 | -48 | -3.4 | -19.1 | 10.0 | 12.5 | 50.0 | -2.11 | 21.3 | 15.0 |
| Julia Szwichtenberg | - | 16 | 14.9 | 4.6 | 4.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 4.1 | 4.4 | -38 | -2.0 | -31.1 | 43.9 | 0 | 51.7 | 1.09 | 46.3 | 43.9 |
| Dora Van Rijs | - | 14 | 25.4 | 4.4 | 8.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 8.9 | -75 | -4.4 | -64.6 | 37.0 | 22.2 | 28.6 | 1.22 | 37.7 | 38.4 |
| Riley Miller | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -46 | -4.6 | -30.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.78 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Caroline McDowell | - | 16 | 9.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.4 | -0.1 | -83 | -4.9 | -66.2 | 21.1 | 20.7 | 83.3 | -2.28 | 33.2 | 28.9 |
| Artasia Cole | - | 9 | 14.2 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 2.0 | -24 | -2.2 | -36.7 | 30.0 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 1.34 | 42.5 | 40.0 |
| Brooke Calvert | - | 10 | 3.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | -0.2 | -22 | -2.0 | -66.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -4.48 | 36.2 | 0.0 |
| Destiny Harman | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -55 | -3.2 | -32.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.77 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG