Tufts
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 967 (#308) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1028 (#205) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +13.6 (#64) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.583 (#418) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.557 (#220) | NetEff +1.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.927 (#191) | AdjNet +22.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.928 (#190) | AdjNet +21.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.762 (#196) | AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 57.6 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Brandeis | W | 67 - 61 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Endicott | W | 71 - 60 |
| 2024-11-22 | vs | Babson | W | 61 - 50 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Roger Williams | L | 54 - 57 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Scranton | L | 57 - 60 |
| 2024-12-01 | vs | Rhode Island Col. | W | 62 - 47 |
| 2024-12-03 | @ | Emmanuel (MA) | W | 70 - 52 |
| 2024-12-05 | @ | MIT | W | 66 - 60 |
| 2024-12-08 | vs | NYU | L | 50 - 97 |
| 2024-12-31 | vs | Ithaca | W | 57 - 42 |
| 2025-01-01 | @ | Springfield | W | 60 - 51 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | SUNY Cobleskill | L | 58 - 60 |
| 2025-01-05 | @ | Skidmore | W | 65 - 54 |
| 2025-01-10 | @ | Bowdoin | L | 47 - 62 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Colby | L | 59 - 83 |
| 2025-01-17 | vs | Williams | W | 61 - 52 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Middlebury | W | 72 - 63 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Connecticut Col. | W | 59 - 43 |
| 2025-01-31 | vs | Wesleyan (CT) | W | 76 - 42 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Trinity (CT) | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2025-02-07 | @ | Amherst | L | 59 - 66 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Hamilton | L | 54 - 72 |
| 2025-02-11 | @ | Smith | W | 60 - 50 |
| 2025-02-16 | @ | Bates | L | 46 - 62 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Trinity (CT) | W | 34 - 30 |
| 2025-03-07 | @ | Western New Eng. | L | 52 - 61 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Gonzalez | - | 26 | 29.7 | 13.2 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 14.2 | 5.9 | 30 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 33.9 | 30.3 | 72.6 | 0.49 | 43.2 | 40.2 |
| Monet Witherspoon | - | 26 | 25.8 | 11.1 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 9.2 | 6.7 | -10 | -0.4 | -0.5 | 43.5 | 36.5 | 78.2 | 0.45 | 52.7 | 47.5 |
| Stella Galanes | - | 25 | 16.3 | 6.6 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 5.8 | 2.9 | -58 | -1.8 | -2.9 | 37.0 | 37.1 | 85.7 | 0.22 | 50.8 | 45.9 |
| Sarah Crossett | - | 14 | 14.9 | 6.5 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 17 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 39.7 | 0 | 85.3 | 0.59 | 48.9 | 39.7 |
| Annie Aspesi | - | 18 | 14.4 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 5.1 | 1.8 | -16 | -0.6 | -0.9 | 34.8 | 20.0 | 80.0 | 0.65 | 41.0 | 38.6 |
| Annika Decker | - | 24 | 29.3 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 4.9 | 5.3 | 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 30.5 | 27.5 | 75.0 | 0.36 | 39.3 | 35.2 |
| Hannah Kelly | - | 25 | 11.2 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 0.5 | -28 | -1.3 | -3.1 | 39.3 | 32.6 | 100.0 | -0.17 | 49.3 | 47.6 |
| Caitlyn O'boyle | - | 5 | 25.8 | 3.2 | 9.4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 4.4 | 9.8 | -45 | -1.7 | -2.8 | 36.4 | 0 | 0 | -0.34 | 36.4 | 36.4 |
| Callie O'brien | - | 5 | 11.8 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 1.4 | -78 | -3.0 | -5.9 | 30.8 | 50.0 | 83.3 | -0.79 | 44.8 | 34.6 |
| Annie Ryan | - | 25 | 7.2 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 1.0 | -35 | -1.2 | -3.4 | 31.9 | 28.9 | 75.0 | -0.03 | 40.7 | 39.6 |
| Mikayla Paquette | - | 25 | 4.1 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 | -27 | -1.4 | -5.5 | 54.3 | 0 | 60.0 | -0.36 | 55.6 | 54.3 |
| Sophia Davis | - | 23 | 7.2 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.7 | -93 | -3.9 | -17.6 | 39.5 | 0 | 81.8 | -0.02 | 44.9 | 39.5 |
| Claire Kolkhorst | - | 25 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 0.2 | -47 | -1.7 | -3.2 | 30.2 | 28.9 | 50.0 | -0.02 | 43.3 | 43.0 |
| Abi Stone | - | 24 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 | -7 | -0.4 | -1.1 | 43.8 | 0 | 76.9 | -0.24 | 55.2 | 43.8 |
| Hope Nardone | - | 23 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | -0.3 | -6 | -0.4 | -2.3 | 21.1 | 14.3 | 66.7 | -0.16 | 32.3 | 26.3 |
| Siobhan Stapleton | - | 26 | 4.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.42 | 29.2 | 29.2 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG