🐻⬇️🏀

Truman St.

Also known as: Truman St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1012 (#150) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1049 (#127) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +6.9 (#127) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.402 (#400) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.1 More → 0.535 (#214) NetEff +1.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.8 More → 0.687 (#326) AdjNet +6.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.7 More → 0.712 (#321) AdjNet +7.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 68.1 More → 0.594 (#329) AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 68.1

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Cedarville W 74 - 61
2024-11-09 vs Ursuline W 81 - 60
2024-11-15 @ Concordia-St. Paul L 57 - 68
2024-11-16 @ Winona St. L 64 - 70
2024-11-22 vs Washburn L 59 - 81
2024-11-23 vs Quincy L 76 - 85
2024-11-26 @ Newman W 80 - 48
2024-11-27 @ Ark.-Fort Smith L 73 - 75
2024-11-30 vs Rockhurst W 82 - 64
2024-12-05 @ Southwest Baptist W 77 - 63
2024-12-07 @ Drury L 72 - 97
2024-12-19 @ Fort Hays St. L 57 - 77
2024-12-21 @ Hawaii Hilo L 61 - 68
2025-01-03 vs Missouri S&T L 72 - 74
2025-01-09 @ Ill. Springfield L 50 - 73
2025-01-11 @ McKendree L 60 - 72
2025-01-16 vs Upper Iowa L 77 - 88
2025-01-18 vs Lewis W 69 - 60
2025-01-20 vs Lincoln (MO) W 78 - 59
2025-01-25 @ Quincy L 69 - 82
2025-01-30 @ Rockhurst W 84 - 59
2025-02-01 @ William Jewell W 73 - 61
2025-02-06 vs Drury L 64 - 88
2025-02-08 vs Southwest Baptist W 84 - 77
2025-02-13 @ Lincoln (MO) W 78 - 42
2025-02-15 @ Missouri S&T L 67 - 70
2025-02-20 vs Maryville (MO) W 86 - 79
2025-02-22 vs Mo.-St. Louis W 67 - 59
2025-02-27 @ UIndy W 72 - 61
2025-03-01 vs William Jewell L 69 - 70
2025-03-06 @ Lewis L 61 - 77

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jordan Cunningham - 31 33.7 15.7 5.1 3.1 1.6 0.9 3.1 12.0 11.3 4 0.1 0.1 45.2 32.0 71.9 0.04 55.4 50.7
Molly Joyce - 31 31.1 15.2 4.1 2.1 1.3 0.3 2.8 11.6 8.5 8 0.3 0.3 39.6 29.9 84.7 0.05 54.3 46.0
Madison Niemeier - 4 26.8 12.2 4.5 2.2 1.0 0.2 1.5 10.0 8.8 - - - 55.0 0.0 71.4 -0.08 56.9 55.0
Bryar Duwe - 31 26.7 9.2 3.2 1.3 0.9 0.0 1.8 7.9 4.9 14 0.5 0.4 42.4 38.5 70.0 0.45 54.5 52.7
Emma Bulman - 31 18.3 5.8 3.6 1.0 0.7 0.4 1.6 4.4 5.5 29 0.9 1.5 41.2 29.0 68.0 0.44 53.6 47.8
Lexie White - 30 19.9 5.7 4.4 1.0 0.7 0.5 1.1 5.5 5.7 2 0.1 0.1 37.0 29.3 73.0 0.05 47.2 43.6
Katelyn Odem - 31 18.5 4.6 2.0 0.8 0.7 0.1 1.1 4.0 3.1 -49 -1.1 -1.7 44.4 26.3 52.3 -0.68 49.9 48.4
Tori Standefer - 29 12.7 4.5 2.3 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.4 29 1.2 2.4 45.2 39.5 86.0 0.43 63.2 55.4
Gracie Neff - 31 15.0 2.5 1.4 1.5 0.4 0.1 1.1 2.3 2.4 -12 -0.4 -0.7 35.7 30.2 70.0 -0.23 48.9 45.0
Mallory Ott - 23 7.1 2.3 1.9 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.3 2.3 2.1 -6 -0.2 -0.4 37.0 15.8 73.3 -0.42 44.6 39.8
Kaitlyn Patke - 31 4.5 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.6 1.6 1.1 15 0.9 3.6 42.0 8.3 75.0 0.2 48.2 43.0
Lizzie Boehm - 26 1.9 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 2 0.3 1.3 33.3 30.0 0.0 -0.03 38.8 43.3
Avery Larson - 30 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 - - - 80.0 0 50.0 - 72.0 80.0
Maddie Niemeier - 23 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 - - - 33.3 0 50.0 -0.08 36.3 33.3
Mckenna Williams - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -20 -1.0 -3.1 0 0 0 -0.16 0 0
Nicky Huss - 30 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 -0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Braylee Rogers - 17 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -14 -1.3 -2.0 0 0 0 -0.44 0 0
Sophia Hope - 17 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG