Truman St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1000 (#270) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 988 (#293) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1076 (#96) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.1 (#137) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.2 (#184) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.402 (#400) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.429 (#292) | NetEff -2.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.687 (#326) | AdjNet +6.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.712 (#321) | AdjNet +7.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.594 (#329) | AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.670 (#104) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 61.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.705 (#170) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.709 (#162) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1061 (#180) | RD 96 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Ursuline | W | 86 - 63 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Cedarville | L | 60 - 62 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Concordia-St. Paul | L | 60 - 82 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Winona St. | L | 64 - 89 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Ark.-Fort Smith | W | 66 - 64 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Mo. Southern St. | L | 82 - 96 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Rockhurst | W | 81 - 58 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Drury | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Southwest Baptist | W | 90 - 55 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Washburn | L | 52 - 68 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Marquette | L | 43 - 86 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Lincoln (MO) | W | 69 - 56 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Ill. Springfield | W | 64 - 53 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Lewis | L | 38 - 53 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Upper Iowa | W | 77 - 63 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Quincy | W | 79 - 51 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | William Jewell | W | 108 - 65 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Rockhurst | W | 77 - 38 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Southwest Baptist | W | 65 - 62 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Drury | L | 76 - 88 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emajin McCallop | - | 17 | 28.1 | 15.0 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 11.1 | 11.1 | 73 | 3.8 | 21.8 | 44.1 | 34.8 | 86.2 | 4.79 | 55.6 | 46.3 |
| Mariann Blass | - | 16 | 24.3 | 10.6 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 9.2 | 3.8 | 39 | 2.2 | 15.7 | 44.6 | 38.1 | 73.7 | 0.25 | 54.4 | 52.7 |
| Morgan Miller | - | 20 | 29.8 | 9.8 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 9.2 | 5.3 | -25 | -1.1 | -4.5 | 35.9 | 27.4 | 53.3 | -0.65 | 46.3 | 44.3 |
| Avery Rausch | - | 20 | 18.4 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 5.8 | 6.7 | 13 | 0.6 | 5.1 | 41.0 | 29.4 | 82.1 | 2.16 | 58.5 | 47.4 |
| Mallory Ott | - | 20 | 23.1 | 8.0 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 6.1 | 7.9 | 8 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 45.1 | 34.1 | 76.1 | -0.77 | 56.2 | 51.2 |
| Katelyn Odem | - | 20 | 26.2 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 6.2 | 5.0 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.2 | 46.3 | 34.0 | 52.9 | 0.65 | 54.0 | 53.3 |
| Lexie White | - | 10 | 17.1 | 5.7 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.8 | 5.8 | 24 | 1.8 | 10.8 | 43.8 | 30.0 | 100.0 | 2.12 | 54.8 | 50.0 |
| Braylee Rogers | - | 20 | 19.7 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 4.3 | -6 | -0.3 | -2.2 | 37.6 | 10.0 | 77.8 | 2.95 | 42.1 | 38.2 |
| Kennedy Retherford | - | 10 | 7.0 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 21 | 2.1 | 30.2 | 40.0 | 38.9 | 62.5 | 0.71 | 56.1 | 54.0 |
| Maggie Chambers | - | 19 | 8.2 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 47.7 | 27.3 | 69.2 | -1.05 | 54.3 | 51.1 |
| Sophia Hope | - | 9 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 16 | 1.6 | 20.3 | 30.0 | 28.6 | 0 | 0.09 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Neylan Vila Delicado | - | 20 | 14.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 28 | 1.3 | 7.1 | 29.7 | 35.0 | 50.0 | 0.6 | 41.1 | 39.2 |
| Marta Perez Souza | - | 14 | 4.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 12 | 0.9 | 9.4 | 31.2 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.19 | 38.5 | 34.4 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG