Truman St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1057 (#124) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1029 (#240) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1076 (#96) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.3 (#152) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.2 (#184) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.402 (#400) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.429 (#292) | NetEff -2.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.687 (#326) | AdjNet +6.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.712 (#321) | AdjNet +7.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.594 (#329) | AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.670 (#104) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 61.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.704 (#170) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.708 (#162) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1074 (#171) | RD 96 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Ursuline | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Cedarville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Concordia-St. Paul | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Winona St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Ark.-Fort Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Mo. Southern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Rockhurst | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Drury | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Southwest Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Washburn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Marquette | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Lincoln (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Ill. Springfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Lewis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Upper Iowa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Quincy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | William Jewell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Rockhurst | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Southwest Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Drury | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emajin McCallop | - | 16 | 28.4 | 15.6 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 11.2 | 11.5 | 73 | 3.8 | 21.8 | 45.3 | 36.4 | 85.9 | 5.33 | 56.7 | 47.5 |
| Mariann Blass | - | 15 | 24.5 | 10.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 9.1 | 3.6 | 39 | 2.2 | 15.7 | 44.1 | 35.7 | 73.7 | 1.51 | 53.3 | 51.5 |
| Morgan Miller | - | 19 | 29.9 | 9.8 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 9.0 | 5.8 | -25 | -1.1 | -4.5 | 36.8 | 28.3 | 53.4 | -0.84 | 47.6 | 45.6 |
| Avery Rausch | - | 19 | 18.4 | 9.2 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 5.9 | 6.9 | 13 | 0.6 | 5.1 | 41.6 | 30.6 | 82.5 | 1.82 | 59.0 | 48.2 |
| Mallory Ott | - | 19 | 23.2 | 8.3 | 5.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 6.1 | 8.3 | 8 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 46.6 | 34.1 | 76.1 | -0.55 | 57.6 | 52.6 |
| Katelyn Odem | - | 19 | 26.3 | 7.8 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 6.1 | 5.5 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.2 | 49.1 | 35.4 | 52.9 | -1.26 | 56.9 | 56.5 |
| Lexie White | - | 9 | 17.6 | 6.3 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 5.0 | 6.7 | 24 | 1.8 | 10.8 | 46.7 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.79 | 58.2 | 53.3 |
| Braylee Rogers | - | 19 | 19.3 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 4.7 | 4.7 | -6 | -0.3 | -2.2 | 38.2 | 0.0 | 77.8 | -0.8 | 42.3 | 38.2 |
| Kennedy Retherford | - | 9 | 6.6 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 21 | 2.1 | 30.2 | 43.5 | 41.2 | 62.5 | 0.5 | 60.3 | 58.7 |
| Maggie Chambers | - | 18 | 8.4 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 46.5 | 27.3 | 69.2 | -0.89 | 53.4 | 50.0 |
| Sophia Hope | - | 9 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 16 | 1.6 | 20.3 | 30.0 | 28.6 | 0 | 1.44 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Neylan Vila Delicado | - | 19 | 14.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 28 | 1.3 | 7.1 | 30.6 | 35.0 | 50.0 | 0.42 | 42.1 | 40.3 |
| Marta Perez Souza | - | 14 | 4.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 12 | 0.9 | 9.4 | 31.2 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.08 | 38.5 | 34.4 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG