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Truman St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Truman St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 981 (#274) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 988 (#252) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 991 (#336) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +7.6 (#163) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +7.6 (#196) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.468 (#359) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +19.9 More → 0.888 (#200) NetEff +19.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.5 More → 0.825 (#217) AdjNet +13.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.8 More → 0.834 (#214) AdjNet +13.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.9 | AdjD 71.8 More → 0.715 (#221) AdjO 81.9 | AdjD 71.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.0 | AdjD 72.2 More → 0.608 (#137) AdjO 77.0 | AdjD 72.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.674 (#166) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.658 (#173) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 92 | GP 24 More → 1023 (#202) RD 92 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Findlay - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Cedarville - Incomplete score
2025-11-17 vs Angelo St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 vs Calvary - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ Purdue Northwest - Incomplete score
2025-11-28 vs Midwestern St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ Rockhurst - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 vs Drury - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Southwest Baptist - Incomplete score
2025-12-07 vs Cameron - Incomplete score
2025-12-10 vs Purdue Northwest - Incomplete score
2025-12-14 @ Northeastern St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-17 vs Hillsdale - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 vs Missouri Western - Incomplete score
2026-01-02 @ Lincoln (MO) - Incomplete score
2026-01-04 @ Missouri S&T - Incomplete score
2026-01-08 vs McKendree - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Ill. Springfield - Incomplete score
2026-01-15 @ Lewis - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Upper Iowa - Incomplete score
2026-01-22 vs Quincy - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 vs William Jewell - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Rockhurst - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 @ Southwest Baptist - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Drury - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Julian Brown - 20 30.4 15.2 3.5 2.6 1.1 0.1 2.1 12.3 8.1 3 0.6 0.8 42.3 34.7 80.6 1.57 55.2 50.8
Jahki Parrinello - 22 26.6 14.8 3.7 3.1 0.9 0.1 3.9 10.6 8.2 56 2.5 13.1 43.8 23.8 70.0 1.83 53.7 45.9
Emmanuel Byrd - 22 25.6 10.5 9.2 2.3 1.1 1.1 1.9 7.5 14.8 -13 -0.6 -3.1 53.7 40.0 67.5 -1.54 58.1 54.3
Ja'Vion Byers - 21 25.9 9.7 2.4 1.4 0.4 0.0 1.2 7.3 5.4 49 2.3 10.6 45.1 38.0 76.1 1.4 58.6 54.9
Drew Kingery - 22 26.5 8.6 3.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.7 5.8 6.5 43 2.0 9.6 52.3 41.4 76.5 0.64 66.1 63.7
Marquis Carver-Smith - 22 16.5 6.3 3.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.8 4.3 5.6 -59 -2.8 -26.6 45.3 29.4 69.4 -3.74 56.8 50.5
Quientan McCafferty - 18 12.7 6.3 4.8 0.2 0.1 0.8 0.7 5.0 6.6 28 1.6 14.1 52.2 35.7 71.4 -0.38 59.3 57.8
Troy Anderson - 22 21.3 3.5 1.8 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.7 3.7 2.1 46 2.2 14.5 35.4 20.5 71.4 1.94 43.7 40.9
Brennan Lovette - 20 14.0 3.0 2.5 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.6 2.5 3.8 82 4.1 44.1 52.0 23.5 83.3 3.37 57.9 56.0
Justin Duff - 16 10.7 2.1 1.5 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.5 2.7 1.2 22 1.4 19.1 30.2 6.7 85.7 2.26 35.8 31.4
Titus Miller - 5 7.9 1.0 0.4 0.4 1.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.0 14 2.8 36.1 28.6 0.0 50.0 0.48 31.7 28.6
Mason Carroll - 2 3.1 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 34.7 0.0
Darin Donalds - 2 3.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 26.6 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG