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Truman St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Truman St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 910 (#374) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 994 (#255) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 991 (#336) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +8.5 (#119) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +7.6 (#196) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.468 (#359) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +19.9 More → 0.888 (#200) NetEff +19.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.5 More → 0.825 (#217) AdjNet +13.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.8 More → 0.834 (#214) AdjNet +13.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.9 | AdjD 71.8 More → 0.715 (#221) AdjO 81.9 | AdjD 71.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.0 | AdjD 72.2 More → 0.608 (#137) AdjO 77.0 | AdjD 72.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.674 (#166) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.657 (#174) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 91 | GP 25 More → 1029 (#194) RD 91 | GP 25

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Findlay L 79 - 103
2025-11-15 vs Cedarville W 85 - 76
2025-11-17 vs Angelo St. W 77 - 54
2025-11-19 vs Calvary W 84 - 46
2025-11-25 @ Purdue Northwest L 64 - 73
2025-11-28 vs Midwestern St. W 67 - 57
2025-11-29 @ Rockhurst L 79 - 95
2025-12-04 vs Drury W 86 - 79
2025-12-06 vs Southwest Baptist L 61 - 76
2025-12-07 vs Cameron W 93 - 63
2025-12-10 vs Purdue Northwest L 76 - 78
2025-12-14 @ Northeastern St. L 81 - 90
2025-12-17 vs Hillsdale L 84 - 88
2025-12-20 vs Missouri Western W 100 - 91
2026-01-02 @ Lincoln (MO) W 59 - 57
2026-01-04 @ Missouri S&T L 75 - 83
2026-01-08 vs McKendree L 62 - 73
2026-01-10 vs Ill. Springfield W 66 - 65
2026-01-15 @ Lewis W 74 - 40
2026-01-17 @ Upper Iowa L 82 - 91
2026-01-22 vs Quincy W 91 - 88
2026-01-29 vs William Jewell L 79 - 91
2026-01-31 vs Rockhurst L 74 - 92
2026-02-05 @ Southwest Baptist W 73 - 67
2026-02-07 @ Drury L 70 - 80

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dior Johnson - 1 31.9 33.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 15.0 22.0 3 0.2 1.3 46.7 50.0 85.7 -0.52 68.1 50.0
Julian Brown - 20 30.4 15.2 3.5 2.6 1.1 0.1 2.1 12.3 8.1 3 0.6 0.8 42.3 34.7 80.6 1.11 55.2 50.8
Jahki Parrinello - 22 26.6 14.8 3.7 3.1 0.9 0.1 3.9 10.6 8.2 56 2.5 13.1 43.8 23.8 70.0 0.42 53.7 45.9
Jaden Juarez - 1 20.7 12.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 4.0 -158 -7.2 -36.9 44.4 33.3 100.0 -2.32 60.7 55.6
Jordan Mizell - 2 28.6 11.0 5.5 3.0 4.0 0.0 3.5 6.0 14.0 - - - 75.0 0 80.0 - 77.5 75.0
Jordan Mitchell - 1 20.8 11.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 6.0 -59 -1.6 -17.0 50.0 0.0 75.0 1.28 56.4 50.0
Thomas Tangle - 1 28.9 11.0 11.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 13.0 -5 -0.3 -2.4 37.5 40.0 50.0 -0.55 51.7 50.0
Emmanuel Byrd - 22 25.6 10.5 9.2 2.3 1.1 1.1 1.9 7.5 14.8 -13 -0.6 -3.1 53.7 40.0 67.5 -1.92 58.1 54.3
Ja'Vion Byers - 21 25.9 9.7 2.4 1.4 0.4 0.0 1.2 7.3 5.4 49 2.3 10.6 45.1 38.0 76.1 1.58 58.6 54.9
Andy Sigiscar - 2 15.2 9.5 3.5 0.0 0.5 2.0 1.0 5.5 9.0 - - - 63.6 0 71.4 - 67.5 63.6
Arzhonte Dallas - 1 29.7 9.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 9.0 -4.0 -99 -4.7 -20.0 33.3 60.0 0 -0.34 50.0 50.0
Drew Kingery - 22 26.5 8.6 3.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.7 5.8 6.5 43 2.0 9.6 52.3 41.4 76.5 -1.32 66.1 63.7
Kaia Isaac - 2 32.1 6.5 5.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 2.0 7.0 6.0 - - - 35.7 28.6 100.0 - 45.0 42.9
Marquis Carver-Smith - 22 16.5 6.3 3.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.8 4.3 5.6 -59 -2.8 -26.6 45.3 29.4 69.4 -1.37 56.8 50.5
Quientan McCafferty - 18 12.7 6.3 4.8 0.2 0.1 0.8 0.7 5.0 6.6 28 1.6 14.1 52.2 35.7 71.4 -0.25 59.3 57.8
Michael Jones - 1 31.6 6.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 -132 -6.3 -27.8 33.3 0.0 66.7 -1.68 41.0 33.3
Brodie Mcwhinney - 1 24.1 6.0 4.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 5.0 -105 -4.8 -28.0 28.6 33.3 0 -1.35 42.9 42.9
Cam Thomas - 2 19.2 5.5 4.5 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 6.0 7.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 83.3 - 37.6 25.0
Ocypher Owens - 2 18.8 5.5 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 5.0 5.5 - - - 40.0 0.0 75.0 - 46.8 40.0
Troy Anderson - 22 21.3 3.5 1.8 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.7 3.7 2.1 46 2.2 14.5 35.4 20.5 71.4 1.57 43.7 40.9
Leroy Kelly IV - 2 16.3 3.5 2.5 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 4.5 3.5 - - - 22.2 33.3 100.0 - 35.4 27.8
Brennan Lovette - 20 14.0 3.0 2.5 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.6 2.5 3.8 82 4.1 44.1 52.0 23.5 83.3 -0.07 57.9 56.0
Kade Douglas - 2 14.7 3.0 0.0 1.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 -0.5 - - - 20.0 0.0 100.0 - 27.6 20.0
Chris Mpaka - 1 8.8 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 34.7 0.0
Jean Paul El Shamee - 1 10.6 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 -89 -4.0 -38.0 33.3 0 33.3 -1.6 34.7 33.3
Justin Duff - 16 10.7 2.1 1.5 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.5 2.7 1.2 22 1.4 19.1 30.2 6.7 85.7 0.53 35.8 31.4
Matyas Vrabel - 2 4.8 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Isaiah McLemore - 1 4.4 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 1 0.3 4.2 0.0 0.0 100.0 -0.64 34.7 0.0
Kelen Smith - 1 4.4 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -4 -1.3 -14.6 0.0 0 100.0 -1.33 53.2 0.0
Mason Carroll - 2 3.1 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 34.7 0.0
Titus Miller - 5 7.9 1.0 0.4 0.4 1.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.0 14 2.8 36.1 28.6 0.0 50.0 0.19 31.7 28.6
Damion Porter Jr. - 2 11.4 1.0 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 26 2.0 28.4 0.0 0 100.0 1.74 25.8 0.0
Jake Lohman - 1 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -8 -1.6 -18.9 0 0 50.0 -1.35 56.8 0
Darin Donalds - 2 3.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 26.6 0.0
Roy Marom - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Joseph Martinez - 1 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.01 0 0
Quinn Atazhoon - 1 11.4 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.0 -99 -4.7 -46.9 0.0 0.0 0 0.49 0.0 0.0
Sergej Jakovljevic - 1 7.4 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 -26 -4.3 -42.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.21 0.0 0.0
Jonathan Mercera - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -63 -3.7 -34.8 0 0 0 -0.14 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG