🐻⬇️🏀

Troy

Season: 2026 2025 2023 2014
Also known as: Troy
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1025 (#285) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1061 (#228) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 994 (#497) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +35.8 (#34) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.999 (#52) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +40.1 More → 0.991 (#43) AdjNet +40.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +39.9 More → 0.992 (#42) AdjNet +39.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 90.0 | AdjD 59.0 More → 0.944 (#32) AdjO 90.0 | AdjD 59.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 83.7 | AdjD 69.7 More → 0.781 (#43) AdjO 83.7 | AdjD 69.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.910 (#25) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.885 (#23) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 331 | GP 1 More → 1097 (#180) RD 331 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-06 vs LaGrange W 101 - 47

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Evan Griffin - 1 21.2 14.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 17.0 -28 -1.8 -39.8 71.4 0 66.7 -1.77 72.6 71.4
Theo Seng - 1 16.6 12.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 13.0 - - - 62.5 0.0 100.0 - 67.6 62.5
Cobi Campbell - 1 16.2 11.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 8.0 -4 -0.2 -0.9 37.5 42.9 66.7 -4.36 59.0 56.2
Emmanuel Clarton - 1 18.8 11.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 8.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 50.0 - 50.6 50.0
Jerrell Bellamy - 1 19.3 10.0 11.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 7.0 15.0 - - - 71.4 0.0 0 - 71.4 71.4
Austin Cross - 1 20.3 10.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 9.0 - - - 37.5 33.3 66.7 - 53.6 50.0
Thomas Dowd - 1 19.7 10.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 11.0 - - - 50.0 25.0 100.0 - 59.2 56.2
Javen Colbert - 1 23.8 9.0 4.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 12.0 - - - 42.9 40.0 50.0 - 57.1 57.1
Kerrington Kiel - 1 17.3 7.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 100.0 - 71.7 62.5
Cooper Campbell - 1 16.2 4.0 4.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 7.0 -4 -0.2 -0.9 16.7 0.0 100.0 -4.36 29.1 16.7
Kameryn Mitchell - 1 10.6 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG