Troy
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
74.0
PPG
66.2
Opp
+7.8
Margin
37.3%
FG%
27.3%
3P%
74.4%
FT%
45.8
RPG
14.8
APG
19.0
TO
80.5
Est. poss./game
65.3
Adj PPG
65.5
Adj Opp PPG
#152
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1064 (#127) | Preseason prior 1055 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1145, returning -80, transfers -10, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1031 (#135) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1029 (#135) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.1 (#151) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.9 (#152) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.329 (#194) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.425 (#186) | AdjNet -7.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.417 (#193) | AdjNet -8.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.526 (#152) | AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 65.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.523 (#153) | AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 65.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.493 (#165) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.493 (#165) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1006 (#151) | RD 180 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.501 (#159) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Kent State Golden Flashes | W | 89 - 78 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Thomas Night Hawks | W | 104 - 36 |
| 2026-11-11 | @ | Mississippi State Bulldogs | L | 57 - 79 |
| 2026-11-13 | @ | Belmont Bruins | L | 46 - 72 |
| 2026-11-16 | @ | LSU Tigers | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-19 | vs | Longwood Lancers | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hannah Smith
|
G | 4 | 24.8 | 16.0 | 7.2 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 15 | 4 | 3.8 | 6.1 | 42.0 | 30.4 | 88.2 | -0.15 | 55.7 | 49.0 |
Aniya Hubbard
|
G | 4 | 27.2 | 12.8 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 9.8 | 11.8 | 17 | 4 | 4.2 | 6.3 | 43.6 | 35.7 | 75.0 | 0.23 | 55.4 | 50.0 |
Saniya Jackson
|
G | 4 | 23.8 | 10.5 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 10.2 | 7.8 | 19 | 4 | 4.8 | 8.1 | 36.6 | 23.5 | 61.5 | 0.4 | 44.9 | 41.5 |
Shakirah Edwards
|
G | 4 | 19.0 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 6.8 | 7.2 | 9 | 4 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 33.3 | 20.0 | 81.8 | -0.98 | 45.5 | 37.0 |
Kimora Hughes
|
G | 4 | 16.5 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 3.5 | 5.2 | 26 | 4 | 6.5 | 15.6 | 57.1 | 60.0 | 87.5 | 0.7 | 74.2 | 67.9 |
Tiauna King
|
G | 4 | 20.0 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 7.2 | 3.8 | 12 | 4 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 27.6 | 30.0 | 100.0 | -1.08 | 42.3 | 37.9 |
Jamonica Chambers
|
F | 4 | 13.0 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 38 | 4 | 9.5 | 30.6 | 46.2 | 0 | 75.0 | 3.2 | 50.8 | 46.2 |
Riana Callihan
|
F | 3 | 9.3 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8 | 3 | 2.7 | 11.3 | 44.4 | 50.0 | 40.0 | -1.53 | 49.1 | 50.0 |
Maliyah Meeks
|
F | 4 | 16.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3 | 4 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 30.0 | 14.3 | 50.0 | -1.25 | 33.5 | 32.5 |
Tayla Barros
|
G | 4 | 17.0 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 2 | 4 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 23.5 | 9.1 | 0 | -1.99 | 26.5 | 26.5 |
Taliah Martin
|
F | 4 | 8.8 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2.2 | -6 | 4 | -1.5 | -6.9 | 40.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.52 | 45.8 | 40.0 |
Detavia Salter
|
F | 4 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 32 | 4 | 8.0 | 45.4 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.65 | 14.3 | 14.3 |
Aniya Finger
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
271 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Hannah SmithAniya HubbardSaniya JacksonTiauna KingKimora HughesJamonica ChambersTayla BarrosTaliah MartinDetavia Salter
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 23-37 | 62.2 | 46 | Saniya Jackson 22% (10 pts) | Aniya Hubbard 13% (6 pts) | Detavia Salter 21% (3 misses) | Maliyah Meeks 21% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 36-89 | 40.4 | 72 | Hannah Smith 33% (24 pts) | Aniya Hubbard 19% (14 pts) | Saniya Jackson 17% (9 misses) | Aniya Hubbard 15% (8 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-11 | 27.3 | 6 | Kimora Hughes 67% (4 pts) | Shakirah Edwards 33% (2 pts) | Hannah Smith 25% (2 misses) | Riana Callihan 25% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 3-8 | 37.5 | 6 | Aniya Hubbard 67% (4 pts) | Shakirah Edwards 33% (2 pts) | Jamonica Chambers 40% (2 misses) | Kimora Hughes 40% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 6-15 | 40.0 | 12 | Taliah Martin 33% (4 pts) | Hannah Smith 17% (2 pts) | Aniya Hubbard 33% (3 misses) | Hannah Smith 11% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 1-7 | 14.3 | 3 | Hannah Smith 100% (3 pts) | - | Aniya Hubbard 17% (1 misses) | Hannah Smith 17% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-10 | 10.0 | 3 | Hannah Smith 100% (3 pts) | - | Tayla Barros 44% (4 misses) | Hannah Smith 22% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 8-42 | 19.0 | 24 | Tiauna King 25% (6 pts) | Aniya Hubbard 12% (3 pts) | Hannah Smith 29% (10 misses) | Tiauna King 24% (8 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 7-17 | 41.2 | 21 | Saniya Jackson 29% (6 pts) | Aniya Hubbard 14% (3 pts) | Hannah Smith 20% (2 misses) | Maliyah Meeks 20% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 13-35 | 37.1 | 39 | Tiauna King 31% (12 pts) | Aniya Hubbard 23% (9 pts) | Saniya Jackson 18% (4 misses) | Tayla Barros 18% (4 misses) |