Troy
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
66.0
PPG
78.0
Opp
-12.0
Margin
38.6%
FG%
30.1%
3P%
65.4%
FT%
34.0
RPG
10.5
APG
10.0
TO
67.4
Est. poss./game
65.4
Adj PPG
71.6
Adj Opp PPG
#215
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 975 (#149) | Preseason prior 1018 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1041, returning -63, transfers +67, freshmen -27 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 979 (#170) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 979 (#170) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.2 (#191) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.2 (#191) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.290 (#237) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.401 (#214) | AdjNet -8.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.414 (#199) | AdjNet -7.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.420 (#215) | AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 71.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.421 (#215) | AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 71.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.421 (#201) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.421 (#200) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 977 (#167) | RD 172 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.498 (#144) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Massachusetts Minutemen | L | 60 - 71 |
| 2026-11-06 | @ | Florida State Seminoles | L | 68 - 91 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Loyola Marymount Lions | W | 74 - 69 |
| 2026-11-13 | @ | NC State Wolfpack | L | 62 - 81 |
| 2026-11-17 | vs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | @ | Valparaiso Beacons | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Donovan Oday
|
G | 4 | 29.2 | 14.0 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 13.5 | 10.5 | -16 | 4 | -4.0 | -6.7 | 40.7 | 20.0 | 57.1 | 1.17 | 46.5 | 44.4 |
Jacoi Hutchinson
|
G | 4 | 32.5 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 9.8 | 7.0 | -48 | 4 | -12.0 | -18.0 | 33.3 | 30.0 | 68.8 | -1.09 | 43.4 | 37.2 |
Cau Pacheco
|
G | 4 | 25.5 | 9.2 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 15 | 4 | 3.8 | 7.6 | 36.7 | 35.3 | 56.2 | 0.81 | 49.9 | 46.7 |
Sam Walters
|
F | 4 | 22.5 | 6.2 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.8 | 6.2 | 15 | 4 | 3.8 | 7.9 | 42.1 | 43.8 | 100.0 | 0.43 | 62.9 | 60.5 |
Caden Diggs
|
F | 4 | 18.5 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 3.8 | 5 | 3 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 36.4 | 25.0 | 66.7 | 1.51 | 46.2 | 40.9 |
Romain Valakou
|
G | 1 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -4 | 1 | -4.0 | -15.2 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.19 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
Kerrington Kiel
|
F | 4 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 4.2 | -41 | 4 | -10.2 | -34.4 | 47.1 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -1.78 | 55.9 | 52.9 |
Robert Davis Jr.
|
G | 4 | 22.0 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 5.8 | 2.0 | -44 | 4 | -11.0 | -24.2 | 21.7 | 22.7 | 66.7 | -2.23 | 35.0 | 32.6 |
Afonso Pacheco
|
C | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 8.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.1 | 106.4 | 100.0 |
Mobi Ikegwuruka
|
F | 4 | 15.2 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 4.8 | -40 | 4 | -10.0 | -31.1 | 38.5 | 0 | 55.6 | -2.12 | 44.2 | 38.5 |
Willie Piggott Jr.
|
G | 4 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.12 | 73.5 | 66.7 |
Evan Griffin
|
F | 3 | 7.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | -10 | 3 | -3.3 | -34.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.27 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Tucker Wadsworth
|
G | 3 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.1 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Jayme Kontuniemi
|
G | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Hikaru Awata
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
232 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Donovan OdayJacoi HutchinsonCau PachecoSam WaltersCaden DiggsRobert Davis Jr.
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 21-37 | 56.8 | 42 | Donovan Oday 38% (16 pts) | Jacoi Hutchinson 24% (10 pts) | Donovan Oday 31% (5 misses) | Jacoi Hutchinson 25% (4 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 35-79 | 44.3 | 70 | Donovan Oday 29% (20 pts) | Caden Diggs 14% (10 pts) | Donovan Oday 23% (10 misses) | Jacoi Hutchinson 23% (10 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 0-4 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Cau Pacheco 25% (1 misses) | Donovan Oday 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-3 | 33.3 | 2 | Jacoi Hutchinson 100% (2 pts) | - | Caden Diggs 50% (1 misses) | Jacoi Hutchinson 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 2-7 | 28.6 | 4 | Cau Pacheco 50% (2 pts) | Jacoi Hutchinson 50% (2 pts) | Jacoi Hutchinson 60% (3 misses) | Kerrington Kiel 20% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-15 | 20.0 | 9 | Caden Diggs 33% (3 pts) | Jacoi Hutchinson 33% (3 pts) | Robert Davis Jr. 33% (4 misses) | Donovan Oday 25% (3 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-9 | 22.2 | 6 | Cau Pacheco 50% (3 pts) | Kerrington Kiel 50% (3 pts) | Caden Diggs 29% (2 misses) | Cau Pacheco 29% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 16-37 | 43.2 | 48 | Sam Walters 31% (15 pts) | Donovan Oday 25% (12 pts) | Donovan Oday 24% (5 misses) | Cau Pacheco 19% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 6-18 | 33.3 | 18 | Cau Pacheco 50% (9 pts) | Sam Walters 33% (6 pts) | Donovan Oday 33% (4 misses) | Cau Pacheco 17% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 4-23 | 17.4 | 12 | Jacoi Hutchinson 50% (6 pts) | Cau Pacheco 25% (3 pts) | Robert Davis Jr. 32% (6 misses) | Jacoi Hutchinson 26% (5 misses) |