Trinity (CT)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1032 (#163) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1211 (#44) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1093 (#99) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.8 (#88) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +4.5 (#288) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.798 (#312) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.778 (#238) | NetEff +8.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.947 (#172) | AdjNet +24.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.947 (#173) | AdjNet +24.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.784 (#186) | AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 54.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.611 (#219) | AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 61.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.668 (#242) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.669 (#242) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1180 (#77) | RD 125 | GP 9 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Sewanee | W | 94 - 65 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Wesleyan (CT) | W | 65 - 45 |
| 2026-01-25 | vs | Centre | L | 76 - 84 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Connecticut Col. | W | 77 - 62 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Sewanee | W | 80 - 64 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Tufts | L | 55 - 59 |
| 2026-02-01 | @ | Centre | W | 64 - 53 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Rhodes | W | 88 - 74 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | Bates | L | 49 - 69 |
| 2026-02-08 | vs | Millsaps | L | 0 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylie Minter | - | 6 | 33.9 | 16.2 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 12.7 | 12.8 | 85 | 3.9 | 15.6 | 43.4 | 22.7 | 86.7 | 2.79 | 54.4 | 46.7 |
| Livy Sauvageau | - | 6 | 31.8 | 16.0 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 15.8 | 5.0 | 77 | 4.1 | 14.9 | 41.1 | 32.6 | 80.0 | -0.56 | 49.4 | 48.4 |
| Marlo Simms | - | 4 | 25.1 | 11.5 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 11.8 | - | - | - | 55.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 55.1 | 55.0 |
| Ivory Scott | - | 6 | 33.1 | 10.3 | 6.7 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.3 | 13.3 | 115 | 5.2 | 21.5 | 59.4 | 61.1 | 81.2 | 3.19 | 79.4 | 76.6 |
| Melissa Whitmore | - | 4 | 23.4 | 10.2 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 8.2 | 7.8 | - | - | - | 48.5 | 35.7 | 80.0 | - | 58.2 | 56.1 |
| Skye O'Rourke | - | 6 | 23.3 | 9.5 | 5.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 8.5 | 7.2 | 82 | 3.7 | 21.2 | 52.9 | 33.3 | 22.2 | 1.91 | 51.9 | 53.9 |
| Lucy Dorion | - | 4 | 30.7 | 9.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 9.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 36.8 | 40.0 | 100.0 | - | 46.3 | 44.7 |
| Avery Marzo | - | 4 | 31.9 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 8.8 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 31.4 | 29.4 | 62.5 | - | 41.5 | 38.6 |
| Natalie Greenwood | - | 6 | 19.5 | 7.8 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 7.2 | 9.5 | 58 | 3.4 | 21.1 | 48.8 | 0 | 55.6 | 0.27 | 50.0 | 48.8 |
| Maya Carnes | - | 4 | 31.6 | 7.8 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 7.0 | 9.8 | - | - | - | 46.4 | 66.7 | 50.0 | - | 53.7 | 53.6 |
| Allison Even | - | 6 | 17.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 6.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.7 | 28.6 | 62.5 | 0.63 | 49.3 | 47.2 |
| Samantha Slofkiss | - | 4 | 20.4 | 5.0 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 0 | 87.5 | - | 58.7 | 30.0 |
| Kiki Fossbender | - | 3 | 14.1 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 1.7 | - | - | - | 58.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 58.3 | 58.3 |
| Jivana Caceres | - | 4 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 2.2 | -27 | -1.8 | -27.5 | 62.5 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 1.19 | 84.5 | 81.2 |
| Dana Gingrey | - | 6 | 8.9 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.2 | 2.0 | -31 | -1.5 | -16.7 | 31.6 | 41.7 | 66.7 | -2.05 | 48.5 | 44.7 |
| Fiona Neilon | - | 4 | 10.7 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 42.9 | 75.0 | - | 59.5 | 55.0 |
| Emma Winans | - | 6 | 10.5 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 32 | 1.5 | 14.6 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 55.6 | 1.54 | 55.7 | 53.6 |
| Maddie Mueller | - | 6 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 0.3 | -22 | -1.0 | -19.4 | 16.7 | 11.1 | 100.0 | -1.18 | 27.2 | 20.8 |
| Ivie Mehary | - | 5 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | -35 | -1.8 | -73.5 | 40.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.63 | 51.0 | 40.0 |
| Amaya Pendleton | - | 3 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Elaine King | - | 6 | 8.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 19 | 1.9 | 15.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.41 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Michelle Azzun | - | 3 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Hannah Boone | - | 3 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Jailyn Martin | - | 6 | 5.9 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | -39 | -1.8 | -27.6 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.95 | 15.2 | 11.1 |
| Lola Hackradt | - | 3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 14 | 1.6 | 173.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.78 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kai Stratton | - | 4 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | -14 | -0.8 | -111.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.55 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ava Dixon | - | 3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Kayla Cuthbertson | - | 3 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Madi Forman | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Sienna Hernandez | - | 2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.5 | 300.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sophia Almeida | - | 2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.5 | 300.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kate Pulley | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG