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Trinity (CT)

Also known as: Trinity (CT)
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1180 (#7) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1258 (#6) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More โ†’ +23.8 (#1) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.985 (#189) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +31.1 More โ†’ 0.975 (#74) NetEff +31.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +34.8 More โ†’ 0.983 (#67) AdjNet +34.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +33.4 More โ†’ 0.981 (#85) AdjNet +33.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 57.5 More โ†’ 0.884 (#115) AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 57.5

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-16 vs Albertus Magnus W 81 - 59
2024-11-17 @ Husson W 77 - 62
2024-11-21 @ Hartford W 79 - 54
2024-11-23 vs Elms W 97 - 42
2024-11-26 @ Western New Eng. W 60 - 57
2024-12-01 vs Yeshiva W 84 - 43
2024-12-03 vs Regis (MA) W 78 - 55
2024-12-06 vs Anna Maria W 93 - 51
2024-12-09 vs Saint Joseph (CT) W 86 - 60
2024-12-30 vs SUNY Geneseo W 72 - 44
2024-12-31 vs Suffolk W 70 - 56
2025-01-04 @ Babson L 89 - 99
2025-01-06 vs Worcester St. W 88 - 53
2025-01-10 vs Middlebury W 71 - 54
2025-01-11 vs Williams L 51 - 56
2025-01-17 @ Amherst W 66 - 54
2025-01-18 @ Hamilton W 72 - 60
2025-01-25 vs Wesleyan (CT) L 63 - 72
2025-01-28 @ Bridgewater St. W 75 - 51
2025-01-31 vs Connecticut Col. W 60 - 53
2025-02-01 vs Tufts W 81 - 45
2025-02-07 @ Bates W 71 - 44
2025-02-14 @ Colby W 88 - 78
2025-02-15 @ Bowdoin W 87 - 43
2025-02-22 vs Colby - Incomplete score
2025-03-01 vs Tufts - Incomplete score
2025-03-02 @ Wesleyan (CT) W 75 - 67
2025-03-07 vs Neumann W 76 - 60
2025-03-08 vs Keene St. W 93 - 78
2025-03-14 vs Western New Eng. W 79 - 42
2025-03-15 vs Catholic W 86 - 63
2025-03-20 @ Wesleyan (CT) W 73 - 69
2025-03-22 vs NYU W 64 - 60

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Henry Vetter - 30 26.6 15.0 4.1 3.4 0.9 0.4 1.3 11.2 11.2 - - - - 42.0 34.3 89.2 - 57.7 50.9
Jarrel Okorougo - 33 25.1 12.3 6.7 0.9 0.8 0.8 1.2 10.2 10.2 - - - - 50.9 21.1 72.8 - 54.5 51.5
Drew Lazarre - 33 25.8 10.8 5.9 2.0 1.2 0.8 1.2 8.7 11.0 - - - - 43.2 36.9 76.9 - 56.6 53.5
Jared Berry - 30 13.4 8.9 3.3 1.2 0.5 0.2 1.0 6.8 6.3 - - - - 49.0 42.1 77.8 - 61.0 58.8
Will Dorion - 30 24.2 6.8 2.3 2.4 1.0 0.0 0.7 6.6 5.1 - - - - 31.3 28.3 79.7 - 45.3 39.4
Tristan Davis - 30 16.2 4.4 4.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.7 2.5 7.5 - - - - 58.7 0.0 70.5 - 64.3 58.7
Sean Macarchuk - 33 13.2 3.6 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.2 3.3 3.0 - - - - 40.4 32.5 85.7 - 53.1 51.8
Trevor McDonald - 33 17.5 3.6 3.2 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.6 2.8 5.3 - - - - 54.9 16.7 69.2 - 58.6 56.0
Paul Jordan - 33 9.1 2.9 2.0 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.7 3.1 2.3 - - - - 35.0 21.1 64.0 - 42.1 38.8
David Ayles - 33 11.2 2.4 1.5 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.5 2.4 3.6 - - - - 41.2 32.3 33.3 - 47.2 47.5
Paul Ippolito - 29 4.7 1.9 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.4 1.9 0.8 - - - - 26.8 21.2 81.8 - 41.9 33.0
Dane Moran - 24 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.9 - - - - 57.1 100.0 60.0 - 62.5 60.7
Samuel Norris - 28 3.1 0.8 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 1.3 - - - - 46.7 0.0 70.0 - 54.1 46.7
Bangaly Berete - 28 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.6 - - - - 40.9 50.0 36.4 - 42.8 43.2
Alex Douglas - 22 2.4 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.0 - - - - 25.0 12.5 66.7 - 30.5 27.5
Marley Stewart - 24 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 - - - - 42.9 50.0 50.0 - 62.8 64.3
William Davis - 23 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG