🐻⬇️🏀

Trine

Also known as: Trine
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1091 (#84) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1249 (#32) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1242 (#13) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +25.1 (#15) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +27.2 (#85) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.947 (#204) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +26.5 More → 0.973 (#113) NetEff +26.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +33.2 More → 0.979 (#142) AdjNet +33.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +33.2 More → 0.981 (#141) AdjNet +33.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 51.3 More → 0.860 (#142) AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 51.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 44.3 More → 0.896 (#17) AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 44.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.934 (#40) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.936 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 22 More → 1318 (#21) RD 100 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Wis. Lutheran L 64 - 66
2025-11-11 vs Baldwin Wallace W 42 - 38
2025-11-21 vs Geneva W 92 - 56
2025-11-22 vs Carlow W 112 - 21
2025-11-29 @ Ohio Northern W 50 - 49
2025-12-13 @ Olivet W 82 - 45
2025-12-20 vs Wis.-Platteville L 63 - 67
2025-12-29 @ DePauw W 60 - 51
2025-12-30 vs Elmhurst W 81 - 62
2026-01-10 @ Alma W 69 - 47
2026-01-14 vs Albion W 78 - 58
2026-01-17 @ Adrian W 68 - 50
2026-01-21 @ Calvin W 46 - 40
2026-01-24 vs Olivet W 92 - 39
2026-01-28 @ Kalamazoo W 70 - 42
2026-01-31 vs Alma W 66 - 37
2026-02-04 @ Albion W 69 - 37
2026-02-07 vs Adrian W 71 - 45

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Erin Sherwood - 8 25.5 14.6 3.8 1.6 1.5 0.2 1.9 11.8 8.1 18 2.0 26.1 52.1 11.1 78.3 -0.8 56.2 52.7
Madison Wagner - 18 18.6 10.3 3.0 1.0 1.1 0.4 1.2 7.0 7.6 156 7.8 55.7 43.7 44.3 81.8 3.06 61.9 56.0
Ally Capouch - 17 23.7 9.6 2.4 1.8 1.1 0.5 1.1 7.8 6.4 201 10.1 62.2 39.8 38.2 71.4 1.81 57.3 55.6
Annika Southworth - 18 29.5 8.4 4.0 2.3 0.6 0.2 1.3 7.9 6.3 241 12.1 52.2 41.3 29.4 66.7 5.01 49.9 48.3
Hailey Cole - 18 17.1 8.4 5.7 1.2 1.7 0.3 1.9 5.9 9.5 150 7.5 57.3 44.9 20.0 79.7 0.78 55.3 45.3
Olivia Marks - 18 20.8 7.5 6.9 0.9 1.1 0.3 1.4 5.8 9.6 157 7.8 57.0 48.1 26.5 78.8 2.09 57.0 52.4
Callie Nichols - 18 22.2 4.6 1.7 2.6 0.8 0.1 1.8 4.9 3.1 134 6.7 44.1 42.0 18.8 40.0 1.23 43.9 43.8
Sophie Gesell - 15 13.8 4.5 3.7 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.5 3.5 5.9 90 5.3 35.7 50.9 36.4 42.9 5.08 53.8 54.7
Zoe Willems - 13 12.6 4.1 3.2 1.4 1.0 0.0 0.6 3.2 5.8 41 2.7 21.7 39.0 28.6 70.4 3.28 50.1 41.5
Gracey Metz - 18 10.9 2.6 1.9 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.8 2.3 3.6 112 5.9 55.7 45.2 13.3 66.7 1.49 50.0 47.6
Addison Hutson - 17 13.8 2.6 2.1 1.1 0.9 0.1 0.5 2.9 3.5 94 4.7 44.6 38.0 12.5 50.0 4.3 41.1 40.0
Emma Payton - 8 3.5 2.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.1 1.5 1 0.1 3.8 47.1 14.3 50.0 -0.48 50.6 50.0
Sara Parkinson - 12 4.8 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 0.5 10 0.8 26.6 33.3 0.0 100.0 -0.51 37.1 33.3
Elliana Foley - 12 3.2 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.6 15 1.2 31.1 50.0 20.0 83.3 0.72 65.8 56.2
Ella Mohamed - 13 2.5 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 1 0.1 4.6 54.5 40.0 0 0.18 63.6 63.6
Lily Johnson - 12 2.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 1 0.1 4.6 42.9 50.0 0 -0.28 50.0 50.0
Payton Palmer - 9 1.9 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 0.1 0 0.0 0.0 20.0 0.0 0 -0.53 20.0 20.0
Maeve Hadden - 7 1.6 0.4 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 -1 -0.2 -22.4 25.0 100.0 0.0 -0.66 30.7 37.5
Meryl Kolath - 7 3.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.6 -1.1 -1 -0.1 -18.8 9.1 0.0 0 -0.67 9.1 9.1
Sara Parkison - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ellianna Foley - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15 3.8 14.2 0 0 0.0 0.72 0.0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG