Trine
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1091 (#84) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1249 (#32) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1242 (#13) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +25.1 (#15) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +27.2 (#85) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.947 (#204) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.973 (#113) | NetEff +26.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.979 (#142) | AdjNet +33.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.981 (#141) | AdjNet +33.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.860 (#142) | AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 51.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.896 (#17) | AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 44.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.934 (#40) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.936 (#30) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1318 (#21) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Wis. Lutheran | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Baldwin Wallace | W | 42 - 38 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Geneva | W | 92 - 56 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Carlow | W | 112 - 21 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Ohio Northern | W | 50 - 49 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Olivet | W | 82 - 45 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Wis.-Platteville | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | DePauw | W | 60 - 51 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Elmhurst | W | 81 - 62 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Alma | W | 69 - 47 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Albion | W | 78 - 58 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Adrian | W | 68 - 50 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Calvin | W | 46 - 40 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Olivet | W | 92 - 39 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Kalamazoo | W | 70 - 42 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Alma | W | 66 - 37 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Albion | W | 69 - 37 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Adrian | W | 71 - 45 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Sherwood | - | 8 | 25.5 | 14.6 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 11.8 | 8.1 | 18 | 2.0 | 26.1 | 52.1 | 11.1 | 78.3 | -0.8 | 56.2 | 52.7 |
| Madison Wagner | - | 18 | 18.6 | 10.3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 7.0 | 7.6 | 156 | 7.8 | 55.7 | 43.7 | 44.3 | 81.8 | 3.06 | 61.9 | 56.0 |
| Ally Capouch | - | 17 | 23.7 | 9.6 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 7.8 | 6.4 | 201 | 10.1 | 62.2 | 39.8 | 38.2 | 71.4 | 1.81 | 57.3 | 55.6 |
| Annika Southworth | - | 18 | 29.5 | 8.4 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 7.9 | 6.3 | 241 | 12.1 | 52.2 | 41.3 | 29.4 | 66.7 | 5.01 | 49.9 | 48.3 |
| Hailey Cole | - | 18 | 17.1 | 8.4 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 5.9 | 9.5 | 150 | 7.5 | 57.3 | 44.9 | 20.0 | 79.7 | 0.78 | 55.3 | 45.3 |
| Olivia Marks | - | 18 | 20.8 | 7.5 | 6.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 5.8 | 9.6 | 157 | 7.8 | 57.0 | 48.1 | 26.5 | 78.8 | 2.09 | 57.0 | 52.4 |
| Callie Nichols | - | 18 | 22.2 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 134 | 6.7 | 44.1 | 42.0 | 18.8 | 40.0 | 1.23 | 43.9 | 43.8 |
| Sophie Gesell | - | 15 | 13.8 | 4.5 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 5.9 | 90 | 5.3 | 35.7 | 50.9 | 36.4 | 42.9 | 5.08 | 53.8 | 54.7 |
| Zoe Willems | - | 13 | 12.6 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.2 | 5.8 | 41 | 2.7 | 21.7 | 39.0 | 28.6 | 70.4 | 3.28 | 50.1 | 41.5 |
| Gracey Metz | - | 18 | 10.9 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 112 | 5.9 | 55.7 | 45.2 | 13.3 | 66.7 | 1.49 | 50.0 | 47.6 |
| Addison Hutson | - | 17 | 13.8 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 94 | 4.7 | 44.6 | 38.0 | 12.5 | 50.0 | 4.3 | 41.1 | 40.0 |
| Emma Payton | - | 8 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 0.1 | 3.8 | 47.1 | 14.3 | 50.0 | -0.48 | 50.6 | 50.0 |
| Sara Parkinson | - | 12 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 10 | 0.8 | 26.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.51 | 37.1 | 33.3 |
| Elliana Foley | - | 12 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 15 | 1.2 | 31.1 | 50.0 | 20.0 | 83.3 | 0.72 | 65.8 | 56.2 |
| Ella Mohamed | - | 13 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 4.6 | 54.5 | 40.0 | 0 | 0.18 | 63.6 | 63.6 |
| Lily Johnson | - | 12 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.1 | 4.6 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.28 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Payton Palmer | - | 9 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.53 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Maeve Hadden | - | 7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | -1 | -0.2 | -22.4 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | -0.66 | 30.7 | 37.5 |
| Meryl Kolath | - | 7 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.6 | -1.1 | -1 | -0.1 | -18.8 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.67 | 9.1 | 9.1 |
| Sara Parkison | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ellianna Foley | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15 | 3.8 | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.72 | 0.0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG