Trine
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1101 (#101) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1162 (#58) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1141 (#51) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.0 (#61) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.2 (#346) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.860 (#265) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.844 (#214) | AdjNet +14.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.840 (#216) | AdjNet +14.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.713 (#219) | AdjO 78.6 | AdjD 68.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.606 (#209) | AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 68.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.630 (#285) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.639 (#272) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1200 (#68) | RD 105 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Ohio Northern | W | 74 - 73 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Illinois Tech | W | 86 - 66 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Baldwin Wallace | W | 76 - 72 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Mary Washington | L | 57 - 72 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Marietta | W | 86 - 55 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Anderson (IN) | L | 81 - 95 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Heidelberg | L | 85 - 97 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Wash. & Lee | W | 79 - 61 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Piedmont | W | 76 - 69 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Manchester | W | 66 - 54 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Wabash | W | 63 - 54 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Hope | L | 80 - 82 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Alma | W | 94 - 80 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Albion | W | 73 - 69 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Adrian | W | 101 - 55 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Calvin | W | 88 - 68 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Olivet | L | 77 - 89 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Kalamazoo | W | 81 - 62 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Alma | W | 72 - 55 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Albion | W | 74 - 58 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Adrian | W | 71 - 66 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Shenker | - | 1 | 33.0 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 60 | 3.2 | 12.2 | 41.2 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 3.62 | 54.5 | 52.9 |
| Conner Schipper | - | 1 | 30.0 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 54.5 | 66.7 | 100.0 | -1.18 | 70.5 | 63.6 |
| Brayden Hamilton | - | 1 | 36.9 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | -70 | -7.8 | -338.0 | 66.7 | 60.0 | 0 | -1.14 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Jayden Bradshaw | - | 19 | 26.2 | 14.3 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 10.5 | 10.4 | 49 | 2.5 | 11.4 | 39.7 | 24.5 | 78.9 | 1.79 | 54.4 | 45.5 |
| Titus Baskerville IV | - | 1 | 37.1 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | -30 | -1.3 | -6.8 | 33.3 | 28.6 | 75.0 | 1.07 | 47.2 | 41.7 |
| Anthony Maddaluno-Pytel | - | 1 | 27.1 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 33.3 | 75.0 | - | 77.3 | 75.0 |
| Danny Flood | - | 19 | 26.4 | 11.6 | 2.2 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 9.7 | 6.5 | 22 | 1.6 | 98.3 | 38.6 | 39.8 | 78.8 | -1.48 | 55.7 | 53.0 |
| Cade Brenner | - | 19 | 22.1 | 10.3 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 7.7 | 10.5 | 73 | 3.6 | 25.5 | 46.3 | 40.0 | 75.7 | 1.84 | 60.0 | 57.1 |
| Nate Tucker | - | 19 | 24.8 | 10.3 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 7.9 | 9.2 | 66 | 3.3 | 19.6 | 46.4 | 23.7 | 93.9 | 0.29 | 56.5 | 49.3 |
| Porter Kretschman | - | 1 | 38.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 21.0 | -33 | -1.6 | -5.9 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.79 | 72.7 | 66.7 |
| Logan McKenzie | - | 19 | 25.7 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 10.0 | 61 | 2.9 | 13.5 | 59.0 | 25.0 | 60.3 | 3.04 | 61.0 | 59.4 |
| Andrew Griffith | - | 1 | 29.3 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | -9 | -0.4 | -4.2 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -2.64 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Isaac Richardson | - | 1 | 34.1 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 | -49 | -2.1 | -10.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 63.6 | 0.41 | 65.8 | 50.0 |
| Nathan Richardson | - | 1 | 34.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | -22 | -1.1 | -3.8 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.82 | 41.4 | 40.0 |
| Elias Lewis | - | 19 | 22.5 | 7.3 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 7.0 | 5.1 | 73 | 5.2 | 189.8 | 40.6 | 33.3 | 66.7 | 0.4 | 51.2 | 50.8 |
| Drew Panning | - | 18 | 15.5 | 6.0 | 4.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 7.7 | 5 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 60.9 | 100.0 | 52.3 | -2.03 | 61.1 | 61.6 |
| Braylan McClardy | - | 1 | 15.2 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | -61 | -2.8 | -23.6 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | -0.04 | 36.3 | 41.7 |
| Myles Reynolds | - | 1 | 10.6 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | -71 | -3.2 | -23.2 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.35 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| AJ Pestello | - | 1 | 26.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | -55 | -2.4 | -11.8 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 2.31 | 25.8 | 33.3 |
| Lee Hardy | - | 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | -35 | -1.8 | -11.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.35 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Mike Okello | - | 1 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 18 | 0.9 | 6.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.82 | 106.4 | 100.0 |
| Elisha Jones | - | 17 | 13.6 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 13 | 1.1 | 23.6 | 34.2 | 26.9 | 50.0 | 1.2 | 39.5 | 39.0 |
| Paxton Crane | - | 10 | 11.7 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5.1 | 52 | 4.7 | 37.1 | 80.0 | 0 | 64.3 | -0.39 | 78.0 | 80.0 |
| Trevon Thomas | - | 12 | 7.5 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 14 | 1.2 | 40.0 | 37.5 | 35.7 | 71.4 | -0.97 | 54.7 | 47.9 |
| Eddie Millington | - | 13 | 8.1 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 26 | 2.0 | 55.3 | 37.5 | 33.3 | 40.0 | -1.29 | 43.9 | 43.8 |
| Jess Roller | - | 15 | 6.7 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | -22 | -1.4 | -59.8 | 25.9 | 25.0 | 90.0 | -1.52 | 38.2 | 27.8 |
| Nolan Bales | - | 5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | -2 | -0.4 | -65.8 | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.72 | 57.9 | 33.3 |
| Isaiah Hamlett | - | 4 | 7.3 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.8 | -10 | -2.0 | -32.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.25 | 25.8 | 33.3 |
| Braeden Totten | - | 5 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | -0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.72 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Ty Maul | - | 5 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.72 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Caden Hudak | - | 1 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Logan Gard | - | 1 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG