Transylvania
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 996 (#270) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1025 (#232) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.2 (#128) | HCA +2.5 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-13 | @ | Centre | W | 73 - 71 |
| 2023-11-16 | vs | Elmhurst | L | 63 - 87 |
| 2023-11-18 | @ | Boyce | L | 83 - 95 |
| 2023-11-25 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2023-12-02 | vs | Defiance | W | 93 - 69 |
| 2023-12-06 | vs | Franklin | W | 78 - 77 |
| 2023-12-09 | @ | Manchester | W | 77 - 76 |
| 2023-12-18 | @ | Bluffton | W | 89 - 76 |
| 2023-12-21 | vs | DePauw | W | 88 - 79 |
| 2023-12-22 | vs | Baldwin Wallace | W | 87 - 64 |
| 2023-12-29 | vs | Berea | W | 94 - 84 |
| 2024-01-03 | @ | Earlham | W | 80 - 57 |
| 2024-01-06 | vs | Anderson (IN) | L | 89 - 102 |
| 2024-01-10 | @ | Hanover | W | 108 - 102 |
| 2024-01-13 | @ | Rose-Hulman | L | 83 - 92 |
| 2024-01-17 | vs | Mt. St. Joseph | W | 74 - 70 |
| 2024-01-20 | @ | Defiance | W | 84 - 51 |
| 2024-01-24 | @ | Mt. St. Joseph | W | 64 - 60 |
| 2024-01-27 | vs | Rose-Hulman | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2024-01-31 | vs | Hanover | W | 87 - 64 |
| 2024-02-03 | @ | Anderson (IN) | L | 77 - 104 |
| 2024-02-07 | vs | Bluffton | W | 106 - 72 |
| 2024-02-10 | vs | Manchester | L | 83 - 91 |
| 2024-02-13 | @ | Franklin | W | 86 - 67 |
| 2024-02-16 | vs | Earlham | W | 77 - 54 |
| 2024-02-23 | vs | Hanover | L | 64 - 78 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylan Green | - | 25 | 30.0 | 17.9 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 15.0 | 9.6 | -2 | -1.0 | -2.3 | 46.7 | 36.0 | 69.6 | 0.15 | 55.3 | 53.3 |
| Matthew Teague | - | 24 | 21.8 | 11.5 | 5.8 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 9.1 | 12.2 | -5 | -5.0 | -7.2 | 50.2 | 0 | 67.1 | 0.14 | 53.9 | 50.2 |
| Hunter Penn | - | 24 | 23.2 | 8.7 | 7.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6.9 | 11.4 | 14 | 4.7 | 25.6 | 58.8 | 0.0 | 37.5 | -0.02 | 57.2 | 58.8 |
| Colby Napier | - | 26 | 18.3 | 8.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 7.7 | 2.6 | 7 | 2.3 | 9.5 | 37.5 | 37.3 | 76.0 | 0.15 | 51.9 | 50.0 |
| Simon Smith | - | 26 | 22.0 | 7.9 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 8.3 | -5 | -1.7 | -7.0 | 50.0 | 12.9 | 64.3 | 0.06 | 55.7 | 51.4 |
| Zach Stahlman | - | 26 | 20.0 | 7.9 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 5.6 | 6.6 | -1 | -1.0 | -1.6 | 51.4 | 43.4 | 88.0 | 0.14 | 65.3 | 62.7 |
| Dakota Capps | - | 25 | 19.8 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 5.4 | 4.4 | 19 | 1.7 | 67.0 | 41.0 | 22.2 | 73.9 | -0.31 | 46.8 | 44.0 |
| Daniel Mullins | - | 26 | 11.4 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 7 | 2.3 | 80.4 | 46.2 | 40.4 | 82.8 | -0.95 | 64.1 | 59.4 |
| Hunter Barr | - | 25 | 7.2 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 3.3 | - | - | - | 55.0 | 36.4 | 59.1 | - | 59.6 | 58.3 |
| Drew Marshall | - | 24 | 9.1 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3.6 | -27 | -1.9 | -180.5 | 39.1 | 11.1 | 59.3 | -0.64 | 46.6 | 41.3 |
| Brandon Cromwell | - | 21 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 7 | 3.5 | 25.9 | 46.9 | 36.8 | 80.0 | -0.32 | 61.8 | 57.8 |
| Jaxon Smith | - | 21 | 6.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 | -32 | -3.2 | -59.1 | 32.5 | 16.7 | 78.6 | 0.03 | 43.3 | 36.2 |
| Walker Kyle | - | 26 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 28.9 | 25.8 | 25.0 | - | 37.4 | 37.8 |
| Nick Roemer | - | 26 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 66.7 | 100.0 | - | 54.9 | 45.5 |
| Sam Stone | - | 24 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 55.6 | - | 42.4 | 33.3 |
| Brandon Rowe | - | 24 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 28.6 | 28.6 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG