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Towson

Season: 2026 2022 2021 2020
Also known as: Towson
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1017 (#240) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1060 (#162) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1022 (#229) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +54.3 (#1) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#4) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +71.9 More → 1.000 (#3) AdjNet +71.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +70.2 More → 1.000 (#3) AdjNet +70.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 87.6 | AdjD 37.8 More → 0.989 (#3) AdjO 87.6 | AdjD 37.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 57.6 More → 0.753 (#47) AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 57.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.981 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.965 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1114 (#105) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Frostburg St. W 100 - 37

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Thalia Shepard - 1 21.5 20.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 13.0 - - - 57.1 25.0 60.0 - 61.7 60.7
Zoli Khalil - 1 24.3 14.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 10.0 17.0 - - - 40.0 40.0 100.0 - 59.5 50.0
Kayla Morris - 1 15.7 14.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 8.0 16.0 -174 -7.9 -39.8 75.0 50.0 0 -3.51 87.5 87.5
Tilda Sjökvist - 1 18.6 9.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 10.0 - - - 60.0 100.0 0 - 90.0 90.0
India Johnston - 1 22.4 9.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 4.0 - - - 44.4 100.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Semaya Turner - 1 18.7 8.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 14.0 - - - 100.0 0 66.7 - 92.6 100.0
Hannah Dereje - 1 13.7 6.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 - - - 75.0 0 0.0 - 67.6 75.0
Viki Matulevicius - 1 19.8 6.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0.0 - 43.6 50.0
Aidan Langley - 1 10.8 6.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 11.0 - - - 100.0 0 50.0 - 79.8 100.0
Asya Lara Barnes - 1 14.2 4.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 2.0 -63 -2.9 -12.7 20.0 20.0 50.0 -1.16 34.0 30.0
Shariah Baynes - 1 16.8 4.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 53.2 0.0
Jillian Watson - 1 3.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG