๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Towson

Also known as: Towson Tigers
Program History

2015 Team Stats (1 games)

52.0
PPG
81.0
Opp
-29.0
Margin
33.3%
FG%
16.7%
3P%
71.4%
FT%
32.0
RPG
11.0
APG
15.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
57.9
Adj PPG
62.2
Adj Opp PPG
#221
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 798 (#277) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 890 (#246) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +86 elo More โ†’ 909 (#280) HCA +86 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -4.4 (#218) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ -5.5 (#235) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.264 (#264) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.5 More โ†’ 0.274 (#231) AdjNet -8.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.5 More โ†’ 0.271 (#231) AdjNet -8.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.9 | AdjD 62.2 More โ†’ 0.403 (#221) AdjO 57.9 | AdjD 62.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.8 | AdjD 63.6 More โ†’ 0.393 (#248) AdjO 58.8 | AdjD 63.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.323 (#249) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.321 (#253) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 134 | GP 32 More โ†’ 873 (#258) RD 134 | GP 32

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 @ Penn State Lady Lions L 64 - 71
2014-11-21 vs Rider Broncs W 53 - 51
2014-11-22 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks L 52 - 54
2014-11-25 @ UMBC Retrievers W 59 - 54
2014-11-28 @ Rhode Island Rams L 49 - 60
2014-11-29 @ La Salle Explorers L 49 - 62
2014-12-02 @ Navy Midshipmen L 51 - 55
2014-12-04 @ Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 63 - 50
2014-12-07 @ Maryland Terrapins L 52 - 81
2014-12-18 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 64 - 74
2014-12-28 vs George Mason Patriots W 72 - 70
2014-12-31 vs George Washington Revolutionaries L 48 - 82
2015-01-04 @ James Madison Dukes L 66 - 67
2015-01-06 vs William & Mary Tribe W 77 - 69
2015-01-09 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 56 - 49
2015-01-11 vs Hofstra Pride L 42 - 58
2015-01-16 @ Charleston Cougars W 56 - 52
2015-01-18 @ Elon Phoenix L 43 - 58
2015-01-22 vs Northeastern Huskies W 65 - 61
2015-01-25 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 63 - 71
2015-01-29 @ Delaware Blue Hens L 54 - 72
2015-02-01 vs Charleston Cougars W 71 - 49
2015-02-05 vs Elon Phoenix L 70 - 84
2015-02-08 @ Northeastern Huskies W 72 - 64
2015-02-12 vs James Madison Dukes L 64 - 79
2015-02-15 vs Drexel Dragons L 52 - 66
2015-02-19 @ Hofstra Pride L 48 - 62
2015-02-22 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 71 - 73
2015-03-01 @ Drexel Dragons L 45 - 50
2015-03-04 @ William & Mary Tribe L 56 - 68
2015-03-12 vs Charleston Cougars W 79 - 70
2015-03-13 @ James Madison Dukes L 49 - 64

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
L. Hines-Allen L. Hines-Allen F 1 34.0 21.0 8.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 22.0 9.0 -81 27 -3.0 -3.5 40.9 0 75.0 0.62 44.2 40.9
D. Johnson D. Johnson G 1 32.0 9.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 2.0 -31 27 -1.1 -1.5 30.8 25.0 0 1.73 34.6 34.6
C. Alberson C. Alberson F 1 32.0 7.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 6.0 7.0 -40 27 -1.5 -2.4 50.0 33.3 0 0.37 58.3 58.3
B. Bush B. Bush F 1 9.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 8 16 0.5 3.5 100.0 0 50.0 1.05 90.2 100.0
C. Webb C. Webb - 1 17.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 5.0 -98 27 -3.6 -5.7 40.0 0.0 100.0 -2.29 46.0 40.0
E. Yurdakul E. Yurdakul G 1 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 -8 6 -1.3 -16.5 25.0 33.3 0 -1.58 37.5 37.5
M. Smith M. Smith G 1 14.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -1.0 13 27 0.5 1.2 0.0 0.0 0 0.52 0.0 0.0
B. Hughey B. Hughey G 1 40.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 -7.0 -99 25 -4.0 -4.6 0.0 0.0 0 -1.99 0.0 0.0
S. Butler S. Butler G 1 9.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -1.0 -35 27 -1.3 -4.2 0.0 0.0 0 -1.39 0.0 0.0
D. Thomas D. Thomas C 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 -87 21 -4.1 -14.8 0 0 0 -5.67 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG