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Toronto Tempo

Season: 2026
Also known as: Toronto Tempo
Program History

2026 Team Stats (44 games)

85.7
PPG
94.4
Opp
-8.7
Margin
43.5%
FG%
34.0%
3P%
80.7%
FT%
32.1
RPG
19.5
APG
13.9
TO
82.5
Est. poss./game
85.4
Adj PPG
93.2
Adj Opp PPG
#14
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 851 (#14) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +45 elo More โ†’ 824 (#13) HCA +45 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +76 elo More โ†’ 846 (#15) HCA +76 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.0 More โ†’ -8.0 (#14) HCA +2.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More โ†’ -12.6 (#15) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.247 (#14) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.6 More โ†’ 0.264 (#14) AdjNet -9.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.6 More โ†’ 0.263 (#14) AdjNet -9.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 85.4 | AdjD 93.2 More โ†’ 0.329 (#14) AdjO 85.4 | AdjD 93.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 82.1 | AdjD 92.9 More โ†’ 0.273 (#15) AdjO 82.1 | AdjD 92.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.240 (#15) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.230 (#15) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 178 | GP 44 More โ†’ 770 (#14) RD 178 | GP 44
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.217 (#15) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-05-08 vs Washington Mystics L 65 - 68
2026-05-13 vs Seattle Storm W 86 - 73
2026-05-15 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 95 - 99
2026-05-17 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 106 - 96
2026-05-19 @ Phoenix Mercury W 98 - 90
2026-05-21 @ Minnesota Lynx L 72 - 100
2026-05-23 vs Portland Fire L 80 - 99
2026-05-27 @ Chicago Sky W 111 - 104
2026-05-30 vs Seattle Storm W 93 - 72
2026-06-03 @ New York Liberty L 82 - 97
2026-06-07 vs Chicago Sky W 85 - 68
2026-06-10 vs Connecticut Sun W 106 - 102
2026-06-12 @ Washington Mystics L 85 - 86
2026-06-14 vs Atlanta Dream L 77 - 102
2026-06-16 @ Indiana Fever L 91 - 113
2026-06-19 @ Connecticut Sun W 101 - 97
2026-06-22 @ Atlanta Dream L 87 - 94
2026-06-25 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 125 - 97
2026-06-27 vs Phoenix Mercury L 80 - 89
2026-07-05 vs Dallas Wings L 76 - 89
2026-07-08 vs Golden State Valkyries L 75 - 83
2026-07-10 vs Dallas Wings L 95 - 108
2026-07-12 vs New York Liberty W 93 - 91
2026-07-14 vs Washington Mystics L 62 - 79
2026-07-17 vs Atlanta Dream L 92 - 111
2026-07-20 vs Las Vegas Aces L 83 - 109
2026-07-28 @ Minnesota Lynx L 93 - 100
2026-07-30 vs Minnesota Lynx L 72 - 104
2026-08-02 @ Golden State Valkyries L 79 - 96
2026-08-04 @ Golden State Valkyries L 81 - 92
2026-08-06 @ Portland Fire L 83 - 97
2026-08-10 @ Atlanta Dream L 95 - 107
2026-08-12 @ Dallas Wings L 88 - 94
2026-08-18 vs Indiana Fever L 95 - 101
2026-08-19 @ Washington Mystics L 82 - 93
2026-08-21 vs Portland Fire W 82 - 79
2026-08-23 vs Las Vegas Aces L 78 - 88
2026-08-26 @ Seattle Storm L 78 - 90
2026-08-28 @ Las Vegas Aces L 73 - 93
2026-08-29 @ Phoenix Mercury L 69 - 101
2026-09-18 vs Indiana Fever L 85 - 103
2026-09-20 vs New York Liberty L 69 - 106
2026-09-22 @ Chicago Sky L 85 - 97
2026-09-24 @ Connecticut Sun L 81 - 95

2026 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Marina Mabrey Marina Mabrey G 32 29.5 20.8 3.3 3.7 0.9 0.4 3.1 15.4 10.6 -182 32 -5.7 -7.7 44.1 38.5 88.1 -1.56 59.9 54.8
Brittney Sykes Brittney Sykes G 17 29.4 18.6 3.5 3.4 1.2 0.5 2.1 14.4 10.6 -28 17 -1.6 -2.2 41.8 25.8 89.7 -0.24 54.3 45.1
Kiki Rice Kiki Rice - 28 27.1 13.4 3.7 3.5 0.8 0.2 1.8 9.7 10.1 -146 28 -5.2 -7.7 47.2 35.1 86.9 -1.43 58.9 52.0
Isabelle Harrison Isabelle Harrison F 32 23.7 12.8 6.9 1.5 0.8 0.7 1.8 10.8 10.1 -167 32 -5.2 -8.8 42.5 27.8 73.0 -0.7 50.8 45.7
Nyara Sabally Nyara Sabally C 24 23.9 12.3 5.2 1.7 1.0 0.9 1.6 8.5 11.0 -82 24 -3.4 -5.7 52.7 39.2 72.0 -1.02 61.2 57.6
Laura Juskaite Laura Juskaite F 44 25.4 11.2 4.2 1.8 1.4 0.2 2.1 8.3 8.4 -196 44 -4.5 -7.0 46.9 31.9 81.7 -0.69 58.3 52.9
Aneesah Morrow Aneesah Morrow F 7 19.6 9.3 6.6 0.9 0.7 0.6 1.1 7.7 9.1 -149 27 -5.5 -9.9 42.6 23.5 68.2 -1.29 51.0 46.3
Maria Conde Maria Conde - 35 26.4 8.5 4.5 2.5 0.5 0.2 1.6 8.3 6.4 -187 35 -5.3 -8.1 36.0 34.0 88.1 -1.41 48.5 45.2
Julie Allemand Julie Allemand G 33 28.4 6.0 3.2 5.5 1.3 0.4 1.7 4.3 10.3 -163 33 -4.9 -7.0 53.2 41.9 71.4 -0.76 67.6 67.0
Kiana Williams Kiana Williams G 3 19.7 6.0 0.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 1.3 7.0 -0.3 - - - - 28.6 27.3 75.0 - 39.5 35.7
Temi Fagbenle Temi Fagbenle C 25 17.8 5.9 3.4 1.0 0.5 0.3 1.3 4.7 5.1 -162 25 -6.5 -14.6 50.0 34.4 56.2 -2.36 55.6 54.7
Kia Nurse Kia Nurse G 43 14.3 5.5 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.5 4.8 2.8 -203 43 -4.7 -13.2 33.3 32.7 89.3 -2.02 51.2 45.2
Ornella Bankole Ornella Bankole G 14 14.9 3.4 2.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.6 3.9 -97 14 -6.9 -18.8 45.9 43.8 85.7 -1.9 58.6 55.4
Tima Pouye Tima Pouye G 19 9.5 3.2 0.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 2.9 1.7 -43 19 -2.3 -9.7 34.5 30.8 77.8 -0.4 47.7 41.8
Nikolina Miliฤ‡ Nikolina Miliฤ‡ F 7 9.0 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.7 1.3 -14 7 -2.0 -8.9 47.4 0.0 75.0 -0.36 50.6 47.4
Kayla Alexander Kayla Alexander C 4 10.0 2.2 2.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.8 3.2 - - - - 42.9 0 75.0 - 51.4 42.9
Teonni Key Teonni Key - 39 11.1 2.2 2.1 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 2.3 2.8 -148 39 -3.8 -13.7 38.2 14.3 54.2 -1.97 42.2 39.9
Zaay Green Zaay Green - 7 9.6 2.1 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 2.9 0.0 - - - - 30.0 21.4 0 - 37.5 37.5
Mariella Fasoula Mariella Fasoula - 3 5.0 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.7 1.7 1.3 -2 3 -0.7 -5.2 40.0 0 0 -0.47 40.0 40.0
Lexi Held Lexi Held G 8 7.6 1.1 0.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.2 1.1 -39 42 -0.9 -2.4 30.0 50.0 100.0 -0.64 43.1 40.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026 Shot Zones

2994 located field-goal attempts in 44 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Juskaite17% Harrison19% Rice19% Mabrey25% Mabrey31% Mabrey26% Conde21% Mabrey24% Mabrey36% Mabrey25%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Harrison16% Harrison18% Harrison16% Sykes28% Mabrey23% Juskaite18% Nurse15% Mabrey17% Mabrey35% Mabrey21%
Misses: who misses most here

Marina MabreyLaura JuskaiteIsabelle HarrisonKiki RiceMaria CondeBrittney SykesKia Nurse

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 563-917 61.4 1126 Laura Juskaite 17% (190 pts) Isabelle Harrison 13% (152 pts) Isabelle Harrison 16% (56 misses) Laura Juskaite 15% (54 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 210-547 38.4 420 Isabelle Harrison 19% (80 pts) Laura Juskaite 14% (60 pts) Isabelle Harrison 18% (60 misses) Marina Mabrey 15% (50 misses)
Mid-range left 36-112 32.1 72 Kiki Rice 19% (14 pts) Marina Mabrey 19% (14 pts) Isabelle Harrison 16% (12 misses) Kiki Rice 14% (11 misses)
Mid-range center 32-82 39.0 64 Marina Mabrey 25% (16 pts) Brittney Sykes 16% (10 pts) Brittney Sykes 28% (14 misses) Maria Conde 16% (8 misses)
Mid-range right 48-119 40.3 96 Marina Mabrey 31% (30 pts) Kiki Rice 17% (16 pts) Marina Mabrey 23% (16 misses) Isabelle Harrison 14% (10 misses)
Left corner 3 34-96 35.4 102 Marina Mabrey 26% (27 pts) Kia Nurse 15% (15 pts) Laura Juskaite 18% (11 misses) Marina Mabrey 13% (8 misses)
Right corner 3 28-75 37.3 84 Maria Conde 21% (18 pts) Kia Nurse 14% (12 pts) Kia Nurse 15% (7 misses) Maria Conde 15% (7 misses)
Above-break 3 left 147-438 33.6 441 Marina Mabrey 24% (105 pts) Kia Nurse 14% (63 pts) Marina Mabrey 17% (50 misses) Maria Conde 15% (45 misses)
Above-break 3 center 78-219 35.6 234 Marina Mabrey 36% (84 pts) Julie Allemand 12% (27 pts) Marina Mabrey 35% (49 misses) Laura Juskaite 13% (18 misses)
Above-break 3 right 128-389 32.9 384 Marina Mabrey 25% (96 pts) Laura Juskaite 15% (57 pts) Marina Mabrey 21% (56 misses) Maria Conde 16% (42 misses)