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Toledo Rockets

Season: 2026 2025 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Toledo Rockets
Program History

2026 Team Stats (29 games)

65.9
PPG
62.2
Opp
+3.7
Margin
42.8%
FG%
29.7%
3P%
74.3%
FT%
37.4
RPG
13.0
APG
17.7
TO
81.2
Pace
62.9
AdjO
61.9
AdjD
#151
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1086 (#125) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1008 (#172) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 1058 (#114) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +1.4 (#145) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +16.0 (#121) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.568 (#148) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +3.0 More → 0.594 (#146) NetEff +3.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.0 More → 0.586 (#144) AdjNet +3.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.0 More → 0.587 (#143) AdjNet +3.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 61.9 More → 0.522 (#151) AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 61.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.1 | AdjD 58.3 More → 0.608 (#119) AdjO 63.1 | AdjD 58.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.805 (#136) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.778 (#134) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 122 | GP 29 More → 1082 (#152) RD 122 | GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-09 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs L 69 - 72
2025-11-16 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 66 - 52
2025-11-19 @ Northern Kentucky Norse L 61 - 70
2025-12-02 vs Morgan State Lady Bears W 79 - 66
2025-12-14 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 60 - 85
2025-12-17 vs Wayne State (MI) Warriors W 75 - 63
2025-12-22 @ Long Beach State Beach W 64 - 43
2025-12-31 vs Buffalo Bulls W 79 - 46
2026-01-03 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks L 55 - 63
2026-01-07 @ Ball State Cardinals L 68 - 72
2026-01-10 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 59 - 46
2026-01-14 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 70 - 49
2026-01-20 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles L 71 - 76
2026-01-24 @ Ohio Bobcats W 75 - 66
2026-01-28 vs Kent State Golden Flashes W 59 - 53
2026-01-31 vs Bowling Green Falcons W 59 - 49
2026-02-04 @ Akron Zips L 74 - 77
2026-02-07 vs Southern Miss Lady Eagles W 76 - 67
2026-02-10 vs Ohio Bobcats L 67 - 71
2026-02-14 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 62 - 51
2026-02-18 @ Massachusetts Minutewomen W 60 - 52
2026-02-21 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 52 - 61
2026-02-25 vs Central Michigan Chippewas L 64 - 68
2026-02-28 @ Buffalo Bulls L 66 - 69
2026-03-04 @ Western Michigan Broncos W 56 - 49
2026-03-07 vs Ball State Cardinals L 71 - 78
2026-03-11 @ Massachusetts Minutewomen W 67 - 56
2026-03-13 @ Ball State Cardinals W 69 - 65
2026-03-14 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks L 58 - 68

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
P. Anumgba P. Anumgba G 29 29.8 13.4 3.7 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.4 11.8 6.8 53 2.4 3.7 40.5 34.1 79.0 3.43 51.2 47.2
K. Carruthers K. Carruthers G 28 29.8 12.0 3.1 3.1 1.2 0.2 3.2 9.8 6.6 14 0.7 1.0 41.1 28.8 81.0 -0.5 52.8 46.5
F. Fedd-Robinson F. Fedd-Robinson G 21 28.5 12.0 7.2 2.2 1.2 0.6 3.0 9.4 10.8 22 1.0 1.5 51.5 23.8 72.4 0.93 56.1 52.8
E. Weaver E. Weaver G 29 27.7 9.5 3.9 0.8 1.0 0.2 1.8 8.4 5.3 -11 -0.5 -1.1 37.9 34.4 78.7 -0.92 52.1 49.0
M. Diala M. Diala F 27 21.3 7.4 5.0 1.2 0.8 0.2 1.7 5.8 7.1 24 1.2 2.3 53.8 0.0 67.4 1.26 56.5 53.8
E. Cole E. Cole PF 24 24.9 6.8 5.0 1.4 0.6 0.7 1.5 6.1 6.9 75 3.6 5.7 44.2 15.9 81.2 2.78 50.6 46.6
E. Carrier E. Carrier C 27 10.7 3.6 3.0 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.9 2.6 4.4 -25 -1.3 -6.0 47.1 33.3 78.4 -2.65 55.6 47.9
C. Dykstra C. Dykstra G 29 20.9 2.7 2.2 1.9 0.5 0.1 1.9 2.5 3.1 16 0.8 1.9 41.7 0.0 64.3 -2.53 46.3 41.7
A. Hocevar A. Hocevar G 24 10.7 2.6 2.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 1.3 2.5 2.1 -44 -2.2 -8.5 31.7 24.1 66.7 -1.46 43.8 37.5
C. VandenBosch C. VandenBosch G 14 10.6 2.4 1.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.3 2.9 0.5 - - - 31.7 23.1 25.0 - 38.6 39.0
L. Puot L. Puot F 19 6.6 1.4 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.9 2.0 -2 -0.1 -1.2 52.9 75.0 50.0 -0.75 60.7 61.8
K. Braden K. Braden G 2 5.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.0 -0.5 -19 -6.3 -31.6 50.0 0.0 0 -0.95 50.0 50.0
D. Robinson D. Robinson G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
E. Dykstra E. Dykstra G 20 4.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 -0.3 -19 -1.4 -15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4.12 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG