Tiffin
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 901 (#443) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 973 (#300) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 893 (#622) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.9 (#144) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +4.8 (#288) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.132 (#517) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.664 (#226) | NetEff +5.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.307 (#468) | AdjNet -7.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.316 (#466) | AdjNet -6.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.412 (#460) | AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 65.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.555 (#238) | AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 64.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.535 (#326) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.524 (#331) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 911 (#353) | RD 97 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Purdue Northwest | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Ill. Springfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Lake Superior St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Davenport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Slippery Rock | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Northwood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Malone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Wayne St. (MI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Ky. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | West Liberty | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Lake Erie | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Ursuline | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Ashland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Hillsdale | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Walsh | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Ohio Dominican | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Thomas More | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Hillsdale | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Findlay | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Campbell | - | 19 | 33.1 | 13.4 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 12.2 | 8.1 | -72 | -3.1 | -11.7 | 36.2 | 29.8 | 81.4 | 1.0 | 49.4 | 44.6 |
| Hailey Unger | - | 19 | 29.0 | 12.9 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 3.6 | 10.9 | 6.8 | -11 | -0.5 | -2.1 | 39.1 | 30.2 | 85.9 | 2.18 | 52.3 | 46.1 |
| Isabelle Niederst | - | 19 | 28.6 | 11.8 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 9.3 | 7.3 | -63 | -2.7 | -11.0 | 51.4 | 37.5 | 68.6 | -2.45 | 58.2 | 56.5 |
| Serenitee Johnson | - | 19 | 23.5 | 8.1 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 7.1 | 5.7 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 43.0 | 26.7 | 61.7 | 0.42 | 49.1 | 45.9 |
| Myka Richardson | - | 18 | 20.0 | 7.8 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5.7 | 8.9 | -67 | -3.2 | -20.9 | 51.0 | 20.0 | 73.5 | -1.5 | 57.1 | 51.5 |
| Peyton Magee | - | 19 | 16.1 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 43.6 | 44.3 | 70.0 | 2.87 | 61.9 | 60.9 |
| Garyana Overton | - | 19 | 17.5 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 6.2 | -17 | -0.8 | -4.2 | 51.6 | 50.0 | 58.8 | -0.74 | 54.6 | 53.1 |
| Tomi Hinkle | - | 19 | 10.0 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 3.4 | 0.3 | -50 | -2.2 | -36.6 | 21.9 | 15.8 | 75.0 | -0.51 | 32.4 | 26.6 |
| Aubree Meyer | - | 1 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Chloe Williams | - | 11 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.6 | -1 | -0.1 | -60.0 | 42.1 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.04 | 44.4 | 42.1 |
| Taylor Kelley | - | 19 | 14.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 | -49 | -2.1 | -23.0 | 23.8 | 22.9 | 0 | -2.47 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Zoey Deligianis | - | 7 | 7.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | -3 | -0.4 | -10.6 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.13 | 44.4 | 44.4 |
| Riley Irwin | - | 8 | 4.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.4 | -1.0 | -28 | -2.8 | -41.6 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 0 | -2.37 | 13.6 | 13.6 |
| Marina Chapman | - | 5 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -18 | -3.0 | -2700.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.54 | 0 | 0 |
| Sydney Borer | - | 4 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Madison Yanka | - | 3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG