The Citadel
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 685 (#297) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 761 (#291) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 898 (#273) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.4 (#297) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.0 (#291) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.157 (#294) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.085 (#301) | AdjNet -20.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.084 (#301) | AdjNet -20.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.230 (#303) | AdjO 59.4 | AdjD 72.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.302 (#297) | AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 70.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.192 (#297) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.204 (#296) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 784 (#282) | RD 159 | GP 25 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-21 | @ | South Carolina | L | 51 - 68 |
| 1999-11-23 | vs | Coastal Carolina | L | 60 - 68 |
| 1999-11-27 | @ | Winthrop | L | 51 - 71 |
| 1999-12-03 | N | Sacramento State | L | 61 - 74 |
| 1999-12-04 | N | IU Indy | L | 59 - 69 |
| 1999-12-08 | vs | Stetson | L | 60 - 70 |
| 1999-12-21 | N | South Florida | L | 72 - 98 |
| 1999-12-23 | N | Florida A&M | W | 68 - 60 |
| 1999-12-30 | @ | Florida State | L | 51 - 77 |
| 2000-01-03 | vs | Appalachian State | L | 48 - 82 |
| 2000-01-08 | vs | Furman | W | 78 - 63 |
| 2000-01-10 | @ | Western Carolina | W | 67 - 63 |
| 2000-01-15 | @ | VMI | W | 87 - 84 |
| 2000-01-17 | vs | Chattanooga | L | 59 - 68 |
| 2000-01-22 | @ | Georgia Southern | L | 81 - 93 |
| 2000-01-24 | vs | Wofford | L | 64 - 87 |
| 2000-01-31 | @ | Wofford | L | 68 - 81 |
| 2000-02-05 | vs | Davidson | W | 87 - 74 |
| 2000-02-07 | @ | College of Charleston | L | 52 - 65 |
| 2000-02-12 | vs | Georgia Southern | L | 52 - 58 |
| 2000-02-14 | vs | East Tennessee State | L | 53 - 65 |
| 2000-02-19 | vs | College of Charleston | L | 49 - 58 |
| 2000-02-21 | @ | Chattanooga | W | 63 - 61 |
| 2000-02-26 | @ | UNC Greensboro | L | 58 - 75 |
| 2000-03-02 | N | East Tennessee State | L | 71 - 85 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.