Texas-Dallas
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 998 (#275) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 940 (#368) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 991 (#446) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.7 (#133) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.4 (#257) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.847 (#214) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.560 (#259) | NetEff +1.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.724 (#315) | AdjNet +8.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.742 (#310) | AdjNet +8.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.599 (#326) | AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 60.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.526 (#297) | AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 60.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.568 (#294) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.564 (#294) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 981 (#267) | RD 102 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | @ | East Texas A&M | L | 42 - 81 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | UCCS | L | 83 - 88 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Colo. Sch. of Mines | L | 56 - 67 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Okla. Baptist | L | 54 - 64 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | P.R.-Rio Piedras | W | 91 - 37 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | P.R.-Mayaguez | W | 77 - 43 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Paul Quinn | W | 75 - 72 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Eastern N.M. | L | 47 - 68 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | West Tex. A&M | L | 62 - 73 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Western N.M. | W | 76 - 44 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Northeastern St. | L | 60 - 66 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Tex. A&M Int'l | L | 53 - 61 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Angelo St. | L | 49 - 63 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | UT Permian Basin | W | 73 - 69 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Western N.M. | W | 73 - 46 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | St. Edward's | W | 64 - 53 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | St. Mary's (TX) | L | 60 - 64 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Lubbock Christian | L | 44 - 68 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Midwestern St. | W | 86 - 74 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umi Otsuka | - | 18 | 30.1 | 15.4 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 13.0 | 6.6 | 45 | 2.5 | 8.8 | 47.4 | 37.0 | 75.0 | 0.6 | 54.5 | 51.7 |
| Addy Self | - | 19 | 31.3 | 10.1 | 8.0 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 8.5 | 13.7 | -11 | -0.6 | -2.1 | 43.5 | 23.3 | 71.0 | -1.79 | 50.7 | 45.7 |
| Danielle Oyakhire | - | 19 | 21.5 | 8.3 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 6.6 | 8.9 | 22 | 1.2 | 6.0 | 48.0 | 0 | 69.1 | 1.0 | 52.9 | 48.0 |
| Anna Yellen | - | 19 | 20.5 | 7.5 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 31 | 1.6 | 8.0 | 35.1 | 29.7 | 100.0 | 3.01 | 49.8 | 45.1 |
| Kinley Mears | - | 18 | 25.8 | 6.4 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 7.3 | 1.8 | -46 | -2.6 | -12.0 | 28.8 | 21.6 | 63.9 | -1.15 | 38.9 | 34.8 |
| Sheridan Kavanagh | - | 19 | 21.5 | 6.2 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 16 | 0.8 | 4.1 | 41.2 | 31.4 | 80.0 | 1.89 | 49.8 | 48.2 |
| Clara Paynter | - | 19 | 21.2 | 6.1 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 6.7 | 3.5 | -30 | -1.6 | -12.7 | 34.6 | 27.1 | 75.0 | 0.19 | 43.8 | 42.1 |
| Raven Busby | - | 17 | 16.3 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 36 | 2.1 | 21.4 | 35.7 | 17.4 | 87.5 | 1.78 | 44.1 | 38.6 |
| Abby Seitz | - | 7 | 10.3 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3.6 | -14 | -2.8 | -86.2 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 14.3 | 0.23 | 41.5 | 46.7 |
| Liv Pedigo | - | 11 | 8.7 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.1 | -57 | -4.8 | -65.5 | 23.5 | 0 | 75.0 | -3.3 | 29.3 | 23.5 |
| Emery Espinoza | - | 15 | 9.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 20 | 1.3 | 20.3 | 18.8 | 27.3 | 75.0 | 2.11 | 33.8 | 28.1 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG