🐻⬇️🏀

Texas Woman's

Also known as: Texas Woman's
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1359 (#4) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1404 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1269 (#1) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +19.9 (#49) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +23.0 (#68) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.931 (#170) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +24.0 More → 0.956 (#103) NetEff +24.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +35.7 More → 0.984 (#89) AdjNet +35.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +36.1 More → 0.986 (#87) AdjNet +36.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 52.4 More → 0.890 (#91) AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 52.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 55.2 More → 0.824 (#21) AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 55.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.921 (#23) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.916 (#19) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 110 | GP 22 More → 1438 (#1) RD 110 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Wayne St. (MI) - Incomplete score
2025-11-08 vs Harding - Incomplete score
2025-11-12 vs Tex. A&M Int'l - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 @ Colo. Sch. of Mines - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ UCCS - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 vs Southern Nazarene - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ Pittsburg St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 @ Tex. A&M-Kingsville - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Tex. A&M Int'l - Incomplete score
2025-12-16 vs St. Mary's (TX) - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 vs Dallas Christian - Incomplete score
2026-01-02 @ UT Permian Basin - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Western N.M. - Incomplete score
2026-01-15 @ St. Mary's (TX) - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ St. Edward's - Incomplete score
2026-01-22 vs Midwestern St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ Eastern N.M. - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ West Tex. A&M - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 vs UT Tyler - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Lubbock Christian - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Averee Kleinhans - 18 30.4 17.3 6.8 3.4 1.8 0.2 3.8 13.0 12.7 188 9.4 27.9 44.0 36.0 81.2 6.05 56.3 49.8
Gabby Elliott - 17 28.5 16.6 10.8 1.4 0.8 1.5 1.9 11.8 17.4 172 9.1 29.1 54.7 0.0 77.8 3.45 59.8 54.7
Jada Celsur - 19 32.4 10.8 4.4 2.0 1.5 0.2 1.6 10.2 7.1 131 6.5 18.3 42.0 32.8 75.0 3.3 49.7 47.2
Madi Lumsden - 19 32.5 10.3 2.3 1.8 0.9 0.4 1.5 8.1 6.1 111 5.3 14.4 44.8 32.3 74.5 1.35 55.5 51.3
Kayla Glover - 15 31.4 5.9 4.2 3.1 1.2 0.2 1.4 4.7 8.5 116 6.8 17.6 50.0 9.1 77.3 2.91 55.2 50.7
Kaylie Morgan - 11 21.7 4.2 1.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.2 4.8 1.5 25 1.9 26.5 34.0 20.0 60.0 0.52 40.1 37.7
Jaylee Moss - 16 12.6 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 3.1 2.8 -35 -1.9 -13.3 42.9 33.3 85.7 -2.59 58.6 56.1
Avery McConnell - 17 16.8 3.6 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 1.3 3.4 1.7 -26 -1.4 -8.6 37.9 33.3 84.6 -3.36 48.7 44.0
Julie Kasonga - 12 8.0 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.2 1.1 2.8 1.9 -36 -2.8 -115.0 57.6 0.0 0 -3.43 57.6 57.6
Jordyn Hernandez - 16 8.6 2.1 1.9 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 2.2 2.3 -59 -3.3 -39.0 33.3 0 90.9 -4.54 41.6 33.3
Hadyn Collie - 15 8.7 1.9 1.5 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 1.7 1.7 -26 -1.6 -19.6 50.0 0 20.0 -0.8 46.1 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG