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Texas Tech

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Texas Tech Lady Raiders
Program History
Coach: Krista Gerlich

2022 Team Stats (29 games)

66.0
PPG
67.9
Opp
-1.9
Margin
44.1%
FG%
34.8%
3P%
71.4%
FT%
36.2
RPG
12.3
APG
16.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.2
Adj PPG
59.5
Adj Opp PPG
#78
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 969 (#168) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1047 (#145) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +66 elo More → 895 (#301) HCA +66 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +11.5 (#73) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.1 More → +6.9 (#96) HCA +2.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.404 (#218) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.9 More → 0.875 (#72) AdjNet +16.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.5 More → 0.882 (#72) AdjNet +17.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 59.5 More → 0.707 (#78) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 59.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 66.1 More → 0.489 (#182) AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 66.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.654 (#101) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.611 (#112) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 132 | GP 30 More → 1013 (#167) RD 132 | GP 30

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-11 vs SE Louisiana Lady Lions W 67 - 45
2021-11-16 vs Weber State Wildcats W 62 - 44
2021-11-19 vs Lamar Cardinals W 72 - 68
2021-11-22 vs Texas State Bobcats W 83 - 57
2021-11-26 @ Ball State Cardinals W 71 - 67
2021-11-27 vs Old Dominion Monarchs L 45 - 59
2021-11-28 @ New Mexico Lobos W 82 - 75
2021-12-02 vs Georgia Lady Bulldogs L 56 - 66
2021-12-12 vs UNLV Lady Rebels W 68 - 61
2021-12-20 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 50 - 65
2021-12-21 vs LSU Tigers L 60 - 74
2021-12-29 vs Incarnate Word Cardinals - Postponed
2022-01-02 vs Oklahoma Sooners L 91 - 97
2022-01-05 @ Texas Longhorns W 74 - 61
2022-01-08 vs Oklahoma State Cowgirls L 55 - 57
2022-01-12 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 53 - 64
2022-01-15 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 64 - 45
2022-01-19 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 50 - 51
2022-01-22 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 57 - 71
2022-01-26 vs Baylor Bears L 80 - 88
2022-01-29 vs Iowa State Cyclones L 65 - 86
2022-02-05 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 75 - 82
2022-02-09 vs Texas Longhorns L 56 - 61
2022-02-12 @ Oklahoma State Cowgirls L 58 - 62
2022-02-16 @ Oklahoma Sooners W 97 - 87
2022-02-19 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 68 - 71
2022-02-23 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 62 - 73
2022-02-26 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 55 - 71
2022-03-02 vs TCU Horned Frogs W 83 - 79
2022-03-06 @ Baylor Bears L 57 - 82
2022-03-10 vs Oklahoma State Cowgirls L 58 - 73

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
V. Gray V. Gray G 22 36.9 20.2 5.3 2.3 2.0 1.1 2.5 19.0 9.6 -136 17 -8.0 -9.3 41.2 25.5 75.9 -0.03 47.5 42.8
T. Thomas T. Thomas F 29 33.4 10.1 8.6 1.0 0.5 0.4 2.2 7.9 10.6 -71 19 -3.7 -5.0 47.6 33.3 68.4 2.32 54.0 49.6
L. Hightower L. Hightower G 26 25.3 8.2 3.3 1.2 0.7 0.0 1.3 5.9 6.2 -32 16 -2.0 -3.3 46.4 46.2 89.7 2.24 62.9 58.5
B. Scott B. Scott G 7 15.0 7.9 1.7 0.9 0.7 0.1 2.3 5.3 3.7 -21 6 -3.5 -9.4 45.9 35.0 77.8 0.9 61.2 55.4
R. McKinney R. McKinney G 29 19.7 7.6 1.7 0.9 0.7 0.1 1.1 6.5 3.4 4 19 0.2 0.5 43.4 39.3 80.5 2.34 53.4 49.7
B. Gerlich B. Gerlich F 29 30.3 7.4 2.6 4.2 0.7 0.3 2.5 6.9 5.8 -98 19 -5.2 -7.6 39.2 36.8 68.0 -0.2 48.6 45.5
Khadija Faye Khadija Faye F 19 18.3 6.4 6.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.9 5.9 7.1 -27 11 -2.5 -6.1 42.9 0 66.7 0.57 47.2 42.9
E. Tofaeono E. Tofaeono C 29 18.4 6.0 4.1 0.6 0.4 0.6 2.1 4.0 5.5 -65 19 -3.4 -8.0 59.0 0.0 49.3 -0.73 58.4 59.0
Chantae Embry Chantae Embry F 27 12.0 4.6 2.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.7 -35 17 -2.1 -6.5 54.3 29.6 81.8 2.02 64.4 59.3
T. Veitenheimer T. Veitenheimer G 25 18.9 1.3 1.5 2.2 0.9 0.0 1.8 1.8 2.3 -30 17 -1.8 -4.6 23.9 12.5 80.0 0.82 32.7 27.2
Saga Ukkonen Saga Ukkonen G 21 5.2 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.1 29 11 2.6 22.8 23.8 25.0 0 1.41 31.0 31.0
Lana Wenger Lana Wenger F 18 2.4 0.3 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.8 -3 11 -0.3 -5.8 33.3 0 100.0 -1.23 43.6 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2021-2022 Shot Zones

112 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Tofaeono26% Gerlich50% Embry50% Thomas33% Gerlich50%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Gray31% Gray43% Gray60% Gerlich33% Gray57% Thomas100% Thomas67% Gerlich50% Gray100%
Misses: who misses most here

V. GrayE. TofaeonoB. GerlichT. ThomasChantae Embry

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 34-63 54.0 68 E. Tofaeono 26% (18 pts) V. Gray 26% (18 pts) V. Gray 31% (9 misses) B. Gerlich 17% (5 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 8-15 53.3 16 B. Gerlich 50% (8 pts) Chantae Embry 25% (4 pts) V. Gray 43% (3 misses) B. Gerlich 14% (1 misses)
Mid-range left 2-7 28.6 4 Chantae Embry 50% (2 pts) T. Thomas 50% (2 pts) V. Gray 60% (3 misses) L. Hightower 20% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 6-9 66.7 12 T. Thomas 33% (4 pts) V. Gray 33% (4 pts) B. Gerlich 33% (1 misses) L. Hightower 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 2-9 22.2 4 B. Gerlich 50% (2 pts) V. Gray 50% (2 pts) V. Gray 57% (4 misses) T. Thomas 29% (2 misses)
Left corner 3 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Right corner 3 0-1 0.0 0 - - T. Thomas 100% (1 misses) -
Above-break 3 left 0-3 0.0 0 - - T. Thomas 67% (2 misses) Chantae Embry 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 0-2 0.0 0 - - B. Gerlich 50% (1 misses) V. Gray 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 0-3 0.0 0 - - V. Gray 100% (3 misses) -