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Texas Southern

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Texas Southern Tigers
Program History
Coach: Vernette Skeete

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

35.3
PPG
98.0
Opp
-62.7
Margin
21.5%
FG%
17.7%
3P%
58.3%
FT%
33.7
RPG
6.3
APG
25.3
TO
77.3
Est. poss./game
49.3
Adj PPG
75.2
Adj Opp PPG
#360
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 663 (returning production + recruiting): last season 831, returning -93, transfers -76, freshmen +0 More → 651 (#350) Preseason prior 663 (returning production + recruiting): last season 831, returning -93, transfers -76, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +179 elo More → 774 (#346) HCA +179 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +178 elo More → 877 (#344) HCA +178 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → -30.3 (#358) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More → -29.7 (#358) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.004 (#363) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -35.3 More → 0.056 (#358) AdjNet -35.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -41.1 More → 0.033 (#362) AdjNet -41.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 49.3 | AdjD 75.2 More → 0.103 (#360) AdjO 49.3 | AdjD 75.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 49.4 | AdjD 75.1 More → 0.128 (#361) AdjO 49.4 | AdjD 75.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.086 (#360) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.090 (#360) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 193 | GP 3 More → 745 (#346) RD 193 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.056 (#356) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Tulane Green Wave L 38 - 92
2026-11-05 @ LSU Tigers L 22 - 131
2026-11-12 @ Rice Owls L 46 - 71
2026-11-15 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane - Preview
2026-11-17 @ Oklahoma Sooners - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kaitlyn Adams Kaitlyn Adams G 3 18.3 7.3 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 8.7 1.0 -48 2 -24.0 -89.9 26.9 28.6 100.0 -3.32 38.4 30.8
Jayla Cornelius Jayla Cornelius G 3 28.3 6.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.7 9.7 -0.3 -114 2 -57.0 -87.6 24.1 25.0 50.0 -6.71 29.3 27.6
Michaela Bogans Michaela Bogans PG 3 22.3 4.3 2.7 1.3 1.0 0.3 4.3 6.3 -1.0 -93 2 -46.5 -94.5 26.3 14.3 100.0 -6.05 32.7 28.9
Jada Landers Jada Landers F 2 14.5 4.0 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 7.0 0.0 -27 1 -27.0 -71.6 21.4 0.0 66.7 -2.62 26.1 21.4
Grace Strickland Grace Strickland G 3 24.3 3.0 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7 7.0 -4.3 -122 2 -61.0 -84.9 14.3 17.6 0.0 -4.03 20.6 21.4
DeAvion Wilson DeAvion Wilson G 3 17.7 3.0 1.3 2.0 0.7 0.3 3.7 3.7 0.0 -71 2 -35.5 -67.0 18.2 50.0 100.0 -3.14 35.3 22.7
Syndey Pettis Syndey Pettis F 3 7.3 2.7 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.0 -19 2 -9.5 -60.6 80.0 0 0.0 -0.47 73.5 80.0
Marianah Achol Marianah Achol F 3 21.7 2.0 3.3 0.0 0.7 0.7 2.7 2.3 1.7 -99 2 -49.5 -96.2 28.6 0 33.3 -5.37 31.1 28.6
Bailey Burns Bailey Burns G 3 19.3 2.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.3 5.0 -3.7 -70 2 -35.0 -76.8 13.3 11.1 16.7 -2.0 17.0 16.7
Dejah Morris Dejah Morris G 3 12.3 1.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.7 5.3 -3.0 -49 2 -24.5 -66.6 12.5 12.5 0 0.13 15.6 15.6
Daniela Vallecilla Daniela Vallecilla F 2 16.5 1.0 3.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 -79 2 -39.5 -97.8 0.0 0 100.0 -4.08 14.5 0.0
Tobi Ademuwagun Tobi Ademuwagun G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Mame Kane Mame Kane C 3 7.7 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 1.0 -1.3 -24 2 -12.0 -47.2 0.0 0 0 -1.43 0.0 0.0
Amyna Sarr-Colombel Amyna Sarr-Colombel G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

172 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Cornelius22% Adams38% Adams100% Bogans100% Landers29% Cornelius33% Strickland50% Strickland40% Wilson100%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Cornelius21% Adams21% Adams27% Vallecilla14% Cornelius39% Morris33% Burns100% Burns24% Burns29% Strickland33%
Misses: who misses most here

Jayla CorneliusKaitlyn AdamsMichaela BogansGrace StricklandJada LandersBailey BurnsDeAvion WilsonDejah MorrisDaniela Vallecilla

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 9-23 39.1 18 Jayla Cornelius 22% (4 pts) Michaela Bogans 22% (4 pts) Jayla Cornelius 21% (3 misses) Marianah Achol 21% (3 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 8-37 21.6 16 Kaitlyn Adams 38% (6 pts) Syndey Pettis 25% (4 pts) Kaitlyn Adams 21% (6 misses) Jayla Cornelius 17% (5 misses)
Mid-range left 1-16 6.2 2 Kaitlyn Adams 100% (2 pts) - Kaitlyn Adams 27% (4 misses) Dejah Morris 20% (3 misses)
Mid-range center 1-8 12.5 2 Michaela Bogans 100% (2 pts) - Daniela Vallecilla 14% (1 misses) DeAvion Wilson 14% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 7-25 28.0 14 Jada Landers 29% (4 pts) Jayla Cornelius 29% (4 pts) Jayla Cornelius 39% (7 misses) Grace Strickland 11% (2 misses)
Left corner 3 3-6 50.0 9 Jayla Cornelius 33% (3 pts) Kaitlyn Adams 33% (3 pts) Dejah Morris 33% (1 misses) Kaitlyn Adams 33% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 2-3 66.7 6 Grace Strickland 50% (3 pts) Kaitlyn Adams 50% (3 pts) Bailey Burns 100% (1 misses) -
Above-break 3 left 5-22 22.7 15 Grace Strickland 40% (6 pts) Bailey Burns 20% (3 pts) Bailey Burns 24% (4 misses) Grace Strickland 24% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 center 1-8 12.5 3 DeAvion Wilson 100% (3 pts) - Bailey Burns 29% (2 misses) Grace Strickland 29% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 0-24 0.0 0 - - Grace Strickland 33% (8 misses) Jayla Cornelius 21% (5 misses)