🐻⬇️🏀

Texas Lutheran

Also known as: Texas Lutheran
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1052 (#129) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1070 (#142) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +15.7 (#49) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.882 (#255) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +15.4 More → 0.884 (#87) NetEff +15.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.3 More → 0.892 (#217) AdjNet +18.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.7 More → 0.890 (#221) AdjNet +17.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 57.2 More → 0.736 (#214) AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 57.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Hardin-Simmons L 58 - 67
2024-11-09 vs Howard Payne W 78 - 62
2024-11-14 @ UIW L 51 - 57
2024-11-16 @ LeTourneau W 86 - 61
2024-11-22 @ Pacific Lutheran W 62 - 40
2024-11-23 @ Puget Sound W 67 - 55
2024-11-25 @ Pacific (OR) W 69 - 60
2024-12-07 @ Mary Hardin-Baylor L 56 - 66
2024-12-29 vs Mary Hardin-Baylor W 77 - 54
2025-01-02 vs Southwestern (TX) W 96 - 58
2025-01-04 @ Southwestern (TX) W 74 - 46
2025-01-10 vs St. Thomas (TX) W 61 - 53
2025-01-12 vs Colorado Col. W 76 - 65
2025-01-17 @ Ozarks (AR) W 61 - 54
2025-01-19 @ Centenary (LA) W 89 - 55
2025-01-24 @ Dallas W 87 - 68
2025-01-25 @ Austin W 63 - 57
2025-01-31 vs McMurry L 53 - 73
2025-02-01 vs Concordia (TX) W 64 - 43
2025-02-07 vs Trinity (TX) W 78 - 71
2025-02-08 vs Schreiner W 79 - 61
2025-02-14 @ Trinity (TX) W 79 - 66
2025-02-15 @ Schreiner W 69 - 57
2025-02-21 @ McMurry L 69 - 76
2025-02-23 @ Concordia (TX) W 72 - 62
2025-02-28 vs Ozarks (AR) W 63 - 55
2025-03-01 @ Colorado Col. W 63 - 57
2025-03-02 vs Trinity (TX) W 73 - 63
2025-03-07 @ East Tex. Baptist W 62 - 59
2025-03-08 @ McMurry L 63 - 66

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kailee Mulkey - 30 30.3 12.6 6.9 2.2 2.7 0.2 2.1 11.8 10.7 29 1.0 1.1 38.1 25.0 68.8 0.13 46.9 42.5
Angelina Sotelo - 30 24.2 10.5 3.0 2.7 1.4 0.1 1.7 10.1 6.0 23 0.8 1.0 38.4 34.7 68.8 -0.15 48.9 46.9
Lauren Sansano - 28 22.0 10.5 3.3 3.1 1.4 0.1 2.4 7.2 8.7 60 1.9 2.5 51.2 38.2 84.4 0.7 62.1 56.4
Sarahi Jones - 30 30.7 9.9 8.2 1.6 1.3 0.7 1.3 10.1 10.2 51 1.4 1.5 40.1 29.8 75.7 0.28 46.4 44.2
Callista Perez - 2 23.0 7.0 3.0 2.5 1.5 0.0 1.0 6.0 7.0 -25 -2.5 -4.2 58.3 0 0 -0.39 58.3 58.3
Zaria Solis - 24 10.6 5.7 3.7 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8 4.3 5.3 -7 -0.3 -0.6 57.3 0 45.0 -0.03 56.4 57.3
Emerald st Laurent - 2 11.5 5.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 4.0 2.5 - - - 37.5 0 71.4 - 49.6 37.5
Kayla Presley - 16 10.4 4.8 2.2 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.9 3.9 4.7 37 3.4 4.5 40.3 22.7 68.8 0.38 50.6 44.4
Calli Perez - 28 16.5 4.6 2.9 1.4 1.3 0.1 0.5 4.9 4.7 12 0.5 0.7 39.9 18.2 72.7 0.18 43.3 40.6
Elexis Morado - 29 15.0 3.8 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.2 1.0 3.6 3.5 -29 -1.1 -1.8 42.7 33.3 50.0 -0.42 50.4 50.0
Emerald St. Laurent - 28 9.1 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.8 3.4 0.9 - - - 32.6 0.0 60.0 - 37.6 32.6
Juliana Tapia - 29 12.1 2.1 1.8 0.9 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.6 2.3 47 1.7 3.0 29.3 0.0 64.3 0.29 35.5 29.3
Brianna Wilson - 15 4.7 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.3 - - - 38.1 0.0 90.0 - 49.2 38.1
Irianna Rollins - 30 5.0 1.7 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.2 -7 -0.4 -1.1 45.7 33.3 75.0 -0.14 50.7 46.7
Juliett Martinez - 29 7.2 1.5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.5 2.4 0.6 -10 -0.4 -1.2 22.9 17.5 100.0 -0.04 31.0 30.0
Chaeli Criddle - 28 4.0 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.2 1.1 -41 -2.3 -8.8 29.4 35.0 52.4 -0.5 43.9 39.7
Noelani Ajel - 28 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 -19 -1.2 -4.7 45.5 0.0 50.0 -0.06 47.0 45.5
Raemie Medina - 28 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.4 -7 -0.6 -5.0 25.0 25.0 100.0 -0.15 51.2 37.5
Kaylee Warner - 28 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 33.3 - 39.6 40.0
Maggy Moreman - 29 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 - - - 25.0 20.0 50.0 - 33.8 31.2
Audry Hornaday - 10 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.1 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Raemie Medenez - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Raemie Medenez - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Davi'Yanna Jones - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12 1.5 1.7 0 0 0 0.15 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG