Texas Lutheran
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1052 (#129) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1070 (#142) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +15.7 (#49) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.882 (#255) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.884 (#87) | NetEff +15.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.892 (#217) | AdjNet +18.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.890 (#221) | AdjNet +17.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.736 (#214) | AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 57.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kailee Mulkey | - | 30 | 30.3 | 12.6 | 6.9 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 11.8 | 10.7 | 29 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 38.1 | 25.0 | 68.8 | 0.13 | 46.9 | 42.5 |
| Angelina Sotelo | - | 30 | 24.2 | 10.5 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 10.1 | 6.0 | 23 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 38.4 | 34.7 | 68.8 | -0.15 | 48.9 | 46.9 |
| Lauren Sansano | - | 28 | 22.0 | 10.5 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 7.2 | 8.7 | 60 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 51.2 | 38.2 | 84.4 | 0.7 | 62.1 | 56.4 |
| Sarahi Jones | - | 30 | 30.7 | 9.9 | 8.2 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 10.1 | 10.2 | 51 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 40.1 | 29.8 | 75.7 | 0.28 | 46.4 | 44.2 |
| Callista Perez | - | 2 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | -25 | -2.5 | -4.2 | 58.3 | 0 | 0 | -0.39 | 58.3 | 58.3 |
| Zaria Solis | - | 24 | 10.6 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 4.3 | 5.3 | -7 | -0.3 | -0.6 | 57.3 | 0 | 45.0 | -0.03 | 56.4 | 57.3 |
| Emerald st Laurent | - | 2 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0 | 71.4 | - | 49.6 | 37.5 |
| Kayla Presley | - | 16 | 10.4 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 37 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 40.3 | 22.7 | 68.8 | 0.38 | 50.6 | 44.4 |
| Calli Perez | - | 28 | 16.5 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 4.9 | 4.7 | 12 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 39.9 | 18.2 | 72.7 | 0.18 | 43.3 | 40.6 |
| Elexis Morado | - | 29 | 15.0 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.6 | 3.5 | -29 | -1.1 | -1.8 | 42.7 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -0.42 | 50.4 | 50.0 |
| Emerald St. Laurent | - | 28 | 9.1 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 0.9 | - | - | - | 32.6 | 0.0 | 60.0 | - | 37.6 | 32.6 |
| Juliana Tapia | - | 29 | 12.1 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 47 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 29.3 | 0.0 | 64.3 | 0.29 | 35.5 | 29.3 |
| Brianna Wilson | - | 15 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.3 | - | - | - | 38.1 | 0.0 | 90.0 | - | 49.2 | 38.1 |
| Irianna Rollins | - | 30 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | -7 | -0.4 | -1.1 | 45.7 | 33.3 | 75.0 | -0.14 | 50.7 | 46.7 |
| Juliett Martinez | - | 29 | 7.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 0.6 | -10 | -0.4 | -1.2 | 22.9 | 17.5 | 100.0 | -0.04 | 31.0 | 30.0 |
| Chaeli Criddle | - | 28 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | -41 | -2.3 | -8.8 | 29.4 | 35.0 | 52.4 | -0.5 | 43.9 | 39.7 |
| Noelani Ajel | - | 28 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | -19 | -1.2 | -4.7 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.06 | 47.0 | 45.5 |
| Raemie Medina | - | 28 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | -7 | -0.6 | -5.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.15 | 51.2 | 37.5 |
| Kaylee Warner | - | 28 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | - | 39.6 | 40.0 |
| Maggy Moreman | - | 29 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 20.0 | 50.0 | - | 33.8 | 31.2 |
| Audry Hornaday | - | 10 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Raemie Medenez | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Raemie Medenez | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Davi'Yanna Jones | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG