Tex. A&M Int'l
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 997 (#277) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1019 (#255) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1025 (#216) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.5 (#189) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.7 (#299) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.511 (#358) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.996 (#71) | NetEff +41.9 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.364 (#314) | NetEff -4.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.697 (#321) | AdjNet +7.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.719 (#320) | AdjNet +7.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.633 (#300) | AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 66.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.512 (#331) | AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 64.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.555 (#308) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.552 (#302) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1015 (#237) | RD 101 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | St. Thomas (TX) | W | 95 - 85 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Texas Southern | L | 63 - 101 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Arkansas Tech | L | 71 - 102 |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Drury | L | 68 - 81 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Western Colo. | L | 61 - 68 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Colo. Christian | W | 61 - 56 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | UT Tyler | W | 57 - 53 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Texas Woman's | L | 55 - 71 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | UT Permian Basin | L | 71 - 77 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Angelo St. | L | 38 - 59 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Biblical Stud. (TX) | W | 96 - 57 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Okla. Christian | W | 66 - 64 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Texas-Dallas | W | 61 - 53 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Tex. A&M-Kingsville | W | 73 - 71 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Tex. A&M-Kingsville | L | 52 - 69 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | UT Permian Basin | W | 57 - 49 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Sul Ross St. | W | 64 - 49 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Western N.M. | W | 80 - 62 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | St. Mary's (TX) | W | 57 - 55 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | St. Edward's | L | 68 - 72 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaliyah McMillan | - | 10 | 23.7 | 13.6 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 4.2 | 12.4 | 2.9 | -38 | -4.2 | -57.6 | 32.3 | 28.3 | 68.3 | -0.18 | 44.8 | 37.5 |
| Jayden Smallwood | - | 11 | 30.0 | 12.9 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 13.3 | 7.8 | 76 | 6.3 | 19.3 | 30.8 | 25.0 | 60.8 | 2.45 | 39.8 | 33.2 |
| Bridgette Tello | - | 12 | 21.9 | 11.2 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 9.7 | 6.1 | 24 | 2.0 | 7.7 | 38.8 | 28.0 | 81.6 | 0.03 | 50.9 | 44.8 |
| Angelique Morgan | - | 13 | 33.5 | 9.8 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 11.3 | 5.0 | -7 | -0.5 | -7.0 | 32.7 | 50.0 | 79.5 | -1.81 | 39.0 | 33.0 |
| Racheal Emmanuel | - | 17 | 29.1 | 9.5 | 9.4 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 7.8 | 11.6 | -25 | -1.4 | -6.5 | 39.8 | 100.0 | 70.1 | 1.7 | 48.2 | 40.2 |
| Carmen Morcillo | - | 20 | 26.2 | 7.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 7.3 | 2.3 | 36 | 1.7 | 9.3 | 34.0 | 35.3 | 87.5 | -0.64 | 51.8 | 50.7 |
| Deannasty Smith | - | 8 | 22.6 | 7.5 | 5.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 9.1 | 4.4 | -42 | -6.0 | -40.9 | 34.2 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.85 | 37.7 | 34.2 |
| Dacia Jones | - | 20 | 26.6 | 6.3 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 4.8 | 7.0 | -26 | -1.2 | -7.1 | 43.3 | 15.4 | 65.1 | 0.25 | 50.9 | 44.3 |
| Jaela Wade | - | 19 | 19.2 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 36 | 1.8 | 12.8 | 32.8 | 27.3 | 63.0 | 0.63 | 41.1 | 37.9 |
| abigail martinez | - | 20 | 17.8 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 5.2 | -49 | -2.3 | -19.2 | 32.9 | 20.0 | 65.3 | 0.94 | 42.5 | 33.6 |
| Taylor Jacobson | - | 15 | 14.1 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 29.6 | 28.6 | 44.8 | -0.0 | 35.2 | 31.5 |
| Gabby Gamboa | - | 2 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.5 | -4.0 | - | - | - | 15.4 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 15.4 | 15.4 |
| Ariana Bustamante | - | 8 | 8.2 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 5 | 0.7 | 28.2 | 28.6 | 20.0 | 50.0 | -0.28 | 36.6 | 35.7 |
| Olivia Bugros | - | 8 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 23 | 2.9 | 113.6 | 27.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.25 | 36.9 | 27.3 |
| Andrea Reyes | - | 4 | 4.9 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 3 | 0.6 | 46.8 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.33 | 11.1 | 11.1 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG