Tennessee TechModel Outputs
2011-2012
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1056 (#140) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 927 (#210) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1030 (#129) | HCA +78 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.0 (#227) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.8 (#182) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.531 (#152) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.247 (#226) | AdjNet -9.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.239 (#227) | AdjNet -10.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.386 (#225) | AdjO 58.8 | AdjD 64.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.532 (#135) | AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 61.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.424 (#193) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.453 (#185) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 972 (#181) | RD 122 | GP 30 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | Legacy estimate | Earlier model estimate; no qualified current forecast. |
2011-2012 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011-11-21 | vs | Tennessee Wesleyan Bulldogs | W | 66 - 52 |
| 2011-11-23 | @ | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | L | 55 - 74 |
| 2011-11-26 | vs | Western Carolina Catamounts | L | 58 - 61 |
| 2011-11-29 | @ | Alabama A&M Bulldogs | L | 35 - 61 |
| 2011-12-05 | vs | Lipscomb Bisons | L | 61 - 66 |
| 2011-12-07 | vs | Western Kentucky Lady Toppers | W | 69 - 59 |
| 2011-12-10 | @ | Samford Bulldogs | L | 55 - 61 |
| 2011-12-19 | @ | UL Monroe Warhawks | W | 68 - 64 |
| 2011-12-21 | @ | Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters | L | 64 - 82 |
| 2011-12-28 | vs | Marshall Thundering Herd | L | 68 - 73 |
| 2011-12-31 | @ | UT Martin Skyhawks | L | 61 - 83 |
| 2012-01-02 | @ | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | L | 54 - 62 |
| 2012-01-07 | vs | Morehead State Eagles | W | 68 - 50 |
| 2012-01-09 | vs | Tennessee State Lady Tigers | W | 80 - 71 |
| 2012-01-14 | @ | Murray State Racers | L | 72 - 76 |
| 2012-01-17 | @ | Western Kentucky Lady Toppers | L | 58 - 71 |
| 2012-01-21 | vs | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | W | 60 - 57 |
| 2012-01-23 | vs | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | W | 65 - 59 |
| 2012-01-28 | @ | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | W | 82 - 67 |
| 2012-01-30 | @ | Morehead State Eagles | W | 57 - 53 |
| 2012-02-01 | vs | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | L | 62 - 64 |
| 2012-02-04 | @ | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | W | 62 - 50 |
| 2012-02-06 | @ | Austin Peay Governors | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2012-02-11 | @ | Tennessee State Lady Tigers | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2012-02-13 | vs | Eastern Illinois Panthers | L | 51 - 52 |
| 2012-02-18 | vs | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | W | 66 - 51 |
| 2012-02-25 | vs | Murray State Racers | W | 88 - 51 |
| 2012-03-01 | vs | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | W | 81 - 65 |
| 2012-03-02 | @ | Eastern Illinois Panthers | W | 81 - 72 |
| 2012-03-03 | @ | UT Martin Skyhawks | L | 65 - 82 |
| 2012-03-14 | @ | Bradley Braves | L | 71 - 74 |
2011-2012 Roster
No roster data available for this season.