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Tennessee Tech Golden

Model Outputs

1999-2000
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 962 (#172) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1029 (#143) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +114 elo More → 1030 (#123) HCA +114 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More → +2.3 (#139) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More → +2.3 (#133) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.634 (#95) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.6 More → 0.517 (#159) AdjNet +0.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.6 More → 0.518 (#159) AdjNet +0.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 71.0 More → 0.554 (#136) AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 71.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 68.6 More → 0.557 (#114) AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 68.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.548 (#139) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.549 (#133) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 161 | GP 26 More → 1022 (#139) RD 161 | GP 26
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Earlier model estimate; no qualified current forecast. More → Legacy estimate Earlier model estimate; no qualified current forecast.

1999-2000 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1999-11-20 @ Georgia Southern L 81 - 83
1999-11-22 @ Alabama L 72 - 91
1999-11-27 vs UNC Asheville W 85 - 51
1999-12-02 vs Southeast Missouri State L 79 - 84
1999-12-04 vs Eastern Illinois W 107 - 97
1999-12-06 vs Georgia Southern W 111 - 79
1999-12-12 @ North Carolina L 59 - 85
1999-12-28 @ Charleston Southern W 93 - 66
1999-12-29 @ College of Charleston L 56 - 69
2000-01-06 @ Morehead State L 76 - 88
2000-01-08 @ Eastern Kentucky W 75 - 74
2000-01-15 vs Middle Tennessee W 78 - 66
2000-01-18 @ Southeast Missouri State L 50 - 61
2000-01-20 vs Tennessee State W 88 - 70
2000-01-22 vs Austin Peay W 75 - 64
2000-01-27 @ Tennessee–Martin W 82 - 74
2000-01-29 @ Murray State L 74 - 75
2000-02-03 vs Morehead State W 90 - 83
2000-02-05 vs Eastern Kentucky W 91 - 66
2000-02-08 @ Eastern Illinois L 64 - 73
2000-02-12 @ Middle Tennessee L 104 - 108
2000-02-17 @ Tennessee State W 77 - 66
2000-02-19 @ Austin Peay W 59 - 56
2000-02-24 vs Tennessee–Martin W 81 - 65
2000-02-26 vs Murray State L 63 - 64
2000-02-29 @ Middle Tennessee L 70 - 87

1999-2000 Roster

No roster data available for this season.