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Tennessee State

Also known as: Tennessee State Tigers
Program History

2015 Team Stats (2 games)

55.5
PPG
69.5
Opp
-14.0
Margin
40.4%
FG%
16.7%
3P%
56.5%
FT%
34.0
RPG
7.0
APG
13.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
54.8
Adj PPG
67.2
Adj Opp PPG
#326
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 690 (#332) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 676 (#344) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More โ†’ 853 (#340) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -13.0 (#326) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -11.8 (#324) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.089 (#345) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -21.9 More โ†’ 0.074 (#331) AdjNet -21.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -22.1 More โ†’ 0.072 (#331) AdjNet -22.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 54.8 | AdjD 67.2 More โ†’ 0.245 (#326) AdjO 54.8 | AdjD 67.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.6 | AdjD 66.1 More โ†’ 0.296 (#336) AdjO 56.6 | AdjD 66.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.170 (#336) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.178 (#336) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 178 | GP 29 More โ†’ 675 (#342) RD 178 | GP 29

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 vs Reinhardt Eagles W 97 - 66
2014-11-18 vs Southern Illinois Salukis L 67 - 84
2014-11-20 vs Fisk Bulldogs W 75 - 60
2014-11-23 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 46 - 78
2014-11-25 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 36 - 79
2014-11-28 @ Saint Peter's Peacocks L 58 - 66
2014-11-29 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 57 - 59
2014-12-02 vs Hampton Pirates L 54 - 62
2014-12-06 @ Lipscomb Bisons L 68 - 77
2014-12-16 @ Southern Illinois Salukis L 58 - 65
2014-12-19 @ Hampton Pirates L 54 - 66
2014-12-21 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 47 - 65
2014-12-27 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 46 - 67
2014-12-29 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 40 - 60
2014-12-31 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 73 - 62
2015-01-03 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks L 62 - 77
2015-01-07 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers L 57 - 64
2015-01-10 @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars L 38 - 45
2015-01-15 @ Austin Peay Governors L 68 - 69
2015-01-17 @ Murray State Racers L 72 - 91
2015-01-25 vs Belmont Bruins L 55 - 63
2015-01-29 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 64 - 56
2015-01-31 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 45 - 43
2015-02-05 @ Morehead State Eagles L 57 - 72
2015-02-07 @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 72 - 77
2015-02-12 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 52 - 71
2015-02-14 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 41 - 69
2015-02-19 vs Morehead State Eagles - Postponed
2015-02-21 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 50 - 55
2015-02-23 vs Morehead State Eagles L 70 - 86
2015-02-26 vs UT Martin Skyhawks L 52 - 69
2015-02-28 @ Belmont Bruins L 62 - 88

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jay Harris Jay Harris G 26 28.8 10.9 2.7 1.9 1.2 0.0 2.3 1.2 13.3 -173 21 -8.2 -13.0 22.6 33.3 66.7 -0.87 422.1 30.6
Marcus Roper Marcus Roper G 24 23.8 9.7 2.9 0.6 0.8 0.2 1.8 1.3 11.1 -184 19 -9.7 -19.1 38.7 28.6 62.5 -4.26 336.0 48.4
Christian Mekowulu Christian Mekowulu F 21 24.4 8.7 5.8 0.4 0.8 0.7 2.1 1.1 13.1 - - - - 50.0 0 81.8 - 315.5 50.0
Xavier Richards Xavier Richards G 26 23.8 7.0 5.0 1.5 0.7 0.8 1.8 1.3 12.0 -175 21 -8.3 -15.6 66.7 0 52.4 -3.75 215.4 66.7
Darreon Reddick Darreon Reddick G 26 26.1 6.7 3.4 1.3 0.6 0.0 1.8 1.1 9.0 -186 21 -8.9 -15.0 37.9 20.0 0.0 -2.98 281.2 39.7
Charles Tucker Charles Tucker G 26 21.7 5.1 1.3 2.2 0.5 0.0 1.7 0.7 6.7 -132 21 -6.3 -13.3 21.1 0.0 100.0 -1.18 324.8 21.1
Demontez Loman Demontez Loman F 26 25.9 4.7 5.6 0.7 0.7 1.3 1.4 0.4 11.1 -141 21 -6.7 -11.3 27.3 0.0 71.4 1.87 429.7 27.3
Zachary Lee Zachary Lee F 26 19.1 3.6 2.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.3 6.6 -132 21 -6.3 -15.6 25.0 0.0 73.3 -2.27 321.9 25.0
Christian Crockett Christian Crockett F 14 9.8 2.6 2.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.3 4.2 -65 14 -4.6 -23.8 25.0 0 50.0 -3.26 312.5 25.0
Rodney Simeon Rodney Simeon G 18 10.8 2.4 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.8 2.3 -38 13 -2.9 -15.1 33.3 30.8 100.0 -2.0 135.4 46.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG