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Tennessee State

Also known as: Tennessee State Tigers
Program History

2014 Team Stats (11 games)

67.9
PPG
77.7
Opp
-9.8
Margin
43.8%
FG%
28.9%
3P%
73.2%
FT%
31.5
RPG
9.8
APG
13.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.6
Adj PPG
72.6
Adj Opp PPG
#285
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 804 (#309) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 721 (#332) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 925 (#274) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -8.5 (#284) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -4.1 (#235) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.220 (#310) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.1 More โ†’ 0.199 (#283) AdjNet -12.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.2 More โ†’ 0.197 (#283) AdjNet -12.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.6 | AdjD 72.6 More โ†’ 0.325 (#285) AdjO 64.6 | AdjD 72.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 69.2 More โ†’ 0.435 (#237) AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 69.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.291 (#277) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.311 (#276) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 183 | GP 29 More โ†’ 751 (#318) RD 183 | GP 29

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 55 - 85
2013-11-09 @ New Mexico State Aggies L 55 - 70
2013-11-11 vs Western Michigan Broncos L 52 - 63
2013-11-16 @ Wichita State Shockers L 71 - 85
2013-11-18 vs Lipscomb Bisons L 70 - 75
2013-11-22 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 67 - 88
2013-11-26 @ Auburn Tigers L 73 - 78
2013-11-30 @ South Carolina Upstate Spartans L 64 - 73
2013-12-03 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs L 65 - 66
2013-12-07 @ Drexel Dragons L 61 - 75
2013-12-15 vs Fisk Bulldogs W 108 - 85
2013-12-19 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 58 - 64
2013-12-21 vs Miami (OH) RedHawks L 64 - 79
2013-12-28 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers L 69 - 70
2014-01-02 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 53 - 57
2014-01-04 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 70 - 65
2014-01-07 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 66 - 74
2014-01-11 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks L 94 - 102
2014-01-13 @ UT Martin Skyhawks L 81 - 100
2014-01-16 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 64 - 70
2014-01-18 vs Belmont Bruins L 65 - 79
2014-01-23 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 78 - 94
2014-01-25 vs Morehead State Eagles L 74 - 80
2014-01-30 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 81 - 68
2014-02-06 vs Austin Peay Governors L 65 - 75
2014-02-08 vs Murray State Racers L 65 - 73
2014-02-13 @ Belmont Bruins L 71 - 73
2014-02-20 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 66 - 61
2014-02-27 @ Morehead State Eagles W 70 - 68
2014-03-01 @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 66 - 70

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Patrick Miller Patrick Miller G 27 37.8 23.9 4.6 4.1 1.7 0.2 3.4 7.2 23.8 -125 22 -5.7 -6.6 47.4 28.9 79.5 1.04 132.6 50.8
M.J. Rhett M.J. Rhett F 26 32.8 11.2 9.1 0.7 0.6 0.9 2.2 3.2 17.1 -108 21 -5.1 -7.0 55.4 0 76.3 0.13 145.9 55.4
Jay Harris Jay Harris G 27 23.6 7.5 2.5 1.3 0.8 0.0 1.0 3.0 8.2 -67 22 -3.0 -5.9 37.0 28.6 75.8 -0.57 105.7 43.2
Kennedy Eubanks Kennedy Eubanks F 26 26.1 7.3 5.2 0.8 0.7 0.6 1.1 3.2 10.3 -149 21 -7.1 -11.2 42.7 18.8 41.2 -2.19 106.7 46.3
Jacquan Nobles Jacquan Nobles G 20 11.9 4.6 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.6 2.2 3.7 -22 15 -1.5 -5.5 37.8 35.7 81.8 -1.54 92.3 54.4
Jaleel Queary Jaleel Queary G 24 20.5 4.5 2.5 1.0 0.4 0.2 1.3 1.4 5.9 -140 20 -7.0 -15.4 42.4 0 45.5 -5.64 141.4 42.4
Jamonte Graham Jamonte Graham G 23 16.2 4.2 1.4 1.4 0.5 0.0 1.2 1.9 4.4 -5 18 -0.3 -0.7 38.6 33.3 55.6 0.94 100.1 45.5
Gerald Williams Gerald Williams G 6 14.3 3.7 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 4.0 - - - - 50.0 0.0 75.0 - 141.8 50.0
Michael Green Michael Green F 5 16.6 3.2 2.6 0.6 0.2 1.0 1.6 2.0 4.0 - - - - 20.0 25.0 100.0 -3.2 73.5 25.0
Chaed Wellian Chaed Wellian F 23 9.3 3.1 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.8 3.7 23 18 1.3 5.6 52.6 40.0 0 1.54 186.8 63.2
Jordan Gaither Jordan Gaither G 23 13.5 3.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.6 2.9 -2 18 -0.1 -0.4 38.9 36.0 62.5 -1.05 87.3 51.4
Ugo Mmonu Ugo Mmonu F 19 9.0 1.9 1.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.3 2.6 18 14 1.3 6.6 20.0 0.0 50.0 2.11 314.6 20.0
Alex Bates Alex Bates F 26 10.3 0.8 1.6 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 2.8 -64 22 -2.9 -11.8 50.0 0 60.0 -3.1 177.4 50.0
Cameron Johnson Cameron Johnson - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG