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Tarleton St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2021 2014 2013
Also known as: Tarleton St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1025 (#281) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1068 (#207) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1007 (#394) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +41.1 (#17) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.996 (#142) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +33.9 More → 0.981 (#76) AdjNet +33.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +33.7 More → 0.983 (#76) AdjNet +33.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 87.8 | AdjD 58.9 More → 0.932 (#49) AdjO 87.8 | AdjD 58.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 88.0 | AdjD 69.7 More → 0.841 (#11) AdjO 88.0 | AdjD 69.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.934 (#11) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.904 (#17) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 341 | GP 1 More → 1123 (#139) RD 341 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-03 vs Howard Payne W 119 - 54

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Andy Sigiscar - 1 18.0 18.0 6.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 13.0 14.0 - - - 69.2 0 0.0 - 64.8 69.2
Leroy Kelly IV - 1 25.4 17.0 7.0 4.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 27.0 - - - 77.8 75.0 0 - 94.4 94.4
Kaia Isaac - 1 30.7 16.0 3.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 17.0 - - - 50.0 57.1 100.0 - 73.5 70.0
Cam Thomas - 1 33.8 12.0 17.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 11.0 26.0 112 5.1 27.1 45.5 0.0 50.0 0.54 47.0 45.5
Matyas Vrabel - 1 5.7 8.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 4.0 - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Jordan Mizell - 1 21.0 6.0 3.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 10.0 - - - 66.7 0.0 100.0 - 77.3 66.7
Kade Douglas - 1 3.9 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Joseph Martinez - 1 4.6 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 18 1.2 10.5 0.0 0.0 100.0 2.14 53.2 0.0
Ocypher Owens - 1 9.8 1.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 17.4 0.0
Roy Marom - 1 4.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Damion Porter Jr. - 1 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 78 4.6 27.3 0.0 0 0 2.91 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG