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TCU

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs
Program History
Coach: Raegan Pebley

2018 Team Stats (11 games)

70.5
PPG
73.7
Opp
-3.3
Margin
42.6%
FG%
37.2%
3P%
74.9%
FT%
34.4
RPG
14.0
APG
16.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
76.9
Adj PPG
61.9
Adj Opp PPG
#42
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1412 (#23) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1226 (#54) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +77 elo More → 1128 (#45) HCA +77 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +16.4 (#43) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.3 More → +17.3 (#39) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.649 (#108) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +22.2 More → 0.929 (#49) AdjNet +22.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +22.6 More → 0.932 (#50) AdjNet +22.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 61.9 More → 0.797 (#42) AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 61.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 62.4 More → 0.734 (#43) AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 62.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.850 (#42) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.841 (#40) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 88 | GP 36 More → 1260 (#34) RD 88 | GP 36

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-11 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 72 - 58
2017-11-14 @ SMU Mustangs W 64 - 58
2017-11-18 vs Texas State Bobcats W 82 - 58
2017-11-21 vs Yale Bulldogs L 72 - 82
2017-11-24 @ Arizona Wildcats W 68 - 59
2017-11-25 @ Idaho Vandals W 86 - 76
2017-12-01 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 88 - 67
2017-12-06 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 58 - 71
2017-12-10 vs SE Louisiana Lady Lions W 112 - 62
2017-12-17 vs Northwestern State Lady Demons W 89 - 51
2017-12-20 vs Hampton Lady Pirates W 90 - 68
2017-12-28 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 82 - 87
2017-12-31 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 77 - 86
2018-01-04 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 71 - 84
2018-01-07 vs Texas Tech Lady Raiders W 93 - 72
2018-01-10 vs Texas Longhorns W 79 - 77
2018-01-13 @ West Virginia Mountaineers W 76 - 74
2018-01-20 vs Kansas Jayhawks W 76 - 66
2018-01-24 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 68 - 63
2018-01-27 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 62 - 58
2018-01-30 @ Iowa State Cyclones W 75 - 52
2018-02-03 @ Texas Longhorns L 65 - 92
2018-02-07 vs Oklahoma State Cowgirls L 54 - 71
2018-02-10 @ Baylor Bears L 63 - 83
2018-02-14 vs Iowa State Cyclones L 63 - 66
2018-02-17 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 87 - 70
2018-02-21 @ Texas Tech Lady Raiders W 72 - 60
2018-02-24 vs Baylor Bears L 53 - 85
2018-02-26 @ Oklahoma State Cowgirls L 72 - 85
2018-03-03 @ Oklahoma Sooners W 90 - 83
2018-03-04 @ Baylor Bears L 48 - 94
2018-03-15 vs Lamar Cardinals W 80 - 68
2018-03-17 vs Missouri State Lady Bears W 86 - 51
2018-03-22 @ New Mexico Lobos W 81 - 72
2018-03-25 @ South Dakota Coyotes W 79 - 71
2018-03-28 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 58 - 71

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Okonkwo A. Okonkwo - 11 21.6 12.6 6.6 0.9 0.8 0.5 2.5 10.5 8.6 92 30 3.1 6.9 42.6 48.4 78.8 5.0 53.7 49.1
J. Moore J. Moore C 11 24.1 12.3 7.0 0.7 0.7 1.9 2.5 9.2 10.9 17 30 0.6 1.0 51.5 0 70.5 0.59 56.1 51.5
A. Ramirez A. Ramirez G 11 22.0 9.4 1.5 2.0 1.1 0.2 1.5 7.5 5.1 118 30 3.9 7.0 43.4 34.3 82.6 3.49 55.3 50.6
K. Ray K. Ray G 11 29.1 9.4 3.1 3.5 1.5 1.2 1.9 7.4 9.3 -8 27 -0.3 -0.5 35.8 32.4 82.9 0.75 52.0 42.6
T. Thompson T. Thompson G 9 27.2 7.1 1.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.8 7.0 2.7 5 28 0.2 0.3 33.3 29.0 92.9 0.0 46.3 40.5
L. Heard L. Heard G 11 18.1 5.3 3.0 1.4 1.2 0.0 1.3 4.4 5.2 3 30 0.1 0.2 41.7 33.3 70.6 -1.16 52.3 47.9
D. Vann D. Vann G 10 19.9 4.9 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.4 1.0 3.6 3.6 -20 27 -0.7 -1.6 44.4 41.7 63.6 -0.04 60.0 58.3
J. Woods J. Woods G 11 20.6 4.2 2.6 2.5 0.5 0.4 3.0 3.4 3.9 51 26 2.0 4.0 43.2 25.0 50.0 4.18 47.5 44.6
S. Coleman S. Coleman G 11 9.5 3.1 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 1.0 2.9 1.1 17 27 0.6 2.7 40.6 41.7 100.0 0.3 51.0 48.4
A. Akomolafe A. Akomolafe F 11 14.4 2.6 2.8 0.9 0.4 0.9 0.4 2.4 4.9 1 30 0.0 0.1 46.2 100.0 80.0 0.63 51.4 48.1
E. Hellessey E. Hellessey F 6 3.0 2.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 1.3 1.5 8 12 0.7 5.1 50.0 40.0 100.0 -2.6 67.6 62.5
M. Christian M. Christian G 2 4.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 51 11 4.6 19.6 50.0 100.0 0 0.79 75.0 75.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG