TCU
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe. |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1435 (#88) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +30.9 (#95) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.065 (#115) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.152 (#103) | AdjNet -14.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.150 (#103) | AdjNet -14.9 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-22 | vs | UT Arlington | W | 87 - 58 |
| 2003-11-29 | vs | Tulsa | L | 62 - 74 |
| 2003-12-01 | vs | Kansas | L | 66 - 85 |
| 2003-12-03 | vs | Murray State | L | 67 - 73 |
| 2003-12-06 | @ | Washington State | L | 52 - 73 |
| 2003-12-08 | vs | Stephen F. Austin | W | 84 - 62 |
| 2003-12-10 | @ | Texas Tech | L | 60 - 67 |
| 2003-12-13 | vs | North Texas | W | 62 - 58 |
| 2003-12-22 | vs | Arkansas State | L | 58 - 64 |
| 2003-12-29 | vs | Grambling | W | 99 - 71 |
| 2004-01-03 | vs | Vanderbilt | L | 60 - 95 |
| 2004-01-07 | vs | Saint Louis | L | 50 - 60 |
| 2004-01-10 | vs | Tulane | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2004-01-13 | @ | Houston | W | 55 - 54 |
| 2004-01-17 | @ | Cincinnati | L | 57 - 85 |
| 2004-01-20 | vs | DePaul | L | 54 - 61 |
| 2004-01-28 | vs | Southern Mississippi | W | 79 - 67 |
| 2004-01-31 | vs | Memphis | L | 69 - 75 |
| 2004-02-03 | @ | Marquette | W | 85 - 79 |
| 2004-02-09 | @ | South Florida | W | 54 - 51 |
| 2004-02-14 | @ | Tulane | L | 66 - 67 |
| 2004-02-17 | vs | Louisville | W | 71 - 46 |
| 2004-02-21 | @ | East Carolina | L | 70 - 75 |
| 2004-02-25 | vs | Charlotte | L | 86 - 94 |
| 2004-02-28 | vs | Houston | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2004-03-03 | @ | Memphis | L | 56 - 83 |
| 2004-03-06 | @ | UAB | L | 62 - 87 |
| 2004-03-10 | N | Marquette | W | 64 - 62 |
| 2004-03-11 | N | DePaul | L | 65 - 89 |
2004 Roster
No roster data available for this season.