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TCU

Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs
Program History

2008 Team Stats (18 games)

71.7
PPG
55.9
Opp
+15.8
Margin
42.4%
FG%
34.8%
3P%
67.1%
FT%
34.6
RPG
15.4
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.6
Adj PPG
57.3
Adj Opp PPG
#33
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2007-2008
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1307 (#41) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1181 (#58) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +82 elo More โ†’ 1103 (#49) HCA +82 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +16.3 (#33) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +16.5 (#32) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.874 (#29) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +25.1 More โ†’ 0.948 (#34) AdjNet +25.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +25.5 More โ†’ 0.951 (#34) AdjNet +25.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 57.3 More โ†’ 0.802 (#33) AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 57.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 60.6 More โ†’ 0.750 (#24) AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 60.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.848 (#29) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.840 (#28) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 35 More โ†’ 1196 (#48) RD 97 | GP 35

2008 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2007-11-09 vs Radford Highlanders W 74 - 63
2007-11-11 @ LSU Tigers L 54 - 73
2007-11-16 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 66 - 36
2007-11-20 @ SMU Mustangs L 61 - 66
2007-11-23 vs California Golden Bears L 55 - 74
2007-11-28 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 75 - 63
2007-12-02 vs Texas A&M Aggies L 58 - 68
2007-12-06 @ Rice Owls L 74 - 82
2007-12-08 vs Coppin State Eagles W 85 - 55
2007-12-16 @ Florida Gators L 76 - 80
2007-12-18 vs Oklahoma State Cowgirls W 97 - 63
2007-12-21 @ Houston Cougars L 68 - 73
2007-12-29 vs Grambling Lady Tigers W 83 - 51
2008-01-04 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 97 - 42
2008-01-09 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 86 - 63
2008-01-12 @ Wyoming Cowgirls L 45 - 62
2008-01-15 @ New Mexico Lobos W 57 - 54
2008-01-19 vs Colorado State Rams W 70 - 52
2008-01-26 vs Utah Utes L 50 - 60
2008-01-29 @ UNLV Lady Rebels W 56 - 38
2008-02-02 @ Air Force Falcons W 67 - 49
2008-02-05 vs BYU Cougars W 73 - 54
2008-02-09 @ San Diego State Aztecs W 75 - 54
2008-02-13 vs Wyoming Cowgirls W 73 - 59
2008-02-17 vs New Mexico Lobos W 59 - 51
2008-02-20 @ Colorado State Rams W 76 - 41
2008-02-27 @ Utah Utes L 53 - 68
2008-03-01 vs UNLV Lady Rebels W 87 - 57
2008-03-05 vs Air Force Falcons W 85 - 50
2008-03-08 @ BYU Cougars W 72 - 61
2008-03-12 vs Air Force Falcons W 60 - 47
2008-03-14 vs San Diego State Aztecs L 67 - 69
2008-03-23 vs Boise State Broncos W 85 - 56
2008-03-26 @ Texas Tech Lady Raiders W 81 - 74
2008-03-30 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 90 - 96

2008 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
H. Roden H. Roden NA 3 0.0 13.7 6.7 2.7 1.3 0.0 0.0 11.3 13.0 - - - - 38.2 35.7 90.9 - 52.8 45.6
Mayo, Jackson Mayo, Jackson - 17 0.0 12.1 3.4 2.9 2.4 0.0 0.0 12.1 8.6 - - - - 37.9 32.6 77.3 - 45.5 41.5
D. Nunn D. Nunn G 1 0.0 12.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 13.0 - - - - 60.0 0 66.7 - 67.0 60.0
H. Sverrisdottir H. Sverrisdottir G 13 0.0 11.5 6.2 2.8 0.9 0.0 0.0 9.1 12.3 - - - - 47.5 36.4 58.3 - 55.7 54.2
L. Butler-Rayford L. Butler-Rayford NA 17 0.0 11.0 6.6 1.8 1.6 0.0 0.0 9.4 11.6 - - - - 42.8 32.7 67.3 - 51.4 47.8
H. Sverrisdottier H. Sverrisdottier NA 3 0.0 8.3 6.7 3.7 2.3 0.0 0.0 8.7 12.3 - - - - 34.6 40.0 71.4 - 43.0 38.5
E. Carter E. Carter F 2 0.0 7.0 5.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.5 8.0 - - - - 36.4 14.3 71.4 - 49.7 40.9
M. Knight M. Knight NA 17 0.0 6.1 2.4 3.4 1.8 0.0 0.0 4.9 8.8 - - - - 44.6 42.3 76.0 - 55.3 51.2
M. Garoutte M. Garoutte C 8 0.0 5.9 3.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.8 4.9 - - - - 52.6 0 53.8 - 53.8 52.6
M. Younger M. Younger C 5 0.0 5.8 4.0 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 5.2 5.4 - - - - 42.3 0 58.3 - 46.4 42.3
J. Lohse J. Lohse NA 4 0.0 5.5 4.5 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.8 - - - - 50.0 0 46.2 - 50.6 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG