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TCU

Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs, TCU
Program History

2019 Team Stats (16 games)

73.0
PPG
72.1
Opp
+0.9
Margin
45.4%
FG%
36.9%
3P%
66.9%
FT%
36.3
RPG
15.9
APG
14.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
76.7
Adj PPG
65.7
Adj Opp PPG
#43
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1184 (#49) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 1037 (#117) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +12.1 (#42) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +11.2 (#39) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.663 (#76) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.0 More โ†’ 0.889 (#42) AdjNet +18.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.2 More โ†’ 0.891 (#42) AdjNet +18.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 65.7 More โ†’ 0.731 (#43) AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 65.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 66.8 More โ†’ 0.626 (#53) AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 66.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.768 (#41) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.750 (#46) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 87 | GP 37 More โ†’ 1205 (#47) RD 87 | GP 37

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-07 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 66 - 61
2018-11-11 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 79 - 62
2018-11-15 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 77 - 69
2018-11-20 vs Lipscomb Bisons L 64 - 73
2018-11-26 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 87 - 69
2018-11-30 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 89 - 62
2018-12-05 @ SMU Mustangs W 67 - 59
2018-12-07 @ USC Trojans W 96 - 61
2018-12-16 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 90 - 70
2018-12-22 vs Charlotte 49ers W 82 - 57
2018-12-23 vs Bucknell Bison W 82 - 65
2018-12-25 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 83 - 69
2018-12-28 @ Hawaiสปi Pacific Sea Warriors - Preview
2019-01-05 vs Baylor Bears W 85 - 81
2019-01-09 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 68 - 77
2019-01-12 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 74 - 76
2019-01-15 vs West Virginia Mountaineers W 98 - 67
2019-01-19 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 55 - 65
2019-01-23 vs Texas Longhorns W 65 - 61
2019-01-26 vs Florida Gators W 55 - 50
2019-01-28 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 65 - 84
2019-02-02 @ Baylor Bears L 64 - 90
2019-02-06 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 70 - 68
2019-02-09 @ Iowa State Cyclones W 92 - 83
2019-02-11 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 77 - 82
2019-02-16 vs Oklahoma Sooners L 62 - 71
2019-02-18 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys L 61 - 68
2019-02-23 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 75 - 72
2019-02-26 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 96 - 104
2019-03-02 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders L 66 - 81
2019-03-04 vs Kansas State Wildcats L 52 - 64
2019-03-09 @ Texas Longhorns W 69 - 56
2019-03-13 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 73 - 70
2019-03-14 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 61 - 70
2019-03-20 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 82 - 69
2019-03-24 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 88 - 72
2019-03-26 vs Creighton Bluejays W 71 - 58
2019-04-02 vs Texas Longhorns L 44 - 58

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Desmond Bane Desmond Bane - 37 35.5 15.2 5.7 2.4 1.1 0.5 1.3 5.9 17.8 161 34 4.7 6.1 50.7 48.1 83.3 3.82 119.5 59.7
Kouat Noi Kouat Noi F 31 30.2 13.9 4.9 1.2 1.2 0.3 1.5 5.9 14.1 105 27 3.9 6.0 38.3 34.8 78.6 3.6 107.2 49.2
Alex Robinson Alex Robinson G 37 34.8 12.5 3.9 6.9 1.4 0.3 3.5 6.1 15.4 118 34 3.5 4.6 42.3 38.2 66.7 1.86 89.7 48.7
Jaylen Fisher Jaylen Fisher G 9 24.1 12.1 2.4 2.7 1.0 0.2 0.7 2.7 15.1 109 9 12.1 20.8 37.5 40.0 100.0 1.38 219.1 50.0
JD Miller JD Miller F 37 30.7 10.8 6.6 1.7 0.7 0.5 1.3 4.2 14.8 99 33 3.0 4.4 46.8 29.6 63.1 1.6 104.7 51.9
Kevin Samuel Kevin Samuel C 37 24.5 7.4 6.9 0.6 0.6 2.1 1.4 2.9 13.3 95 34 2.8 5.2 72.6 0.0 43.2 0.59 109.3 72.6
Kendric Davis Kendric Davis G 37 17.1 6.3 1.7 2.0 0.9 0.0 1.6 2.8 6.5 -14 33 -0.4 -1.2 45.6 29.0 69.6 -2.21 91.3 50.0
RJ Nembhard RJ Nembhard - 36 17.2 4.4 2.1 0.9 0.5 0.4 1.2 2.3 4.8 -28 33 -0.8 -2.2 32.5 26.8 56.2 -2.91 81.9 39.2
Yuat Alok Yuat Alok F 10 13.1 3.3 2.5 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.8 3.1 20 10 2.0 6.5 33.3 0 75.0 -0.03 76.7 33.3
Lat Mayen Lat Mayen F 17 7.9 2.1 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.9 2.5 -20 15 -1.3 -9.1 46.7 33.3 100.0 -2.89 107.4 56.7
Kaden Archie Kaden Archie G 10 10.1 2.1 1.5 0.0 1.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 3.1 26 9 2.9 11.2 16.7 0.0 62.5 -0.35 67.7 16.7
Owen Aschieris Owen Aschieris G 8 2.4 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.4 -13 10 -1.3 -41.5 0 0 0 -2.98 0 0
Russell Barlow Russell Barlow C 8 6.5 0.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 -16 7 -2.3 -13.8 25.0 0.0 0 -1.22 25.0 25.0
Angus McWilliam Angus McWilliam F 2 3.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.37 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG