🐻⬇️🏀

TCNJ

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: TCNJ
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1106 (#68) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1095 (#105) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +6.6 (#118) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.880 (#256) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +18.5 More → 0.910 (#72) NetEff +18.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.6 More → 0.811 (#264) AdjNet +12.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.1 More → 0.807 (#269) AdjNet +12.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 61.0 More → 0.661 (#269) AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 61.0

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-12 vs John Jay W 92 - 59
2024-11-16 vs Framingham St. W 91 - 53
2024-11-17 @ Williams L 49 - 55
2024-11-23 @ Stevens L 64 - 72
2024-11-26 @ Wm. Paterson W 50 - 48
2024-12-04 vs Stockton W 68 - 52
2024-12-07 @ Kean W 74 - 56
2024-12-11 vs Rutgers-Camden W 71 - 45
2024-12-14 @ Ramapo W 80 - 32
2024-12-18 @ Chapman W 78 - 61
2024-12-20 @ Cal Lutheran L 45 - 77
2025-01-02 vs Swarthmore W 48 - 38
2025-01-08 vs Rowan W 58 - 46
2025-01-11 @ Rutgers-Newark W 82 - 50
2025-01-15 vs Montclair St. L 61 - 62
2025-01-18 @ New Jersey City L 46 - 60
2025-01-22 vs Wm. Paterson W 69 - 54
2025-01-25 vs Kean W 75 - 62
2025-01-29 @ Stockton W 70 - 58
2025-02-01 vs Ramapo W 76 - 43
2025-02-05 @ Rutgers-Camden W 61 - 50
2025-02-08 vs Rutgers-Newark W 86 - 45
2025-02-12 @ Rowan W 69 - 53
2025-02-15 vs New Jersey City W 56 - 55
2025-02-19 @ Montclair St. W 72 - 63
2025-02-26 vs Kean W 79 - 56
2025-03-01 vs Montclair St. L 63 - 72

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Arianna Mccleod - 3 31.0 15.0 6.0 1.3 1.0 0.0 0.7 12.7 10.0 44 1.8 2.0 39.5 50.0 71.4 0.38 54.8 52.6
Nina Branchizio - 27 34.6 12.7 2.2 2.5 1.4 0.1 1.6 10.7 6.7 72 2.9 2.7 38.3 37.2 81.4 0.66 55.5 53.1
Grace Kowalski - 27 30.7 12.4 3.4 3.1 2.2 0.0 2.3 10.7 8.2 52 1.5 1.5 43.8 36.4 80.4 0.61 53.7 50.5
Katie Fricker - 27 26.7 10.3 6.1 1.8 1.1 0.1 1.6 8.5 9.4 38 1.1 1.1 38.9 28.0 86.9 0.34 52.1 44.5
Olivia Vero - 1 21.0 9.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 6.0 10.0 153 5.3 5.1 66.7 0 50.0 0.94 65.4 66.7
Myah Hourigan-hutton - 3 26.7 6.3 4.3 2.3 1.3 0.0 1.0 5.0 8.3 11 0.3 0.4 40.0 0.0 58.3 -0.17 46.8 40.0
Sophie Beneventine - 1 15.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 4.0 5.0 7.0 102 3.8 4.1 60.0 0.0 0 0.49 60.0 60.0
Jaclyn Feit - 16 14.4 5.6 4.1 0.2 0.5 1.9 1.4 5.3 5.6 16 1.5 2.4 40.0 0.0 81.5 0.34 46.4 40.0
Alexis Strollo - 1 18.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 4.0 142 3.6 4.2 40.0 0.0 50.0 0.18 42.5 40.0
Amanda Baylock - 24 16.0 4.8 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.9 4.5 3.5 -69 -2.2 -3.3 36.7 33.3 71.4 -0.39 49.1 46.3
Cassidy Brown - 24 10.6 3.1 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.9 2.1 18 0.6 1.6 43.5 48.4 73.1 0.78 64.4 59.8
Isabella Orlando - 1 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 63 1.7 6.0 33.3 33.3 0 -0.28 50.0 50.0
Brooke Mcfadden - 3 10.3 2.0 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 2.7 1.0 -58 -1.7 -3.1 25.0 0.0 100.0 -0.53 33.8 25.0
Brianna Montajes - 1 10.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 73 2.6 4.6 25.0 0 0 0.48 25.0 25.0
Madison Marcotte - 1 19.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 101 2.7 4.5 50.0 0.0 0 0.37 50.0 50.0
Maddie Bernhardt - 27 4.0 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.7 0.7 -54 -1.9 -6.6 37.8 30.0 25.0 -0.2 47.0 47.8
Tireya Wyatt - 24 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.1 19 1.4 8.9 33.3 42.9 40.0 0.12 42.4 41.7
Olivia Magee - 23 1.9 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 -45 -2.5 -11.4 12.5 0 50.0 -0.2 16.9 12.5
Molly Aromando - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Samantha Phillip - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 147 6.1 13.5 0 0 0 1.27 0 0
Kristina Turner - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 39 3.2 24.7 0 0 0 0.31 0 0
Daja Wentz - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Shannon Hughes - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 133 3.4 5.1 0.0 0.0 0 0.3 0.0 0.0
Malvina Sullivan - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 48 2.3 12.0 0 0 0 -0.09 0 0
Amanda Castro - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 11 0.4 1.1 0.0 0.0 0 -0.13 0.0 0.0
Victoria Grygus - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Salange Bell - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Alyssa Craigwell - 1 14.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 7.0 -4.0 184 4.8 6.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.08 0.0 0.0
Lyndsey Ross - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 42 2.0 10.9 0 0 0 0.42 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG