Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1106 (#68) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1058 (#227) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1114 (#79) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.0 (#126) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +10.6 (#205) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.880 (#256) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.761 (#246) | NetEff +9.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.811 (#264) | AdjNet +12.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.807 (#269) | AdjNet +12.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.661 (#269) | AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 61.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.763 (#81) | AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 57.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.744 (#172) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.759 (#156) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1111 (#143) | RD 102 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Arcadia | L | 75 - 87 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Trinity (CT) | L | 73 - 79 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Rhode Island Col. | L | 70 - 82 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Chris. Newport | L | 59 - 85 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Stevens | L | 74 - 76 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Wm. Paterson | L | 54 - 64 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Stockton | W | 69 - 43 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Rutgers-Camden | L | 53 - 54 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Ramapo | W | 63 - 36 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | St. John Fisher | W | 61 - 53 |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Smith | L | 61 - 85 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Rutgers-Newark | W | 82 - 62 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Montclair St. | W | 84 - 51 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | New Jersey City | W | 95 - 55 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Wm. Paterson | L | 47 - 61 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Kean | W | 76 - 37 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Stockton | W | 75 - 59 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Ramapo | W | 83 - 47 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Rutgers-Camden | W | 81 - 61 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Rutgers-Newark | W | 95 - 48 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Baylock | - | 20 | 28.8 | 13.1 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 13.4 | 4.9 | 102 | 4.9 | 22.4 | 34.9 | 32.1 | 80.0 | 5.37 | 46.4 | 44.2 |
| Katie Fricker | - | 20 | 31.3 | 12.4 | 6.7 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 10.5 | 11.2 | 101 | 4.8 | 23.5 | 36.7 | 27.8 | 83.1 | 3.25 | 50.8 | 43.8 |
| Maddie Bernhardt | - | 20 | 19.3 | 9.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 8.2 | 4.4 | 78 | 3.7 | 25.9 | 43.3 | 39.8 | 61.1 | 1.22 | 57.0 | 56.4 |
| Brooke McFadden | - | 20 | 24.5 | 8.8 | 8.9 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 8.2 | 11.8 | 94 | 4.5 | 28.1 | 42.1 | 35.6 | 56.7 | 0.84 | 49.7 | 48.5 |
| Riley Ahrens | - | 11 | 15.8 | 7.8 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 5.6 | 5.9 | 63 | 5.2 | 33.8 | 48.4 | 39.1 | 100.0 | 3.03 | 61.9 | 55.6 |
| Grace Kowalski | - | 19 | 24.1 | 7.6 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 7.9 | 5.8 | 49 | 2.5 | 12.8 | 38.0 | 31.0 | 50.0 | 0.6 | 45.9 | 45.3 |
| Cassidy Brown | - | 17 | 16.9 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 89 | 4.9 | 60.6 | 31.5 | 36.2 | 46.2 | 2.35 | 43.8 | 43.3 |
| Izzy Augustine | - | 17 | 12.2 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 39 | 2.1 | 20.0 | 43.8 | 30.6 | 47.6 | -0.3 | 52.6 | 52.3 |
| Olivia Voshell | - | 6 | 10.6 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 3.8 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 0 | 77.8 | - | 61.5 | 55.6 |
| Myah Hourigan-Hutton | - | 20 | 26.5 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 6.2 | 49 | 2.3 | 13.1 | 35.5 | 0.0 | 61.2 | 1.62 | 44.3 | 35.5 |
| Reghan Bice | - | 9 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 36 | 3.6 | 67.7 | 61.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.59 | 82.9 | 80.8 |
| Olivia Magee | - | 17 | 8.7 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 23 | 1.3 | 18.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.23 | 50.9 | 50.0 |
| Meaghan Weatherstone | - | 2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG