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TCNJ

Also known as: TCNJ
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1050 (#127) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1046 (#194) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +6.2 (#51) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.766 (#309) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.8 More → 0.789 (#134) NetEff +11.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.5 More → 0.703 (#274) AdjNet +7.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.1 More → 0.697 (#273) AdjNet +7.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 72.8 More → 0.614 (#276) AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 72.8

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Centenary (NJ) W 92 - 62
2024-11-09 @ Drew W 103 - 102
2024-11-15 vs Baruch W 86 - 84
2024-11-16 vs Connecticut Col. W 82 - 65
2024-11-23 @ Ursinus W 97 - 71
2024-11-26 @ Wm. Paterson W 95 - 55
2024-12-04 vs Stockton L 99 - 105
2024-12-07 @ Kean L 77 - 82
2024-12-11 vs Rutgers-Camden W 76 - 62
2024-12-14 @ Ramapo L 76 - 88
2024-12-18 @ Merchant Marine W 84 - 52
2025-01-04 vs DeSales W 86 - 68
2025-01-08 vs Rowan W 100 - 75
2025-01-11 @ Rutgers-Newark W 74 - 61
2025-01-15 vs Montclair St. L 71 - 78
2025-01-18 @ New Jersey City W 74 - 72
2025-01-22 vs Wm. Paterson W 93 - 76
2025-01-25 vs Kean W 84 - 76
2025-01-29 @ Stockton L 57 - 85
2025-02-01 vs Ramapo W 73 - 67
2025-02-05 @ Rutgers-Camden W 63 - 38
2025-02-08 vs Rutgers-Newark W 73 - 58
2025-02-12 @ Rowan W 77 - 72
2025-02-15 vs New Jersey City W 87 - 72
2025-02-19 @ Montclair St. L 70 - 84
2025-02-22 @ Kean W 83 - 80
2025-02-25 @ Montclair St. L 62 - 80
2025-03-07 vs Pitt.-Bradford L 96 - 98

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Pat Higgins - 1 38.0 24.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 22.0 9.0 -67 -8.4 -17.4 27.3 12.5 73.3 0.86 42.0 29.5
Nick Koch - 25 31.4 22.1 3.7 4.5 1.2 0.1 3.4 16.0 12.1 -67 -3.7 -8.3 49.6 33.7 78.3 0.45 58.7 53.5
Peso Crump - 1 32.0 19.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 13.0 51 4.2 11.0 63.6 71.4 0 1.72 86.4 86.4
Patrick Washington - 1 33.0 19.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 15.0 13.0 -1 -1.0 -28.9 46.7 0.0 83.3 -1.35 53.9 46.7
Matthew Okorie - 27 29.7 12.7 6.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 1.7 9.4 10.3 -14 -0.9 -1.6 49.0 28.6 76.3 1.85 58.3 53.8
Kevin Cronin - 1 23.0 12.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 10.0 -48 -3.4 -15.5 22.2 0.0 66.7 0.37 42.0 22.2
Matthew Solomon - 27 29.5 11.8 9.9 2.8 0.9 0.6 2.2 8.9 14.9 -39 -2.1 -5.0 52.5 33.9 62.3 1.89 58.2 56.5
David Alexandre - 27 25.9 10.6 3.4 3.3 1.3 0.3 2.1 8.7 7.9 -28 -1.4 -3.3 44.7 36.7 70.9 -0.14 55.0 52.3
Jack Vreeswyk - 23 21.7 9.2 2.9 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.7 7.3 5.3 -17 -2.1 -5.3 41.1 33.1 75.0 -0.04 57.1 54.2
Jonathan Okocha - 25 22.9 8.3 3.4 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.8 7.3 5.5 -45 -2.5 -6.5 34.4 32.9 73.8 0.47 51.4 48.1
Josh Kline - 1 25.0 8.0 6.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 13.0 63 5.2 11.0 66.7 0.0 0 1.61 66.7 66.7
Devon Musial - 1 15.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 6.0 -20 -1.5 -15.9 66.7 66.7 100.0 0.11 103.1 100.0
Anthony Milligan - 27 12.2 3.1 2.7 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.3 3.7 2.4 33 2.8 14.4 31.7 23.2 60.0 0.5 40.2 39.6
James Anderson - 1 9.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 42 4.7 21.3 50.0 50.0 0 0.32 75.0 75.0
Will Bradley - 1 14.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 4 4.0 76.8 100.0 0 0 -1.17 100.0 100.0
Khalid Bakare - 27 12.2 1.7 3.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.7 3.9 16 2.3 6.9 43.5 14.3 80.0 0.32 46.7 44.6
Jordan Robinson - 26 2.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.2 -26 -2.9 -98.4 27.8 20.0 50.0 -0.56 36.5 30.6
Shaun Johnson - 21 2.0 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 1 0.5 17.6 45.5 40.0 0 -1.15 54.5 54.5
Daniel Yarus - 27 4.3 0.6 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 1.0 29 2.9 47.2 26.1 23.5 50.0 -0.15 35.6 34.8
Thomas Menyhert - 27 1.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 2 0.7 7.9 71.4 0 40.0 -0.57 65.2 71.4
Nick Seeloch - 26 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 125.0 125.0
Connor Howard - 23 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 -0.0 - - - 33.3 20.0 0 - 41.7 41.7
Andrew Kaminski - 27 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 - - - 16.7 25.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Chris Santner - 25 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Leo Hinshillwood - 26 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jaydis McFadden - 26 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Terrance Wood - 25 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Reid Chauhan - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -0.5 -80.0 0 0 0 -1.47 0 0
Rocco Checchetto - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -1.0 -30.4 0 0 0 -1.37 0 0
Kevin Cotton - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3 1.5 57.6 0 0 0 -1.17 0 0
Andre De Los Reyes - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Marc Herasme - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3 1.5 50.7 0 0 0 -1.12 0 0
Eli Yusavage - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 44 2.6 11.2 0 0 0 0.9 0 0
Mateo Duran - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -18 -3.6 -520.5 0 0 0 -1.35 0 0
Benjamin Manns - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 44 5.5 880.0 0 0 0 -1.18 0 0
Ben Kipnis - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 32 3.6 224.6 0 0 0 -0.79 0 0
Aidan Lazenby - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -1.0 -28.9 0 0 0 -1.35 0 0
David Musial - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17 0.9 3.0 0 0 0 1.28 0 0
Conor Shiflett - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -1.47 0 0
Malcolm Newman - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10 0.8 1.6 0 0 0 1.62 0 0
Anthony Tancredi - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2 -2.0 -60.8 0 0 0 -1.37 0 0
Matthew Zenker - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 19 1.7 7.8 0 0 0 0.39 0 0
Tully Campbell - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3 -0.6 -86.7 0 0 0 -1.35 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG