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TCNJ

Also known as: TCNJ
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1050 (#127) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1046 (#194) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More โ†’ +6.2 (#51) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.766 (#309) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.8 More โ†’ 0.789 (#134) NetEff +11.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.5 More โ†’ 0.703 (#274) AdjNet +7.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.1 More โ†’ 0.697 (#273) AdjNet +7.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 72.8 More โ†’ 0.614 (#276) AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 72.8

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Centenary (NJ) W 92 - 62
2024-11-09 @ Drew W 103 - 102
2024-11-15 vs Baruch W 86 - 84
2024-11-16 vs Connecticut Col. W 82 - 65
2024-11-23 @ Ursinus W 97 - 71
2024-11-26 @ Wm. Paterson W 95 - 55
2024-12-04 vs Stockton L 99 - 105
2024-12-07 @ Kean L 77 - 82
2024-12-11 vs Rutgers-Camden W 76 - 62
2024-12-14 @ Ramapo L 76 - 88
2024-12-18 @ Merchant Marine W 84 - 52
2025-01-04 vs DeSales W 86 - 68
2025-01-08 vs Rowan W 100 - 75
2025-01-11 @ Rutgers-Newark W 74 - 61
2025-01-15 vs Montclair St. L 71 - 78
2025-01-18 @ New Jersey City W 74 - 72
2025-01-22 vs Wm. Paterson W 93 - 76
2025-01-25 vs Kean W 84 - 76
2025-01-29 @ Stockton L 57 - 85
2025-02-01 vs Ramapo W 73 - 67
2025-02-05 @ Rutgers-Camden W 63 - 38
2025-02-08 vs Rutgers-Newark W 73 - 58
2025-02-12 @ Rowan W 77 - 72
2025-02-15 vs New Jersey City W 87 - 72
2025-02-19 @ Montclair St. L 70 - 84
2025-02-22 @ Kean - Incomplete score
2025-02-25 @ Montclair St. L 62 - 80
2025-03-07 vs Pitt.-Bradford L 96 - 98

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nick Koch - 26 31.4 22.0 3.8 4.5 1.2 0.1 3.4 16.0 12.1 - - - - 49.5 33.3 78.5 - 58.5 53.2
Matthew Okorie - 28 28.6 12.2 6.0 1.4 0.8 0.3 1.7 9.0 10.0 - - - - 49.0 28.6 76.3 - 58.3 53.8
Matthew Solomon - 28 29.4 11.7 9.8 2.8 1.0 0.6 2.2 8.8 14.8 - - - - 52.8 32.8 62.3 - 58.4 56.7
David Alexandre - 28 25.8 10.6 3.5 3.2 1.2 0.2 2.1 8.7 8.0 - - - - 43.9 36.0 70.1 - 54.3 51.2
Jack Vreeswyk - 24 21.4 9.2 2.9 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.8 7.1 5.3 - - - - 41.5 33.8 76.2 - 58.1 55.0
Jonathan Okocha - 26 23.2 8.7 3.5 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.9 7.5 5.8 - - - - 36.1 34.6 73.8 - 53.2 50.3
Anthony Milligan - 28 11.8 3.0 2.6 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.3 3.6 2.4 - - - - 31.7 23.2 60.0 - 40.2 39.6
Khalid Bakare - 28 12.3 1.7 3.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.4 1.7 3.9 - - - - 44.7 14.3 80.0 - 47.8 45.7
Jordan Robinson - 27 2.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.1 - - - - 27.8 20.0 50.0 - 36.5 30.6
Daniel Yarus - 28 4.1 0.6 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.0 - - - - 26.1 23.5 50.0 - 35.6 34.8
Shaun Johnson - 22 2.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 - - - - 45.5 40.0 0 - 54.5 54.5
Nick Seeloch - 27 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 125.0 125.0
Thomas Menyhert - 28 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 - - - - 71.4 0 40.0 - 65.2 71.4
Connor Howard - 24 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 - - - - 33.3 20.0 0 - 41.7 41.7
Andrew Kaminski - 28 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 - - - - 16.7 25.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Chris Santner - 26 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 - - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Jaydis McFadden - 27 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Terrance Wood - 26 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Leo Hinshillwood - 27 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG