Syracuse
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe. |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1625 (#14) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +38.5 (#22) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.648 (#35) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.380 (#6) | NetEff -4.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.856 (#18) | AdjNet +15.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.857 (#18) | AdjNet +15.5 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-26 | vs | Charlotte | L | 92 - 96 |
| 2003-11-30 | vs | Rhode Island | W | 69 - 65 |
| 2003-12-03 | N | St. Bonaventure | W | 87 - 78 |
| 2003-12-13 | vs | Binghamton | W | 75 - 54 |
| 2003-12-17 | vs | Manhattan | W | 69 - 63 |
| 2003-12-20 | vs | Siena | W | 74 - 61 |
| 2003-12-22 | vs | Colgate | W | 101 - 63 |
| 2003-12-28 | vs | UNC Asheville | W | 81 - 63 |
| 2003-12-30 | vs | Canisius | W | 87 - 70 |
| 2004-01-03 | vs | Michigan State | W | 96 - 83 |
| 2004-01-07 | vs | St. John's (NY) | W | 65 - 59 |
| 2004-01-10 | vs | Boston College | W | 96 - 73 |
| 2004-01-12 | @ | Missouri | W | 82 - 68 |
| 2004-01-17 | @ | Notre Dame | W | 81 - 70 |
| 2004-01-20 | @ | Seton Hall | L | 67 - 74 |
| 2004-01-24 | vs | Pittsburgh | L | 45 - 66 |
| 2004-01-31 | vs | Virginia Tech | W | 76 - 64 |
| 2004-02-02 | @ | Connecticut | L | 56 - 84 |
| 2004-02-07 | @ | Providence | L | 61 - 74 |
| 2004-02-10 | vs | Rutgers | W | 63 - 61 |
| 2004-02-14 | @ | Miami (FL) | W | 91 - 74 |
| 2004-02-16 | vs | Notre Dame | L | 72 - 84 |
| 2004-02-21 | @ | Georgetown | W | 57 - 54 |
| 2004-02-23 | vs | Villanova | W | 64 - 59 |
| 2004-02-29 | @ | Pittsburgh | W | 49 - 46 |
| 2004-03-02 | @ | West Virginia | W | 65 - 52 |
| 2004-03-07 | vs | Connecticut | W | 67 - 56 |
| 2004-03-11 | N | Boston College | L | 54 - 57 |
| 2004-03-18 | N | Brigham Young | W | 80 - 75 |
| 2004-03-20 | N | Maryland | W | 72 - 70 |
| 2004-03-25 | N | Alabama | L | 71 - 80 |
2004 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hakim Warrick | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Gerry McNamara | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Josh Pace | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Billy Edelin | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Craig Forth | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Louie McCroskey | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Demetris Nichols | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Jeremy McNeil | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Terrence Roberts | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Darryl Watkins | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Ronneil Herron | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Matt Gorman | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Andrew Kouwe | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Josh Brooks | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Ross DiLiegro | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG