Swarthmore
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 925 (#399) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 903 (#382) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.3 (#116) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.592 (#406) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.646 (#210) | NetEff +5.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.571 (#330) | AdjNet +2.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.564 (#329) | AdjNet +2.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.534 (#329) | AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 70.4 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Hampden-Sydney | L | 64 - 81 |
| 2024-11-12 | @ | Albright | L | 59 - 64 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Penn St. Harrisburg | W | 82 - 65 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Stockton | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Rutgers-Camden | W | 65 - 53 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Widener | W | 81 - 76 |
| 2024-12-03 | @ | Misericordia | L | 69 - 81 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Johns Hopkins | W | 89 - 87 |
| 2024-12-12 | vs | Farmingdale St. | W | 66 - 64 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Cairn | W | 89 - 69 |
| 2025-01-03 | @ | Pomona-Pitzer | L | 61 - 74 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Claremont-M-S | W | 60 - 51 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Dickinson | L | 62 - 64 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Muhlenberg | W | 89 - 65 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | McDaniel | W | 66 - 54 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Washington Col. | W | 67 - 28 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Gettysburg | L | 62 - 69 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Ursinus | W | 78 - 71 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Muhlenberg | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Haverford | W | 79 - 68 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Franklin & Marshall | L | 48 - 80 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Washington Col. | W | 72 - 47 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Ursinus | L | 73 - 75 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Johns Hopkins | W | 81 - 72 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Haverford | W | 103 - 97 |
| 2025-02-25 | @ | Ursinus | L | 67 - 89 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zander Jimenez | - | 25 | 21.5 | 12.7 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 9.8 | 9.3 | -87 | -5.4 | -11.5 | 42.3 | 36.2 | 83.0 | -0.22 | 54.2 | 46.5 |
| Eddie Paquette | - | 24 | 25.0 | 12.4 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 9.3 | 10.5 | -55 | -2.6 | -7.4 | 38.4 | 33.8 | 81.1 | 1.06 | 53.5 | 44.2 |
| Devin Burger | - | 24 | 21.7 | 9.6 | 5.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 8.1 | 7.8 | -87 | -6.7 | -19.1 | 41.2 | 34.6 | 51.5 | -0.44 | 51.6 | 50.5 |
| Cal Hanson | - | 26 | 23.2 | 8.5 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.7 | 4.4 | -24 | -1.2 | -3.5 | 42.8 | 33.1 | 61.1 | 1.17 | 53.1 | 52.5 |
| Brady Kageyama | - | 26 | 22.2 | 7.7 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 7.0 | 4.3 | -24 | -1.5 | -5.1 | 36.1 | 35.2 | 80.0 | 0.85 | 49.1 | 44.5 |
| Nyle Coleman | - | 24 | 19.9 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.5 | 1.7 | -73 | -3.6 | -11.2 | 32.9 | 19.6 | 63.3 | 0.09 | 40.5 | 36.1 |
| Caleb Aurelien | - | 25 | 23.4 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 4.4 | 8.1 | -45 | -2.1 | -5.3 | 42.3 | 30.2 | 80.4 | 1.48 | 54.9 | 48.2 |
| Aidan Godfrey | - | 23 | 13.9 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 29.3 | 22.7 | 41.7 | 0.82 | 36.1 | 35.4 |
| Matt Mulvey | - | 26 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 41.1 | 32.4 | 85.7 | 0.23 | 55.5 | 50.9 |
| Jonathan Stump | - | 26 | 8.6 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 1.9 | -18 | -1.2 | -8.9 | 43.5 | 26.1 | 55.6 | 0.52 | 49.3 | 48.4 |
| Ryan Chu | - | 26 | 6.3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | -47 | -5.2 | -92.9 | 34.1 | 22.2 | 71.4 | -0.36 | 44.2 | 41.5 |
| Jack Guevara | - | 16 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | -4 | -0.8 | -110.3 | 31.6 | 30.8 | 100.0 | -1.29 | 48.2 | 42.1 |
| Quaye Agoyo | - | 25 | 5.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | -28 | -3.1 | -49.1 | 25.0 | 23.5 | 0 | -0.36 | 35.0 | 35.0 |
| Isaiah Luckie | - | 25 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 7 | 1.0 | 54.2 | 42.9 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.81 | 48.1 | 42.9 |
| Quran Duncanson | - | 25 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -3 | -1.5 | -32.3 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.97 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kobi Gyan Jr. | - | 25 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 11 | 3.7 | 85.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.81 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Isaac Wright-Muller | - | 24 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -1 | -0.5 | -27.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.33 | 36.2 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG