Sul Ross St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 860 (#397) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 878 (#467) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 868 (#556) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.0 (#254) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.0 (#452) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.178 (#499) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.013 (#286) | NetEff -38.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.255 (#520) | AdjNet -9.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.261 (#517) | AdjNet -8.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.353 (#512) | AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 77.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.299 (#544) | AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 73.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.265 (#499) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.263 (#504) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 804 (#447) | RD 107 | GP 19 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Black Hills St. | L | 54 - 86 |
| 2025-11-17 | @ | MSU Denver | L | 103 - 113 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Angelo St. | W | 60 - 47 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | UT Permian Basin | W | 67 - 61 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | St. Mary's (TX) | L | 44 - 85 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | St. Edward's | L | 52 - 66 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | St. Mary's (TX) | L | 68 - 84 |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Texas-Dallas | L | 80 - 91 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Eastern N.M. | L | 66 - 96 |
| 2026-01-04 | vs | West Tex. A&M | L | 79 - 86 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | DBU | L | 63 - 90 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | UT Tyler | L | 69 - 87 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Okla. Christian | L | 59 - 80 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Cameron | W | 72 - 71 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | Western N.M. | L | 51 - 69 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Tex. A&M Int'l | W | 66 - 41 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Tex. A&M-Kingsville | L | 64 - 70 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | UT Permian Basin | L | 63 - 81 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Angelo St. | L | 51 - 69 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Thoele | - | 3 | 28.2 | 15.7 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 10.7 | 12.3 | 9 | 3.0 | 7.4 | 43.8 | 22.2 | 83.3 | -0.07 | 58.9 | 50.0 |
| Tsimur Mikhailau | - | 19 | 28.1 | 10.8 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 9.2 | 4.9 | -113 | -6.3 | -42.7 | 37.9 | 30.3 | 79.4 | 0.1 | 50.8 | 44.5 |
| Antwonne Holmes | - | 18 | 27.0 | 10.2 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 8.2 | 7.9 | -31 | -1.7 | -10.7 | 36.5 | 29.4 | 78.2 | -0.58 | 50.5 | 41.6 |
| Keagan Moncrief | - | 17 | 19.8 | 8.4 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 7.9 | 3.6 | -113 | -6.6 | -96.4 | 43.3 | 26.2 | 60.0 | -0.83 | 49.0 | 47.4 |
| Julien Barclay | - | 19 | 31.4 | 8.2 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 7.3 | 5.8 | -105 | -5.5 | -46.2 | 38.1 | 32.0 | 58.9 | 0.57 | 47.4 | 43.9 |
| Sterling White | - | 1 | 21.8 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 132 | 6.0 | 59.3 | 36.4 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.28 | 35.0 | 36.4 |
| Manny Flores | - | 12 | 21.4 | 6.7 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 6.3 | 3.1 | -87 | -7.2 | -197.9 | 36.8 | 47.2 | 77.8 | 0.7 | 50.0 | 48.0 |
| Camren Roper | - | 19 | 28.5 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 0.1 | 3.6 | 5.8 | 10.5 | -133 | -7.0 | -46.3 | 41.4 | 26.3 | 59.6 | 0.74 | 47.5 | 43.7 |
| Chianti Clay | - | 15 | 10.3 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3.9 | 2.2 | -48 | -3.2 | -128.6 | 37.3 | 36.7 | 90.0 | -0.24 | 56.0 | 52.5 |
| Christian Nevarez | - | 18 | 18.4 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.3 | 3.3 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 37.0 | 72.7 | - | 51.3 | 49.4 |
| Kevon Zilaee | - | 12 | 11.0 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 4.2 | -42 | -3.2 | -78.1 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 69.2 | 0.36 | 60.3 | 53.3 |
| Ernests Locmelis | - | 17 | 10.5 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 0.5 | -7 | -0.4 | -6.9 | 30.4 | 27.9 | 57.1 | -1.56 | 42.3 | 41.1 |
| Stipano Yosia | - | 8 | 12.8 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | -1 | -0.3 | -0.9 | 27.8 | 18.2 | 83.3 | -0.78 | 47.3 | 33.3 |
| Donato Joseph | - | 4 | 9.7 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 1.5 | 6.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.16 | 45.1 | 33.3 |
| Isaiah Olayinka | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG