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Stony Brook

Also known as: Stony Brook Seawolves
Program History

2012 Team Stats (1 games)

37.0
PPG
84.0
Opp
-47.0
Margin
21.3%
FG%
8.3%
3P%
71.4%
FT%
25.0
RPG
8.0
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
42.1
Adj PPG
56.8
Adj Opp PPG
#318
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 612 (#334) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 679 (#331) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +78 elo More โ†’ 813 (#338) HCA +78 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -15.6 (#316) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ -17.5 (#328) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.053 (#330) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -29.6 More โ†’ 0.031 (#329) AdjNet -29.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -30.0 More โ†’ 0.030 (#328) AdjNet -30.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 42.1 | AdjD 56.8 More โ†’ 0.208 (#318) AdjO 42.1 | AdjD 56.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 44.8 | AdjD 57.5 More โ†’ 0.239 (#329) AdjO 44.8 | AdjD 57.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.113 (#329) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.116 (#332) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 160 | GP 30 More โ†’ 702 (#330) RD 160 | GP 30

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 @ Fairfield Stags L 34 - 42
2011-11-18 @ Iona Gaels L 48 - 52
2011-11-21 vs George Mason Patriots L 50 - 54
2011-11-23 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 42 - 40
2011-11-25 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 37 - 84
2011-11-30 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers L 33 - 55
2011-12-06 @ Rider Broncs L 41 - 53
2011-12-08 vs LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds L 59 - 66
2011-12-11 vs Fordham Rams L 37 - 41
2011-12-14 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 48 - 51
2011-12-17 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 30 - 65
2011-12-21 vs Morgan State Lady Bears W 65 - 48
2011-12-27 vs Youngstown State Penguins W 54 - 47
2012-01-02 @ Vermont Catamounts W 54 - 47
2012-01-05 vs Binghamton Bearcats L 32 - 44
2012-01-08 vs UAlbany Great Danes L 32 - 57
2012-01-12 @ UMBC Retrievers L 47 - 73
2012-01-14 vs Boston University Terriers L 34 - 69
2012-01-16 @ New Hampshire Wildcats L 53 - 63
2012-01-21 vs Maine Black Bears L 44 - 57
2012-01-25 @ Hartford Hawks L 44 - 63
2012-01-28 vs Vermont Catamounts L 36 - 63
2012-02-01 @ Binghamton Bearcats L 46 - 55
2012-02-04 @ UAlbany Great Danes L 47 - 57
2012-02-08 vs UMBC Retrievers L 51 - 63
2012-02-11 @ Boston University Terriers L 31 - 56
2012-02-18 vs New Hampshire Wildcats L 46 - 63
2012-02-22 vs Hartford Hawks L 42 - 49
2012-02-25 @ Maine Black Bears L 40 - 45
2012-03-01 @ Maine Black Bears L 43 - 49

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Previlon J. Previlon NA 1 0.0 7.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 7.0 -245 26 -9.4 -18.2 33.3 0 75.0 -7.12 45.1 33.3
M. Horsey M. Horsey G 1 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 -3.0 -73 24 -3.0 -7.5 20.0 20.0 50.0 0.37 34.0 30.0
D. Jacobs D. Jacobs NA 1 0.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 -2.0 -85 26 -3.3 -9.2 18.2 0 0 -0.2 18.2 18.2
Chase Walker Chase Walker - 1 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 -2.0 -179 26 -6.9 -11.6 20.0 0 0 0.14 20.0 20.0
D. Klupenger D. Klupenger NA 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 -4.0 -136 26 -5.2 -10.5 0.0 0.0 0 0.37 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG