Stony Brook
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
73.7
PPG
47.3
Opp
+26.3
Margin
42.3%
FG%
28.6%
3P%
74.5%
FT%
38.7
RPG
14.7
APG
13.3
TO
69.2
Est. poss./game
69.0
Adj PPG
55.2
Adj Opp PPG
#117
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 958 (#191) | Preseason prior 904 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1033, returning -35, transfers -94, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 966 (#193) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 967 (#191) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.7 (#156) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.7 (#156) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.692 (#113) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.530 (#149) | AdjNet +10.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.540 (#149) | AdjNet +10.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.589 (#117) | AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 55.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.589 (#116) | AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 55.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.536 (#148) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.536 (#148) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 971 (#184) | RD 202 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.456 (#172) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Molloy Lions | W | 73 - 39 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | Iona Gaels | W | 77 - 63 |
| 2026-11-11 | @ | Niagara Purple Eagles | W | 71 - 40 |
| 2026-11-15 | vs | Sacred Heart Pioneers | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | @ | Duquesne Dukes | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ariel Little
|
G | 3 | 28.3 | 16.7 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 11.7 | 64 | 3 | 21.3 | 30.1 | 44.4 | 37.5 | 92.3 | 2.91 | 59.9 | 52.8 |
Awa Fane
|
G | 3 | 15.0 | 10.7 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 9.3 | 3.3 | 28 | 3 | 9.3 | 25.1 | 35.7 | 25.0 | 88.9 | 0.91 | 50.1 | 42.9 |
Jada Cook
|
G | 3 | 23.0 | 10.3 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 8.0 | 6.3 | 39 | 3 | 13.0 | 22.4 | 45.8 | 37.5 | 75.0 | -0.52 | 60.2 | 58.3 |
Johanna Potter
|
F | 3 | 22.7 | 7.3 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 5.7 | 7.0 | 28 | 3 | 9.3 | 16.7 | 47.1 | 0 | 60.0 | -1.57 | 51.4 | 47.1 |
Leah Philpotts
|
G | 3 | 28.0 | 6.7 | 5.3 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 6.3 | 9.7 | 53 | 3 | 17.7 | 24.9 | 52.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.81 | 47.2 | 52.6 |
Raiane Dias Dos Santos
|
G | 3 | 17.7 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 44 | 3 | 14.7 | 33.1 | 33.3 | 36.4 | 100.0 | 1.55 | 47.7 | 44.4 |
Deb Okechukwu
|
G | 3 | 12.0 | 5.3 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 16 | 3 | 5.3 | 17.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.9 | 58.1 | 50.0 |
Caitlin Frost
|
F | 3 | 24.3 | 5.0 | 8.3 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 6.7 | 9.0 | 56 | 3 | 18.7 | 30.9 | 35.0 | 9.1 | 0 | 1.91 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
Irene Rey Pineda
|
F | 2 | 15.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 18 | 2 | 9.0 | 23.2 | 30.0 | 20.0 | 0 | -1.63 | 35.0 | 35.0 |
Alex Brown
|
F | 3 | 18.7 | 3.3 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 6.0 | 49 | 3 | 16.3 | 35.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.21 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Melissa Mwanza
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Alana Philpotts
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
194 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Ariel LittleJada CookAwa FaneLeah PhilpottsJohanna PotterCaitlin FrostDeb OkechukwuAlex BrownIrene Rey Pineda
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 26-44 | 59.1 | 52 | Deb Okechukwu 19% (10 pts) | Ariel Little 15% (8 pts) | Alex Brown 22% (4 misses) | Ariel Little 17% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 23-46 | 50.0 | 46 | Ariel Little 22% (10 pts) | Caitlin Frost 17% (8 pts) | Ariel Little 22% (5 misses) | Awa Fane 17% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 6-12 | 50.0 | 12 | Jada Cook 33% (4 pts) | Johanna Potter 33% (4 pts) | Leah Philpotts 33% (2 misses) | Ariel Little 17% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-10 | 20.0 | 4 | Awa Fane 50% (2 pts) | Johanna Potter 50% (2 pts) | Awa Fane 25% (2 misses) | Johanna Potter 25% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 3-5 | 60.0 | 6 | Ariel Little 33% (2 pts) | Caitlin Frost 33% (2 pts) | Johanna Potter 50% (1 misses) | Raiane Dias Dos Santos 50% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-7 | 42.9 | 9 | Awa Fane 67% (6 pts) | Raiane Dias Dos Santos 33% (3 pts) | Leah Philpotts 50% (2 misses) | Caitlin Frost 25% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Caitlin Frost 50% (1 misses) | Raiane Dias Dos Santos 50% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 9-28 | 32.1 | 27 | Ariel Little 44% (12 pts) | Jada Cook 22% (6 pts) | Awa Fane 37% (7 misses) | Ariel Little 26% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 1-13 | 7.7 | 3 | Irene Rey Pineda 100% (3 pts) | - | Jada Cook 25% (3 misses) | Ariel Little 17% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 9-27 | 33.3 | 27 | Jada Cook 44% (12 pts) | Ariel Little 22% (6 pts) | Caitlin Frost 22% (4 misses) | Ariel Little 17% (3 misses) |